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DaneMcCloud 01-05-2013 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city (Post 9285576)
Meh, or they could also end up with Rodgers or Rothlisberger.

Set the franchise back from what? End up with ANOTHER 1st overall pick?


Whoa, whoa, whoa.

I pegged Rothlisberger as the best QB in the 2004 draft before he taken by Pittsburgh. One of my best friends in Los Angeles has been a lifelong Pittsburgh fan was ecstatic when I told him that in 2004.

Aaron Rodgers slipped because no one believed in Tedford QB's ability to translate in the NFL. He also sat for THREE YEARS, learning from Favre and Mike McCarthy.

Is that what you're suggesting? The Chiefs take a guy at #1, only to sit him for three years?

Mr. Flopnuts 01-05-2013 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EagleRob (Post 9285583)
I watch a lot of football but don't remember what a 1/1 pick commands in terms of $$. Been a while.

Andrew Luck got 5 years $22 million last year. $22 million total. New CBA has a rookie slotting scale now. That's why you're going to start seeing QB's fly off the shelf in the top 10 picks.

jd1020 01-05-2013 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Flopnuts (Post 9285591)
Andrew Luck got 5 years $22 million last year. $22 million total. New CBA has a rookie slotting scale now. That's why you're going to start seeing QB's fly off the shelf in the top 10 picks.


4 years.

Both Newton and Luck got 4 years 22M.

DaneMcCloud 01-05-2013 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9285589)
If not the draft then who and how? Alex Smith, whom the Chiefs will have to trade for? No franchise is winning a SB with him. Flynn? That would be an incredibly stupid move? Cousins? Of course not.

There is nothing but mediocrity available via trade or FA, so we have to take the chance on someone with legit upside, and who is every bit the equal of the FA/trade lot.

New CBA makes it easy to turn and burn if a more appealing option appears, even if that's next off-season.

Again, I think it's too early to speculate when and where and how these guys will test out at The Combines. It wouldn't surprise me, at all, if there was no clear cut number one guy and if that's the case, I could see the Chiefs trading down for picks and possibly moving back up into the bottom half of the first round for "Their" guy.

FTR, I'm not stating that's what I want to happen, nor do I expect it to happen. But with a QB class that at this time has no clear cut "Savior", it's definitely possible, IMO.

RealSNR 01-05-2013 05:14 PM

I am pretty damn confident Reid will draft a QB at #1.

That whole Q&A thing, "Andy, you're going to a team without a QB WHATEVER WILL YOU DO???"

"Well, they have the #1 overall pick..."

The guy is thinking QB. He was thinking QB all season in Philly, assuming his team would need to draft a new guy. He's going to be thinking QB here.

We're getting a QB at #1. Bank on it.

DaneMcCloud 01-05-2013 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Flopnuts (Post 9285591)
Andrew Luck got 5 years $22 million last year. $22 million total. New CBA has a rookie slotting scale now. That's why you're going to start seeing QB's fly off the shelf in the top 10 picks.

But conversely, Gabbert, Locker and Ponder all went in the first back in 2011 and none have been even average. Gabbert and Locker have been downright terrible at times. Ponder was called the worst QB in the league by Jimmy Johnson earlier this season.

EagleRob 01-05-2013 05:15 PM

Thanks for the update. Point is, the pick is a fairly significant financial and symbolic commitment to build a team around. Reid won't take it lightly. He will draft a differene maker or trade down. If his QB isnt out there he won't just take the best QB if he's not deserving of the 1/1.

DaneMcCloud 01-05-2013 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR (Post 9285609)
I am pretty damn confident Reid will draft a QB at #1.

That whole Q&A thing, "Andy, you're going to a team without a QB WHATEVER WILL YOU DO???"

"Well, they have the #1 overall pick..."

The guy is thinking QB. He was thinking QB all season in Philly, assuming his team would need to draft a new guy. He's going to be thinking QB here.

We're getting a QB at #1. Bank on it.

That doesn't mean it's a great pick or a pick worthy of #1. It's just the usual Chiefs "reach".

Oh, we need a defensive lineman so let's get Freeman and Sims and Downey and Savaii and Dorsey and Jackson.

