We agree

Amen, brother... even marginal improvement would be SO big

And frankly, I'm expecting better than "marginal"... another draft, another free agency period, and of course this high powered new coaching staff should propel that unit to middle of the pack at worst

Maybe it works that way. But I don't know. If our defense can hold teams to around 20 points per game, I'm not sure that Andy Reid is having Patrick slinging it down field that much late. If the score is, say 28-15 in the beginning of the 4th quarter, Mahomes is probably just handing it off and throwing short stuff. Hell, Henne may even get a few snaps in.

Not at that score differential with basically a whole quarter to play. 2 scores in the NFL can happen in a matter of minutes(see Chiefs v Chargers). 38-15, that’s another story.

The games that really inflated Mahomes' totals were games like the Rams and Pats. Those are the games that will be fewer and farther between, which is why Mahomes will likely throw for fewer yards and TDs if the defense improves.

You mean our QB's season yardage total may not break 5000 every year?

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No chance. The better our defense the less likely we get into shootouts where he has to fling 6 TDS a game. If he throws for 50 next year it means we made little to no improvement on defense.

I'm not absolutely positive, but would anyone be surprised to learn that we didn't break 5,000 yards passing in two years with Brian Daboll's system?

Daboll was only the OC for 1 year. They threw for 2700 yards that season.

So I was 47% right on all of that, lol. 2700 yards. Huh. Seems like a bad dream.


I thought Daboll was here for the Tyler Thigpen experiment, too. Those shit years just melt into each other....

put some respect on my avatar. those bucket hats dont gain yards themselves.

When you look at the second half of the season, you also saw defenses better gameplan for mahomes and also refs put less emphasis on pass interference. mahomes adjusted his game accordingly. Still mvp level performances but not quite the constant fireworks we saw early in the season. When you look at his second half, seems reasonable that he'll hover maybe just below 4500 yards 40 TDs barring some kind of sophomore slump (which I don't think is likely... We have a good idea of his floor by now). Which is still damn good.

I see a lot more games like the Raiders & 49ers games. Chiefs get a big lead & then try & run the clock.

The Rams, Patriots & Steelers games were outliers. Take those games away & that should be Mahomes typical numbers next season.

First half: 26 TD
Second half: 24 TD