I don’t think anyone other than the Chiefs could get to 13 wins.

Buffalo is a mess and they have to play NE twice and TB on the road

NE has a rookie qb

Tannehill isn’t carrying them to a 1 seed

Ravens will drop a couple in the division

That 1 seed is very much in reach.

We lost to the Titans, so we're effectively 2 games back. Can it happen? Sure. But there's basically zero room for error.

Fans are going to be so big mad if we just slide up and steal that one seed again LMAO

You know no one wants to come to Arrowhead.

And you know it's so ****ing unfair for us to have to play one less game.

It almost guarantees us the SB with the way the defense is right now.

LMAO

THEY'LL BE SO BIG MAD WE JUST GONNA BE CHILLIN THAT WILD CARD WEEKEND

Cleveland is a mess now but Baltimore should be fine and somewhat formidable if they enter the playoffs healthy.

If Jones is Trent Dilfer and Patriots have no talented players on offense, how have the Patriots outscored the Chiefs this year by 16 points? Patriots have 300 points and not many NFL teams are better than that.

Yes, easier schedule has helped but Patriots have had the disadvantage of having to get a ton of new players on offense including a rookie QB up to speed.

The Patriots offense is a Honda Accord or Subaru. Nothing spectacular but pretty good when the line is healthy and team seems like it is built fairly well for December/January football. Trent Brown is back and while the offense doesn't have a skill position player that truly needs to be doubled, they have a bunch of "good players".

[QUOTE=MMXcalibur;15969714]Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Tennessee (8-3) (at NE, vs JAC, at PIT, vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (7-4) (vs CLE, at PIT, at CLE, vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

New England (7-4) (vs TEN, at BUF, at IND, vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Kansas City (7-4) (vs DEN, vs LV, at LAC, vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

Buffalo (6-4) (at NO, vs NE, at TB, vs CAR, at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

LA Chargers (5-4) (vs PIT, at DEN, at CIN, vs NYG, vs KC, at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)


---

Legit possibility of losses:

Tenn: 3 (losing to the Texans says a lot)

Balt: 7 (honestly they could lose out and it wouldn't surprise me)

NE: 3 (not counting the Tenn game which we need them to win)

KC: 2 (but don't think we lose again all year)

Buff: 3 (though I have a strange feeling that NO could knock them off this coming week)

LA: 3 (but really just need to make sure KC takes care of business to put another game between us)



Tenn ends up at 12-5

Balt ends up 10-7

NE ends up 11-6

Buff ends up 11-6

LA ends up 11-6

KC ends up 13-4 and gets the bye again. We may drop one and would need Tenn to drop 3 in that case.

If you're trying to say your offense is reliable, no, Jakobi Meyers catching shit from Mac Jones will not be reliable when you play legit teams in the playoffs.

"Belichick did it once before with Brady and Branch, doh!"

Careful, Icarus.

Super impressed with what they're doing in NE with a rookie QB but the playoffs are an entirely different animal. We need the attrition of NE and Buffalo to clear the way for us to get the 1 seed...

After next week the chargers will be in first in the West. I don’t get why some of you are writing off the chargers winning the west. Chargers and Chiefs basically have the same schedule. The west is coming down to that Thursday night game and even that might be enough for the chiefs to win the west as the chargers have a better AFC record.

Go **** yourself.

The Chargers completely shit away a 17 point lead in the 4th to a terrible injured Steelers team tonight at home. They can't be relied upon whatsoever.

Do they have a legit chance to win the division? Yes. Will they? Nah.

We won't get the #1 seed based upon 4 conference losses already.
There's a slight outside chance at the #2 seed, but I highly doubt we'll get that one either.
We're going in either as wildcard or division winner, and either of those are fine with me because I was sure we were going to miss the playoffs entirely. (And we still might)

Their head coach was coaching division 3 football like 3 years ago. And he never had a coaching job that WASN'T division 3 before then. And none of them were head coaching positions.

One year as a LB coach and two years as a defensive coordinator in the NFL. That's ****ing it. Never played in the league.

I've given up trying to predict this season. It's completely bizarre and has no rhyme or reason.

KC is playing well, but if you told me we'd be leaning on our defense five weeks ago on a four game winning streak I would have laughed out loud.

There is no conventional wisdom this season in the NFL. It's bonkers.

The way they’re playing right now, they’ll lose all three.

NE and the Chargers are probably the teams to beat now.

We need to win out and need Buffalo to split with NE and lose to TB. The 1 would probably then be ours. It’s actually very doable.

Both the Titans and Ravens lose two or more. Book it. Win out we are #1 seed.

