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Maybe that game dropped us a few points |
I'm oddly calm about this game. I have no idea why. I had a crazy amount of nervous energy going into the Texans game, maybe just from waiting so long for meaningful Chiefs football. But I'm completely calm and steady about the Bills, the far more superior opponent compared to the Texans. Just kinda feel like we got this one.
I'm also taking a step back this week to realize what a blessing this has all been. We have our own version of the Patriots vs Colts rivalry going with the Bills, we get to play in a game where the world is watching. I guess this week is me taking a moment to be grateful, these last 6-7 years have truly been a blessing. |
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Play a clean game and tie/win the turnover battle and they lose a lot of games they’ve been winning. The Bills lose by two scores vs the Ravend last week if they’re not gifted three turnovers. Like every game the Chiefs win if they bring their A game and it will be a battle if they don’t. |
The Bills beat one team all season when they didn’t win the turnover battle. Don’t turn the ball over and they become a 1-3 team.
Chiefs haven’t turned the ball over in what is it now, 8 games? |
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Threepeat is landing on the moon with little chance of lives lost. Seen as an unnecessary limb too far. Play it safe and roll with history mindset
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The more and more I hear people accusing the refs of favoring the Chiefs, the more and more I think Mahomes is seething deep down inside and is going to have the game of his life on Sunday. Last year, it was "Mahomes can't win on the road! The only way the CHiefZ win is because they play at Arrowhead!" Then Mahomes went on to beat Buffalo and Baltimore on the road in the playoffs and shut that narrative down. The year before that it was "Burrow owns Mahomes!" This year it's the refs...
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Uhh, first reaction is they play in the East. If your betting DVOA good luck with that. The Bills played four road games against teams that eventually made the playoffs (Ravens, Texans, Lions, Rams) and they went 1-3 in those games. Buffalo's D only gave up 35 points or more in three games this season, and all of them came on the road. The Bills only gave up 425 yards or more in four games this season, they all came on the road. |
One thing I just heard mentioned on Locked on Chiefs is Bolton and Trey both are playing for contracts next year. Big marquee matchup, time to show they are worth the contracts they’re hoping to get.
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Their secondary has injuries and besides a DT, they can be beat. Spags doesnt allow more than 24 points in the playoffs. Attack through the air. Forget the run, take it to that banged up secondary.
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I know that the realization of how great we have it and the recognition of how "spoiled" we are as fans comes at different times for everyone
It really set in for me last night when NFL Network was replaying the 2020-21 AFCCG where we smoked Buffalo. I'd mostly purged that entire season from my memory because it didn't result in a SB win and the game didn't even look all that familiar to me That was a bad ass team and a fun season that I intentionally forgotten about because we lost in a SB Anyway that was my reality check and it and got me more fired up for Sunday We're all taking Allenhead at the GBS Sunday Night! |
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The Buffalo defense is 8th and the Chiefs are 12th? WTF? |
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">"I think that Travis Kelce will have less than five receptions. I think (Bills CB) Taron Johnson is going to have a big game vs Kelce. Johnson is going to neutralize him."<br><br>— <a href="https://twitter.com/LegerDouzable?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@LegerDouzable</a> | <a href="https://twitter.com/CBSSports?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@CBSSports</a> <a href="https://t.co/YlLtmp91qR">pic.twitter.com/YlLtmp91qR</a></p>— Chiefs Receipts (@ChiefsReceipts) <a href="https://twitter.com/ChiefsReceipts/status/1882790555517857877?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 24, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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An injured slot corner is going to lock Kelce down now?
LMAO Where do they get these clowns? |
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Please put tiny Taron Johnson on Kelce. Please do that.
The WRs will go for 250+ and that's before Kelce still does Kelce things. |
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Borrowed from Twitter:
Bills have faced four playoff teams on the road this year. They went 1-3 and gave up 36 PPG. I don't think there's any scenario where they are posting 30 on us in our house with the defense fully loaded. |
The key to slowing down Trav is mugging the **** out of him. PLEASE put Johnson and his bum shoulder on Kelce. Let's see just how physical Johnson can be.
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I mean my position was essentially "Well a CB with a shoulder issue can still be effective covering WRs..." Fellas, a guy with a bum shoulder AIN'T gonna cover Travis Kelce. He's going to just beat you to death. It's like people forget that Kelce is 6'5" and 270 lbs. Guy's a ****ing defensive end out there catching passes. He is MASSIVE. No, Tarron Johnson isn't going to neutralize Travis Kelce. He won't make it through the 3rd quarter of the game if he even tries. |
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Pretty interesting that Hicks only had 12% of the snaps in Buffalo while Nazeeh had 100%. Hicks had 74% of the snaps vs Houston.
It’s really simple on defense. The gameplan last time worked well until the last drive. They just need to tackle better. If the Bills go big up or jumbo, I’d go disguised single high with Hicks crashing down in the middle and McDuffie/Watson taking away the outside of the field with Spags saying good ****ing luck. I think you’ll see a ton of disguised spy coverage on Allen. They’ll have Leo at DE on some of those downs faking a rush and quickly dropping inside. They are going to clog the run game and force Allen to hit those low percentage outside throws again vs pressure. This time will be a lot harder with Omenihu and Watson. Yes everybody doesn’t like Nazeeh and Conner, but their value is in the middle of the field. They both are the best blitzers not named McDuffie and both are good tacklers despite Conner’s outlier performance last time. |
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But in either event, he's a big ****ing guy. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a>: Big and Rich performing at halftime of the AFC Championship game</p>— McKenzie Nelson (@McKenzieMNelson) <a href="https://twitter.com/McKenzieMNelson/status/1882562797659357687?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 23, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
What, was Little Texas already booked? |
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Advantage Chiefs. From year to year forcing turnovers is fluky compared to being an offensive that limits them. |
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I swear those guys lived at Guitars and Cadillacs in the 90s. |
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My god. Are we really going to take "ride a cowboy" into the Superbowl? |
On offense it’s funny because it’s the complete opposite. The Chiefs have the mismatch outside. I do not see these guys being able to contain Hollywood/Worthy.
