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beavis 04-12-2008 05:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 4680121)
We're at 58 mil right now. I'm saying we should spend stupidly, but, in the short term, this team must overpay to get results. I know we went pretty hard at Hunter this offseason, but we have to be the team that comes in a blows a top-notch player away with a package, not the Angels. Same thing with drafts. We must be willing to draft the best player, not caring too much about slot.

Maybe it's just me, but I think this is the kind of thing we need to avoid doing. I would have liked to have had Hunter as much as the next guy, but I think there's a good chance his production starts to decline towards the end of that contract. Sign guys while they in their mid to late 20's, while they are ascending, not decending in terms of production.

keg in kc 04-12-2008 06:32 AM

The Royals payroll is actually 68 million. Back when Dutton reported the payroll on opening day roster as 57.4 million, he only included the actual 25-man roster that day and didn't include guaranteed money the Royals still owe other players (even if they're not on the 25-man roster...) like Berroa, Hochevar, De la Rosa, and a few others. Combined that adds another 10 million to the payroll.

And they've already started overpaying, for guys like Meche last season (who looks like a total bust right now, damnit) and Guiillen this year.

Keep in mind how much of an increase 68 million really is over Royals payrolls in recent years. Their 2005 payroll was 36 million, and their 2006 payroll was 47 million. This year's is roughly comparable to last year's, an increase of more than 30 million in four years.

DeezNutz 04-12-2008 11:14 AM

Keg (good catch regarding the numbers) and Beavis both make good points. But I still contend that we haven't changed the public perception of the franchise. I agree that Meche and Guillen are a great start, and I'm certainly happy about these moves, but these aren't cornerstone-type players. We need to make a move akin to Pudge to the Tigers. Splashy (and sensible) move that catches everyone's attention.

Hunter could be on the downslope of his career, I agree. But getting him to KC, in my opinion, would have opened the door for others. Players around the league would then be sure, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that KC was serious about winning.

All this could be moot, I admit, if Dayton ends up being the best GM in the game. He'll find a way to get in done in KC, while working with a limited budget. Still, this is asking an awful lot. Dayton seems to be really good, but we can't expect him to be a magician. At some point, we'll need serious dollars to be serious contenders. Payroll cannot equal the money we get via revenue sharing.

keg in kc 04-12-2008 11:20 AM

You mention the Tigers, and I think what they're doing is following a pattern similar to what Detroit did, where they slowly built up the payroll while bringing a bunch of minor leaguers along. Then when everything's in place, they spend money on guys like Ivan Rodriguez and Kenny Rogers, the last pieces of the puzzle.

They need to find their Pudge in 2009 or 2010; 2008's a little premature, I think. They need more development from Gordon and Butler and the young pitchers before they take that next step. And my guess is that's what they think, too, and all of this will be timed to coincide with the end of the renovations.

milkman 04-12-2008 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 4680685)
Keg (good catch regarding the numbers) and Beavis both make good points. But I still contend that we haven't changed the public perception of the franchise. I agree that Meche and Guillen are a great start, and I'm certainly happy about these moves, but these aren't cornerstone-type players. We need to make a move akin to Pudge to the Tigers. Splashy (and sensible) move that catches everyone's attention.

Hunter could be on the downslope of his career, I agree. But getting him to KC, in my opinion, would have opened the door for others. Players around the league would then be sure, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that KC was serious about winning.

All this could be moot, I admit, if Dayton ends up being the best GM in the game. He'll find a way to get in done in KC, while working with a limited budget. Still, this is asking an awful lot. Dayton seems to be really good, but we can't expect him to be a magician. At some point, we'll need serious dollars to be serious contenders. Payroll cannot equal the money we get via revenue sharing.

I'd rather have home grown players as my cornerstone players.

Free agency and trades should be used to fill holes where necessary, and to make late season runs.

tk13 04-12-2008 11:34 AM

I'm pretty sure Dayton has said that he plans for the payroll to be in the 80ish million dollar range within about two years, which would be about middle of the pack, which is perfectly fine. That will take the team playing well and fans coming out to the renovated K.

They probably came pretty close to getting there this year. We had the highest offer on the table for Torii Hunter until the Angels came in at the very last minute and swooped him away. And as much as people want to spend money, there's just no way to justify beating the Angels offer and giving Hunter $20 million a year.... that's just too much. Then people would complain about spending money poorly when Hunter was 36-37 years old (just like they did with Sweeney) And if I'm not mistaken, we did have the highest offer on the table for Kuroda, but he went West Coast and took less money to play in LA. Either one of those two would've upped the payroll quite a bit and the Royals would've been middle of the pack in payroll, but it just didn't work out.