IF.

I agree. I think that would be the likely result.

If you win out, you will be the 1 seed. No one else getting to 13 wins.

Don’t count out the Pats for the 1 seed. They beat Tits this week and they are the 1.

On any given Sunday is even more true this year.

The NFL is getting what they want, every fan base, no matter how much their team sucks, feels that maybe, just maybe they can get a win today.

We average 30.5 ppg on the road and 21.5 at home.

The defense does better at home and it's always great for the fans to host a playoff game. Not to mention the sweet honor of potentially being able to host a fourth straight AFC Championship game.

But the offense is a ****ing terror on the road. That's nearly 31 ppg on the road even accounting for that egg we laid in Tennessee.

I think I'll feel pretty confident regardless come playoff time. The biggest issue has always been being healthy at the right time.

I don't know. I feel like that's a misleading stat. It's situational, and not so much that it's home vs. away as WHEN and WHO the opponent was.

Defense is clearly better than earlier in the year. We've been at home what, the last 3 weeks? So I don't think it's as much the home/away split as WHEN and WHO.

Titans are definitely losing in NE next weekend. That defense will swallow them up without Henry

If the Bills and Titans were meeting expectations, I'd say the Patriots are in for a rude awakening and could lose 4 straight after being yet another team everyone slobbers over because they have convincing wins over shit teams.... but, who the **** knows given the past couple weekends.

I don't know that you just pencil in a win for the Chargers at the Donks next week. Then Cincy on the road isn't a given. The Charger game is going to be huge just like the Raider game was. We saw what happened there.

This year has been bizarre

We're not in the best position to grab the number one seed, but Vegas says the Chiefs are favored to once again win the AFC Championship and return to the Super Bowl.

Kansas City Chiefs +325
Buffalo Bills +350
Baltimore Ravens +450
New England Patriots +550
Tennessee Titans +800

No such thing in the NFL.

KC has a better chance running the table than any other team in the AFC right now.

I think they've got a shot. My predictions based on those schedules:

Tennessee 12-5
Baltimore 10-7
New England 11-6
Kansas City 13-4
Buffalo 11-6
Los Angeles 11-6

This is pretty realistic to me.

I have a really hard time seeing Tennessee winning at New England. BB is going to eat that offense alive with Henry and Jones out.

After that skid, it’s hard to see the Titans winning out.

It really just comes down the the Chiefs winning out. If we do, it’s really hard to imagine not getting the 1 seed.

The AFC really ****ed up by letting us hang around so long.

Didn’t need its own thread, but I saw a crazy rumor that Lamar has syphilis. Who knows if it’s true, but saw it this morning.

lol Lamar been dicking down dudes?

Yeesh...I hope that's not true, cuz damn...

This season is 2019 all over again. Losing streak where defense looked bad, defense catches fire mid season, last loss to Titans, same record as this time that year, and to top it all off.... week 17 Miami is gonna knock off the Pats and give KC the 1 seed. We’re winning the SB this season, it’s already been written.

My biggest concern is that the top of each of the other divisions are falling back to the pack. That could be a problem. We need to focus on winning the AFC West and see what happens. It's completely possible to still miss the playoffs with the tie breaker situation we are in.

After the bye, it's entirely possible that we will be sitting outside of the playoff picture (at that time).

LA has two straight road games, and the second one is to the east coast to playing Cincy, who's offense should give them fits.

I like our odds.

Just Win. The only team that can stop the Chiefs is the Chiefs.

Win and the rest will fall into place.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Chiefs 12-4
Tennessee 11-5
Buffalo 10-6
Baltimore 10-6
Indy 10-6
New England 10-6
Los Angeles 10-6

I play that too and here's what we learned:

The Thursday night game is basically a playoff game. If we beat the Chargers, we have a realistic shot at running the table and earning the 1 seed.

Lose to them and we're relegated to the 5th seed at best.

17 games this year.

Seriously?

What?

Syphilis is a sexually transmitted disease, you don't need to be gay to get it. Just shut up. STFU :spock:

It has a high rate of transmission in the gay community.

As crazy as it sounds, the Cincinnati game could end up being for the #1 seed.

That's how it played out in my scenario.

Wikipedia does mention that 60% of the new cases are in gay men.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syphilis#Transmission

Think we will finished tied for the best record in the conference by the end of it, but we won't get the 1 bc of tiebreakers.