The Bills aren’t putting anyone alone on Kelce. They are going to do anything and everything take him away. I expect that to be bracket coverage with switching assignment of one of Milano/Bernard + a DB, probably one of Johnson/Hamlin. The clues were there last time. I fully expect a big Worthy game as well as Hollywood. The speed they represent is extremely difficult for zone coverage, which means a lot of the same thing we saw in the regular season game plan vs Texans and Steelers. And if they want to bracket Kelce, they will open those vulnerable DB’s up to be exploited. Crossers, out routes, corner routes, post routes and RPO’s. I think that’s the gameplan. And I would expect quite a bit of Worthy in the backfield too like they did with Hardman. Jet sweeps have been killing them, screens have killed them. Worthy and Hollywood. Big games coming for them IMO |
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Had to look up Big & Rich
They make Travis Tritt sound like Beethoven |
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Does this mean that here in a few years after they're done with the being little stage we get insanely focused pat? let's hope. |
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No offense but I find these “sports psychology” adjacent takes about someone you don’t personally know to be very odd. |
Baseball on the road is a bit different
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I hope they don't ever go through what we did. |
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Big: Andy is known as Big Red Rich: Mahomes signed the biggest contract ever in sports and makes a lot of money on endorsements. Plus the SB colors have red which is very similar to KCs colors. Lastly the SB will be in New Orleans, which has so many former Chiefs players on their roster. It’s all shaping up just how Big NFL wanted it to be. |
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I know coaches are expected to put in significantly more time at the facility than the players, but it did make me wonder what the grind of the season looks like for players. Seems it helped kill Brady’s marriage.. There was also that shit Pat used to wear on his arm that tracked his sleep and what not. He posted his averages over the previous few years and there was one season I swear he was sleeping like 12 hours per day lol not much time for family if you’re sleeping that much and at the facility for 10, 11, 12 hours per day. |
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Bills safety Taylor Rapp (hip) WILL NOT play against the Chiefs.</p>— Matt Parrino (@MattParrino) <a href="https://twitter.com/MattParrino/status/1882821598383849602?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 24, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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So there was this deep dive refs analyst that got into a bunch of minutia about the ref crew being assigned.
And he flat out said, that this crew is most def being assigned to slow the "rigged for the Chiefs" mantra. Two guys that do more analytical stuff for game breakdowns went over some of it, I'll see if I can find it. |
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Some people saying something doesn't necessarily make it true, and I actually share your concerns a little. |
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Are they going to over-penalize the Chiefs to make it more "fair"? |
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If we can't punish these guys over top with the speed we have or at least threaten so much that it makes the middle swiss cheese, we probably don't deserve to win. |
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Damar Hamlin can be "got" in coverage and rookie Cole Bishop has had problems in coverage. I think it's a fairly big deal. If the Bills commit to flooding the short area of the field to try and give their pass rush time to get home, and limit YAC, you're putting those S in much more precarious spots, especially against a team like the Chiefs that can put two real speed merchants out there with Brown and Worthy. I think it will make 11 sets really tough for them to defend. If they play zone, Mahomes-Kelce-Hopkins are pretty tough to consistently defend. If they play man and leave single high or even split safeties deep, you've got a pair of S back there who don't excel in coverage AND who haven't played together a lot. It's possible they use backup NB Cam Lewis as the second safety, too. But Taron Johnson, the primary NB, is also pretty dinged up and has an injury it wouldn't be take much to re-injure... |
Replacement will be dragged while trying to punch out the ball
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Who has the better head coach??? Andy Reid
Who has the better Defensive Coordinator??? Spaggs Who has the better kicker?? Butker Who has the better STs coach??? Toub.. Who has the better QB?? Mahomes Who has the better receiver??? Kelce Who has the best defensive player?? Jones Who has second best defensive player?? McDuffy Who is more healthy??? Chiefs Chiefs are the answer to these questions… Guess who I pick to win the game… |
Yahoo Sports podcast with Nate Tice looked at the snaps when Rapp was out and the Bills had to play Bishop and they graded as basically the worst defense in football by EPA/play. It was somethin like 250 snaps of sample size
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Only, and I mean the only way, is if their DL just absolutely wrecks shit. I don't think they can on the road here. I believe the Bills will need at least 30 to win, and that's not happening. |
They've never been able to handle our offense in the postseason even when they had the duo of Poyer and Hyde.
Bishop and Hamlin will be ugly. |
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When you combine the possiblity of Benford being out with Johnson and Milano being banged up, this offense should be able to outscore the Bills with our defense. |
If our Oline holds up there should be no reason we don't win.
and there's absolutely no reason this Dline should push our Olines shit in either. |
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35 against the Ravens 44 against the Rams 42 against the Lions 23 against a struggling Texans offense with a recovering Dell and no Mixon |
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