Quote:
Originally Posted by KC_Lee
(Post 11863525)
Show me one scenario where KC takes a QB in round #1? I don't care the draft position, top 10, mid range (11 - 20) or end of round #1. KC will not draft a QB in round 1.
This team cannot and will not break the narrative of Alex Smith as the starting QB. Reid is tied to him to tightly and will not do anything that would jeopardize that fact.
I'm not saying Hogan is the next coming, just saying that is the best we can hope for as Chiefs' fans.
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They can absolutely break that narrative. However, it's foolish to think that Smith won't be starting in 2016 even if they draft a QB in the first round. Nor would you really want a noob signal caller under center next season. Reid's offense is relatively complex and it will take a season of adjustment for a rookie to immerse themselves into the Chiefs offensive narrative. Smith gets it for another season and if you are an understanding fan, that's exactly how you want it to go even if they draft a QB high in 2016.
And if they truly like a guy, like Paxton Lynch (who is absolutely surging in the eyes of the media and the casual fan), I can see them working trades to make a higher selection happen. You like a guy, you make it happen to go get them.
However, there are a number of pretty solid QB prospects in this draft. I personally like Paxton Lynch and did so prior to his mercurial rise to fame after beating Ole Miss this season, but that doesn't mean that the guys after him are chopped liver.
Christian Hackenberg of Penn State was, at one time, viewed as a potential #1 overall selection, being favorably compared to Andrew Luck his freshman year - which was absolutely stellar. However, the system or the surrounding pieces didn't do him any favors his sophomore year, where he almost looked like he regressed, but he's having a very good year this year (redshirt junior) and had the Nittany Lions sitting at a surprising 7-2 so far in 2015. He's showing excellent poise and composure this season and still has a huge arm to go along with that pro ready frame. More of a pocket passer, but can get out and scramble when required.
Kevin Hogan of Stanford suffered the fate of being the guy to follow Andrew Luck. However, he has progressed every year and, like the aforementioned Hackenberg, he's got a NFL body and a big arm with good athleticism. His numbers don't knock your socks off, but he's in a system that features the ground game first and is playing with a dynamic threat in McCaffery, who is getting all the publicity right now. But he would be an excellent QB in Reid's system and has the arm talent and game understanding to develop into a real NFL level guy.
Cook and Goff are both very solid prospects who have both enjoyed being mentioned as potential "first QB taken in the 2016 NFL Draft" type of players.
If there is a guy that they like, I have no doubts that they will go and get him. Dorsey has to understand that Smith is beginning to fade in terms of accuracy and arm strength (at least it's quite noticeable this season so far) and has to know what is on the roster behind him. Daniel is a FA after the season and Murray looks to be the heir apparent to #1 clipboard holder. Bray hangs around for arm strength alone.
Even if the Chiefs don't pick in the top 10, they will have a shot at a pretty good signal caller who should be able to make the transition to the NFL.
If you remember the '83 draft, Elway was the runaway #1 pick, but most of the guys that followed were pretty solid pro prospects and many turned out to have excellent careers.
There might not be three Hall of Famers in the 2016 QB class, but it's a pretty solid one through five selection and there are a couple of dark horses in this draft as well that will be available in the mid to late rounds.