ChiefsPlanet

ChiefsPlanet (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/index.php)
-   Nzoner's Game Room (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/forumdisplay.php?f=1)
-   -   Royals *** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository *** (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=295826)

cosmo20002 11-10-2015 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11873835)
QOs are interesting to me, as teams clearly have not figured out how to use them effectively. The last I had seen, not a single player had accepted one. That means teams aren't using them enough, thus a lot of picks are being left on the table. If nobody is accepting the offers, they aren't being issued often enough.

I'm not sure they are really meant or expected to be accepted. It fits such a narrow range of players, so narrow that nobody has ever accepted.

Pretty much anyone good enough to be offered a 1-yr deal worth $15M is going to be good enough to be offered multiple years at $15M or more as a free agent, so why would they ever take the deal.

It seems to only possibly fit a player right on the edge of the $15M market value, where he thinks that taking a 1 yr deal and having a good year will catapult them into a much higher range the next year. But even then, do you pass up multi-years at $15M as a free agent to take 1 yr at $15M in hopes of later getting multi years at $20M, when you risk injury or a bad year and ending up with multi-years at $5M?

Saul Good 11-10-2015 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 11874085)
I was told they talked to him about RF when converting him in the minors, but he wasn't comfortable reading fly balls on "that" side of the field.

I'd be shocked if he signed somewhere knowing they plan to move him to RF.

Re: More QOs...

I think teams are very judicious with them because you don't want to get stuck with a marginal guy.

From the players side, it might seem a little too close to the pre-Curt Flood days for some. I think we see some accepted this year.

You're almost certainly correct regarding the reasoning behind teams not offering more, but the teams are wrong, IMO. It's like bluffing in poker. If you never get called, you aren't bluffing enough. We know that players tend not to want one year offers. Give them out liberally, and if you end up overpaying a player by $2,000,000 here and there, so be it. Until the numbers change, the small risk of slightly overpaying a player is worth the opportunity to stock up on high draft picks.

Saul Good 11-10-2015 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cosmo20002 (Post 11874114)
I'm not sure they are really meant or expected to be accepted. It fits such a narrow range of players, so narrow that nobody has ever accepted.

Pretty much anyone good enough to be offered a 1-yr deal worth $15M is going to be good enough to be offered multiple years at $15M or more as a free agent, so why would they ever take the deal.

It seems to only possibly fit a player right on the edge of the $15M market value, where he thinks that taking a 1 yr deal and having a good year will catapult them into a much higher range the next year. But even then, do you pass up multi-years at $15M as a free agent to take 1 yr at $15M in hopes of later getting multi years at $20M, when you risk injury or a bad year and ending up with multi-years at $5M?

That's sort of my point. Even a guy who is worth $10mm a year is likely to reject a single year deal of $15mm in order to secure a longer contact. It's an inefficiency in the market that has yet to be exploited. Worst case scenario, you slightly overpay a player for one year. The upside is a free first round draft pick.

Saul Good 11-10-2015 05:25 PM

So it sounds like the Reds are having a fire sale. Joey Votto is owed $200,000,000 over the next 8 years. How much would the Reds have to eat in order to make it worthwhile to take him?

I'd say $40,000,000 or so would make it tempting. 8 years at $20,000,000 AAV?

Nightfyre 11-10-2015 05:45 PM

I would hate to have the Royals fall off the front page so soon, so I will post a hypothetical again:

Royals Push Payroll to 155M

Existing payroll is 97M
Deal Dyson/Infante (-8, 89)
Offer Holland a three year deal (4/5.5/10[M.O.]) (+4,93)
Offer Gordon an extension (5/85) (+17,110)
Offer Zobrist an extension (4/52) (+13,123)
Offer Heyward a contract (10/200, Player options starting at year 7)(+20,143)
Offer Latos* a contract (1/10M)(+10, 153M total)

Note: Latos takes a one year deal in a pitchers park with the best defense in baseball behind him. He takes this deal because he needs to rebuild his reputation. The Royals straighten his ass out in the clubhouse and Latos moves on to a huge contract next year. Royals tender a QO and get a pick for their troubles.

