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Could a sample even be spiked in some way?
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Nobody here knows the exact results of Braun's test. Let's not pretend we do based on a vague report months ago on the basis of a single source supposedly close to Ryan Braun. If the supposed "weirdness" of the sample played any real factor in this arbitrator's decision, it would have been a major factor, not a minor one. |
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In this case, assuming the tweets are true, another couple days in the test collector's fridge (so we're not even talking about a guy not authorized to have possession of it) shouldn't be enough by itself, but coupled with an "insanely high" reading, its a problem. |
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And of course, there's also the issue for MLB about how this entire process was supposed to be private. |
Also, the appeals panel seems like a joke. You know day one how each person will vote, minus the independent arbitrator. I understand these things must be collectively bargained, but that's just stupid.
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The stories that are out today are saying that Braun's side is arguing that a 20/1 TE ratio was impossibly high.
To say that the result was "impossibly high" is not true, and all those stories about how he tested higher than anyone else in the history of that test is wrong, if the result really was 20/1. (unless they were only talking about MLB players, it could have been the highest MLB result in history) From what I've read, 20/1 is definitely on the high side of a normal failure range, its rare to get a result that high, and its pretty much impossible if you are not taking anything. However, there were at least two results in US sports history with a result that was not just higher, but FAR higher than that. |
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It is possible that he was clean, in that every test has a positive failure rate, and if he was one of those 1 in a million people or 10 million people or whatever the odds are for that test to get false positives on both samples, then it sucks for him and he's the unluckiest man in all of sports (cancelled out by luck yesterday), but we have to accept a test with a very, very low false positive rate, especially with 2 samples. Someone somewhere someday probably in some olympic sport no one cares about will probably get screwed, but I really doubt that theoretical lottery-winner was Braun. |
From what I know that 3rd party arbitrator was a moran. They found synthetic test in his 2nd sample and there are all kinds of drugs that will reduce estrogen while taking testosterone. Using a TE ratio to undermine the results is laughable and I see why the MLB is irate.
I'd be interested to know what his total T level was. |
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