By the time they reach the NFL, its just theit natural catching form. It's not a major deal the majority of the time. Even with Hill, he had one bad year of drops but every other year he's fantastic.

I did a detailed analysis of WR drops today. From year to year, the league-wide drop rate is 6.5%. In a given season, a simple model where every receiver has a 6.5% chance of dropping a given pass, accurately reproduces the league wide drop frequency distribution. The correlation between drop rates in 2022 and 2023 for a given receiver was only 0.2.

Stripping through all the math, no receiver in the NFL has better hands than another. The simplest representation is that all NFL receivers have a 6.5% chance of dropping any given pass.

Isn't math cool?

Maybe it hurts their hands.

Lol, now that's funny.

WTF? Did ChatGPT write this? How is the even possible.

No they are taught to attack the point of the ball with their thumbs and pointer fingers making a diamond pattern. I low ball or over the shoulder are the exceptions. Sometimes they are late and don't get their hands in the correct and coached position.

I calculated the drop rate of every WR by:

Drop rate = drops/(drops+receptions)

The denominator of that represents catchable balls.

I then plotted the drop rate in 2021 vs the drop rate in 2022 of every receiver who caught at least 50 passes in both years. If some players had better hands than others, you'd expect them to have similar drop rates in both years and all the points to be scattered on a 45 degree line. Instead you get a scatter plot with a correlation coefficient of only 0.2. There is another analysis I did, but it is a little more complex.

your mom catches with her mouth

I hate math - but I love this

Wow, they got math for everything...

Wow, who was it that dropped 13.5% of catchable passes in 2021?

3 points of contact/control vs 2…just spitballin here..

Deebo.

:thumb:
"There are lies, damned lies, and statistics." - Mark Twain