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Vegas line is Chiefs -5. Seems a point or two low to me, especially if LDT and Watkins can go and are close to full strength.
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Jets (T-16) Raiders (32) Bills (26) Titans (T-16) Jags (T-22) Dolphins (29) Cowboys (T-16) Giants (T-30) Texans (T-11) We are T-1. But, cool. |
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Despite that Luck still threw 15 INTs. The Chiefs led the league in sacks. They will get enough pressure on him to force at least one INT and possibly more. A few years back the Chiefs faced a similar cupcake schedule of QBs that the Colts just finished with but predictably lost to a real QB come playoff time. The same thing will happen to the Colts against Mahomes. |
You live and die by the big play. We've given up the least amount of big plays in the league this year
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Keep sitting in cover 2, this isn't Alex Smith or DeShaun Watson you'll get thrown on at will.
This Colts team got a bad division and a cake schedule, good job, it was impressive watching you all lose 6-0 in today's NFL. |
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25% of your teams sacks came in the 2 Houston games and they won the damn thing. |
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Also looked into Luck's cold weather splits (below 40 degrees). Interestingly, he hasn't played a cold weather game since 2015. Small sample, but same trends in cold weather.... completion % drops to 57%, 6.6 YPA, 245 yards/game (down from 275 yards/game career wise). And that was in games pre-arm surgery. Keep in mind also that his away games have been incredibly weather friendly this year. Almost all above 55 degrees. In weather games, he had one strong performance in Houston (45 degrees... not really cold). But two "shit the bed" performances in warm weather rain vs Philly and Jacksonville. |
You play the raiders and Broncos twice a year. 3 of our 4 teams were fighting for a spot in the playoffs
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Honestly most of the time a dome team on the road in the playoffs is bad for them.
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