At least we've gotten to the point where FA's will seriously consider KC, now we just need to continue playing decently, even if it's .500 ball, just to make the big FA's think they can come and help push the team into playoff contention. Once that happens, the Royals will probably be in that middle ground where most teams stand in-between the Yankees/Red Sox/Tigers and Marlins/Pirates groups.

Demonpenz 04-12-2008 11:36 AM

Is meche really a bust? I think he will be fine

keg in kc 04-12-2008 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Demonpenz (Post 4680728)
Is meche really a bust? I think he will be fine

'Bust' might have been a little strong, since he pitched well last season, but I don't think he's going to have a good year. The question is going to be whether Bannister or Grienke can allow the Royals to drop him in the roation.

And even if he doesn't have last year's ERA, I'd like to think we can still count on him to effectively eat innings. But if his first 3 starts are any indication, it's going to be a long year.

Demonpenz 04-12-2008 11:40 AM

as long as meche can give us some innings that will be worth it

DeezNutz 04-12-2008 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by keg in kc (Post 4680697)
You mention the Tigers, and I think what they're doing is following a pattern similar to what Detroit did, where they slowly built up the payroll while bringing a bunch of minor leaguers along. Then when everything's in place, they spend money on guys like Ivan Rodriguez and Kenny Rogers, the last pieces of the puzzle.

They need to find their Pudge in 2009 or 2010; 2008's a little premature, I think. They need more development from Gordon and Butler and the young pitchers before they take that next step. And my guess is that's what they think, too, and all of this will be timed to coincide with the end of the renovations.

I agree that this would be an ok plan, but I don't believe that this is what Pudge did for the Tigers. His first season with them was 2004, the year after the team went for a near record 43-119 in 2003. I don't know enough about other mitigating factors, but he wasn't coming as the final piece of anything, since the organization was a turd at the time. Once Pudge arrived, this signaled that big changes were occuring in Detroit.

We certainly need the players we've drafted highly to develop. Gordon must be a high-quality everyday player. Butler must continue to develop (though he's pretty bad ass right now). All I'm saying is that I don't think we can understate the impact of a stud FA, even if a team must overpay to get him. Hypothetically, if a Santana type shakes free in the off-season, there are worse things a team could do than to overpay by 3 mil or so to get him.

DeezNutz 04-12-2008 12:06 PM

Regarding Meche, in an ideal world I think he's a number 3, maybeeeee a number 2 starter, but I'm still happy we have him.

Deberg_1990 04-12-2008 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 4680789)
Regarding Meche, in an ideal world I think he's a number 3, maybeeeee a number 2 starter, but I'm still happy we have him.


I agree. Hes a solid "innings eater" but im not sure he will ever be elite. Hes going to be one of those Tim Belcher types: 12-15 wins a year. 200+ innings.


Maybe Greinke or Bannister will develop into a #1 this year??

DeezNutz 04-12-2008 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 (Post 4680792)
Maybe Greinke or Bannister will develop into a #1 this year??

I'm hoping for the same thing. Through their first two starts, either or both look like they're more than capable.

tk13 04-12-2008 12:13 PM

It's possible Meche could have a bad year, but I think some of it is Royals fans are just used to one-hit wonders happening. We'll see.... but I don't think Meche is like a Darrell May or Paul Byrd.... his stuff is so much better than guys like that, and he's a smart pitcher. For the first time in ages the entire pitching staff actually has good stuff, guys who don't throw junk, aren't lazy, etc. That doesn't mean they'll all pitch well but the chances are certainly better.

Deberg_1990 04-12-2008 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 4680797)
It's possible Meche could have a bad year, but I think some of it is Royals fans are just used to one-hit wonders happening. We'll see.... but I don't think Meche is like a Darrell May or Paul Byrd.... his stuff is so much better than guys like that, and he's a smart pitcher. For the first time in ages the entire pitching staff actually has good stuff, guys who don't throw junk, aren't lazy, etc. That doesn't mean they'll all pitch well but the chances are certainly better.


IM not sure what it is about Meche. Hes got good stuff, but do teams just not score for him???

Look at his past. hes always been a 10-15 wins a season guy. His career ERA isnt that great.


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