I didn't realize that they didn't have week 18 on ESPN....oops

Yeah, very seriously. I don't think it will happen, but a slip here and there and it could. If NE, Cin, SD and Buf win this week (which they easily could) and BAL loses, we will come out of the Bye in the last wild card spot. It would be this:

1. NE 8--4
2. TEN 8-4
3. SD 7-4
4. CIN 7-4
5. BAL 7-4
6. BUF 7-4
7. KC 7-4

Who tf cares about the ranking at this point of the season? Week 12 doesn’t decide playoff seedings. Let’s finish the season before we crown anyone.

You totally missed the point. I was responding to him after I said we really need to win the West, because if we don't we could be in trouble since the teams we lose tie breakers against are all falling back to the pack.

You must be new here. They were everywhere when he was on this team. Thankfully most have vanished.

The Titans are going to lose two more at least. They rely on Henry too much on offense and with him out, their luck is eventually gonna run out as evidenced by the beat down the lowly Texans gave them. That was the one loss they could not afford.

Obligatory ………”that’s what she said”. LMAO

What teams are legit in the AFC besides KC?

Twice with Branch and once before Branch....

On offense, Mac Jones has more to work with than Brady did the first 3 Super Bowl wins. The defense isn't as good/proven as the 2nd and 3rd SB winning teams but that unit looks more talented than the first.

The options are diversified on offense. No all-pro receiver-tight ends but a handful of quality players.

A team that is inferior to the Chiefs teams of the past two seasons will be the number one seed in the AFC this season. Might as well be the team that most of you guys like.

They'd have to win out, basically. I think that's possible, but a tall ask.

The biggest problem for us is that we lost to all the front runners and that ****s us in the event of identical records.

Possible to win out and have some of them lose 2, yes. Probable, no

I think the best we do is #2 seed.

We also lost the most in the conference which is also a handicap.

Barring an epic collapse by the Titans, they’re getting the #1 seed. Too many things working in their favor.

We could get the #2, but we’d likely have to win out, which is a big ask even if playing well. I do think we’ll beat the Charge in 3 weeks and hold on for the AFC West Title. Likely end up the 3 seed. Get a home playoff game and then have to go on the road for a couple to make another Super Bowl run.

It can be done, but won’t be easy. I’d like to see what Mahomes and team can do in road playoff scenario, though, as he needs to notch some of those for his legacy. And, in Mahomes first few years, he arguably played better on the road overall than in Arrowhead, so would be fun to see.

The part that worries me about that is the defense. They seem to feed off the energy at home and play much better there. Not confident that show can travel yet.

After the Titans lost to Houston anything is possible. I think they drop 2 to 3 more easy.

I don't see The Titans doing it, honestly. Not without Henry.

I'd put just about anything on it NOT being the Titans.

Will it be KC? No idea. I think we'd probably have to win out due to losing all the tiebreakers. It's possible. KC is certainly capable. But we're really inconsistent still right now. Hard to say.

If they win out, it’ll be KC’s

Tannehill is playing terribly right now. The Titans are fading badly and might not even win their own division.

Like losing to the Jets and Texans? Have you been in a coma for a few weeks?

I was WIDE awake when Titans kicked Chiefs butt

Didn't know results from October were relevant in December.

Interesting.

yeah, wins and losses don't matter

Definitely mattered that the Titans beat us during the regular season in 2019 during the AFC Championship game.

We're talking about the 1 seed, not a win/loss in the playoffs. A tiebreaker in October DOES matter.

Not good
Too many teams to jump with tie breaker advantages
That being said I’m afraid of none of them on the road.

I think you have to see what Chiefs team shows up for our games and which officiating crews show up for all those games. Both of those things matter.

It does. But the Tits will lose two more anyway so it'll end up being irrelevant.

They aren't the same team they were during that game against us. Not even close.

Titans are pure garbage.

They lose 1 game, it’s gone due to tie breakers with the other contenders. We’d still get home field for the first two games.

you coach kids games, right. The officiating is bad.

You know that if you lose a game because of the refs, you lost the game. Rarely, if ever, does a team bring their “A” game and still lose due to a ref call.

I'm not going to disagree that if you're good enough you can sometimes even overcome bad officiating.

But none of that really addresses how the NFL's officiating crews get away with inconsistent calls.

Titans are cooked. They might miss the playoffs at this rate.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Titans?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Titans</a> ruled out WR AJ Brown (chest) for Sunday’s game vs. the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Patriots?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Patriots</a>. No Derrick Henry, no Julio Jones, no AJ Brown.</p>&mdash; Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) <a href="https://twitter.com/MySportsUpdate/status/1464324939406876676?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 26, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Bill’s defense gonna have the clamps on those fools