C: Perez, Butera
1B: Hosmer, Morales
2B: Zobrist, Colon
SS: Escobar
3B: Moustakas, Cuthbert
OF: Gordon, Cain, Heyward, Orlando, Gore

SP: Ventura, Volquez, Medlen, Duffy, Latos
RP: Davis, Herrera, Hochevar, XXX,XXX,XXX


Then it's just a matter of stocking up the pen again.

WhawhaWhat 11-10-2015 05:54 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">AL MVP, top 3 (alphabetically): Lorenzo Cain, Josh Donaldson, Mike Trout. Winner announced Nov. 19.</p>&mdash; BBWAA (@officialBBWAA) <a href="https://twitter.com/officialBBWAA/status/664228945253003264">November 10, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

KCCHIEFS27 11-10-2015 05:56 PM

Ned yost isn't even a finalist for manager of the year?? Are you kidding me?

duncan_idaho 11-10-2015 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11874855)
So it sounds like the Reds are having a fire sale. Joey Votto is owed $200,000,000 over the next 8 years. How much would the Reds have to eat in order to make it worthwhile to take him?

I'd say $40,000,000 or so would make it tempting. 8 years at $20,000,000 AAV?


Biggest issue is his age. Votto is 32 years old. And honestly, if you take him out of the bandbox in Cincinnati, you're probably looking at a 20-HR hitter, tops.

He's also been an injury prone guy, and KC has nowhere to play him unless it moves Hosmer now.

If they're worried about Gordon holding up for 5 years at an AAV approaching $20 million, actually getting a more injury prone guy for more money seems like a non-fit.

Coach 11-10-2015 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KCCHIEFS27 (Post 11874951)
Ned yost isn't even a finalist for manager of the year?? Are you kidding me?

Sorry, not on our team. But we beat that guy too as well.

KCFalcon59 11-10-2015 06:23 PM

Esky with the GG! Awesome.

KCFalcon59 11-10-2015 06:25 PM

Hosmer with the GG!

duncan_idaho 11-10-2015 06:25 PM

*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11874919)
I would hate to have the Royals fall off the front page so soon, so I will post a hypothetical again:



Royals Push Payroll to 155M



Existing payroll is 97M

Deal Dyson/Infante (-8, 89)

Offer Holland a three year deal (4/5.5/10[M.O.]) (+4,93)

Offer Gordon an extension (5/85) (+17,110)

Offer Zobrist an extension (4/52) (+13,123)

Offer Heyward a contract (10/200, Player options starting at year 7)(+20,143)

Offer Latos* a contract (1/10M)(+10, 153M total)



Note: Latos takes a one year deal in a pitchers park with the best defense in baseball behind him. He takes this deal because he needs to rebuild his reputation. The Royals straighten his ass out in the clubhouse and Latos moves on to a huge contract next year. Royals tender a QO and get a pick for their troubles.



C: Perez, Butera

1B: Hosmer, Morales

2B: Zobrist, Colon

SS: Escobar

3B: Moustakas, Cuthbert

OF: Gordon, Cain, Heyward, Orlando, Gore



SP: Ventura, Volquez, Medlen, Duffy, Latos

RP: Davis, Herrera, Hochevar, XXX,XXX,XXX





Then it's just a matter of stocking up the pen again.


An interesting proposal. Gordon-Cain-Heyward would certainly contend for best OF defense of all time.

They'd be left filling out the bench with cheap internal options, especially in the bullpen, but they could make that work.

I think Latos is really unlikely, as is Heyward. But this does demonstrate that something like Gordon + Zobrist + Mike Leake/Marco Estrada is not completely crazy monetarily.

Edit: oh, and you would need a team that really loved Dyson and saw him as an everyday guy to get them to take Infante's contract. Not sure that team is out there...

Coach 11-10-2015 06:28 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Eric Hosmer wins his 3rd straight Gold Glove. First AL 1B to win 3 straight since Rafael Palmeiro 1997-1999</p>&mdash; Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/664237815354388480">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> shortstop Alcides Escobar wins his first career Gold Glove.</p>&mdash; Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/664237145784102912">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

penbrook 11-10-2015 06:38 PM

Cespedes beat Gordon for the GG but Gordon did miss a lot of time

lewdog 11-10-2015 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by penbrook (Post 11875099)
Cespedes beat Gordon for the GG but Gordon did miss a lot of time

I'm fine with that.


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 07:09 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.