DeezNutz 01-05-2013 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 9285606)
Again, I think it's too early to speculate when and where and how these guys will test out at The Combines. It wouldn't surprise me, at all, if there was no clear cut number one guy and if that's the case, I could see the Chiefs trading down for picks and possibly moving back up into the bottom half of the first round for "Their" guy.

FTR, I'm not stating that's what I want to happen, nor do I expect it to happen. But with a QB class that at this time has no clear cut "Savior", it's definitely possible, IMO.

I don't disagree with anything that you've said, but I firmly believe that the Chiefs must find their starting QB for '13 early in this draft, or it's automatically a lost year.

There is a damn good QB in this draft; there is in pretty much every draft. And the Chiefs must find him.

jd1020 01-05-2013 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EagleRob (Post 9285614)
Thanks for the update. Point is, the pick is a fairly significant financial and symbolic commitment to build a team around. Reid won't take it lightly. He will draft a differene maker or trade down. If his QB isnt out there he won't just take the best QB if he's not deserving of the 1/1.

5M a year is not a significant financial investment. Most of it comes in a signing bonus and you are looking at a 2-3M cap hit.

RealSNR 01-05-2013 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 9285606)
Again, I think it's too early to speculate when and where and how these guys will test out at The Combines. It wouldn't surprise me, at all, if there was no clear cut number one guy and if that's the case, I could see the Chiefs trading down for picks and possibly moving back up into the bottom half of the first round for "Their" guy.

FTR, I'm not stating that's what I want to happen, nor do I expect it to happen. But with a QB class that at this time has no clear cut "Savior", it's definitely possible, IMO.

That's insane. The combine and pro days will help sort out the QBs, but they're not going to affirm them.

This draft isn't the 2000 draft when the only QB taken was Chad Pennington late in the 1st. It's not as good as 2012, either. And I don't think it's as good as 2004, either.

It IS, however, better than 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, and 2005, though.

That's pretty ****ing positive. These QBs are going to ****ing fly off the board. Expect at least 4 gone in the first round, with at least two in the top 10.

Mr. Flopnuts 01-05-2013 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 9285612)
But conversely, Gabbert, Locker and Ponder all went in the first back in 2011 and none have been even average. Gabbert and Locker have been downright terrible at times. Ponder was called the worst QB in the league by Jimmy Johnson earlier this season.

I don't expect a 1st rounder to do shit until their 3rd year. I expect some learning curves. Locker is flashing, Gabbert is not doing shit, and I don't know enough about Ponder. Newton, Luck, RGIII, and Wilson may be the new norm, but I think they're the exception. That said, Newton had some struggles this year. We'll see if RGIII, and Luck have some 2nd year slumps of their own.

DaneMcCloud 01-05-2013 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9285622)
I don't disagree with anything that you've said, but I firmly believe that the Chiefs must find their starting QB for '13 early in this draft, or it's automatically a lost year.

I'm sure you know what sucks? It's that the Chiefs just had to get the number one overall pick in a year in which an Andrew Luck or RGIII or even Cam Newton and Matt Ryan aren't available.

That is insanely frustrating to me.

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9285622)
There is a damn good QB in this draft; there is in pretty much every draft. And the Chiefs must find him.

I hope you're right. I just hope that QB wouldn't be equivalent to a 3rd rounder (i.e. Foles) or a 4th rounder (Cousins) in previous years.

RealSNR 01-05-2013 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud (Post 9285619)
That doesn't mean it's a great pick or a pick worthy of #1. It's just the usual Chiefs "reach".

Oh, we need a defensive lineman so let's get Freeman and Sims and Downey and Savaii and Dorsey and Jackson.

Dude, the Chiefs were drafting for this mythical "value" you crave when they took Sims and Dorsey. They were absolutely worth those picks. Those guys were thought to be studs, and more than worth top 10 picks.

And when have the Chiefs ever reached for a valuable position?

There's a huge difference between QB and 5-technique DT.

I can't believe you're making this argument.

Chiefshrink 01-05-2013 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 9285194)
Wilson's defense is not that great.

:rolleyes:


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