Manning was obviously the right pick and as of right now, it's pretty obvious that Luck appears to be the right pick. However, you are correct if you are suggesting the jury is still out on the 2011 draft.

Well what if Indy had traded out of the pick..got 3 first rounds. Took

RG3 or Tannehill, Chandler Jones and Star Lotulelei?

The last great example I can think of trading out of that #1 pick was the trade with The Chargers and the Giants. I think that trade worked out for both teams. Sure the Chargers didn't get to the superbowl...but it wasn't because of talent.

I think it was the Rams who the Skins traded with before the 2011 draft, right? Let's see how that huge hall of picks works out for the Rams. If they draft well it could be huge in setting them up for the next 5 years as a very competitive team.

This study is reeruned, because it does not take into consideration that a virtually infinite number of factors AFTER the draft determine success at least as much, if not more than, the talent of the player before and during the draft.

You don't think that Justin Blackmon would have been more successful being drafted at the same spot by New England instead of Jacksonville?

This study might have been done by a PHD in business, but he doesn't understand football one iota.

Remember when New Orleans traded the house for Ricky Williams? Who made out on that deal?

In MOST CASES you wouldn't have traded, so the point is completely moot.

Stupid article is stupid.

good question! who did Orleans trade with, I can't remember...

Oh, and Cleveland trading UP to #4 for Trent Richardson was stoooooopid.

It was Washington. Were you being serious or making a point?

Redskins, who pretty much blew the picks.

Then they still wouldn't have Luck who is the best QB by far of that group. I'm pretty sure the Giants kicked San Diego's ass in that trade. Two Super Bowl championships trumps anything the Chargers have done.

It was obviously the right pick, but it's not obvious whether it was lucky or a result of superior drafting skill. Same with the Luck pick, which was made by an entirely different regime than the Manning pick, btw.

LOL...I wasn't thinking. That first year it really looked like it worked out in Washington's benefit. Obviously they went through a slump afterwards.

The Saints only kept Ricky for 3 seasons then traded him.

The Patriots hit a down period from 2006-2009, but the drafts in 2010-2012 have been good ones (too early to tell about 2013)

McCourty
Gronkowski
Spikes
Hernandez
Solder
Vereen
Ridley
Cannon
Jones
Hightower
Dennard

That's a damn good 3 year haul, and that's just the starters/rotation guys.