ChiefsPlanet - Chiefs Non-offensive-touchdowns

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Non-offensive-touchdowns (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=304663)

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie (Post 12636899)

It is a skill. And, its also luck. It can be both

I agree with this you can create your own luck. Sometimes the ball bounces your way for a fumble recovery but other times it bounces other way and offense recovers it but the fact is you forced a fumble creating opportunity for a fumble recover. Something like that I suppose.

Although we have a knack for creating turnovers we still need our offense to do their part for when the time comes other teams aren't prone to make mistakes that our defense can pounce on. NE for one isn't about to just turn the ball over and say here you go Kansas City take it to the house.

Our offense has to find ways to reach the endzone and score touchdowns if we are going make any headway in the playoffs.

http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/201...are-turnovers/

Quote:

So after a few hundred words of statistics, we arrive at a whopping conclusion that just over half of seasonal turnover differential is due to luck. That’s huge, especially when you consider that (from earlier) seasonal turnover differential explains over 40% of seasonal winning percentage.

At first glance, this does seem very high to me but evidence for this magnitude is the extraordinary year-to-year variability in turnover differential, which you would expect if luck was a mega factor as my analysis suggests. While starting quarterbacks absolutely play a role in turnover differential (Tom Brady throws fewer picks than Chad Henne) and tend to be fairly constant from year-to-year, nevertheless the correlation between turnover differential last year and this year is only 0.086 which is not significant at the 5% level.

Ultimately in a 16-game season, there’s just a whole lot of luck involved with winning football games and for all that commentators will talk about defensive schemes forcing turnovers this season, it’s just as important to be lucky as to be good.

26 to 2 isn't luck dude. No ****ing way. This team is far and away better than every team they play at covering and returning kicks and ball security. ..ball hawks on D to boot. When you dominate turnover differential AND special teams for over FOUR years. .that isn't luck

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 (Post 12636923)

http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/201...are-turnovers/

Yeah. I'm sure people will really latch on to this wisdom.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower (Post 12637056)

Yeah. I'm sure people will really latch on to this wisdom.

They won't because, well, math.

Articles sharing this conclusion have been posted here for the 10 years I've been here, and they always get ignored.

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 (Post 12637710)

They won't because, well, math.

Articles sharing this conclusion have been posted here for the 10 years I've been here, and they always get ignored.

Facts not fiction.