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You can make statistics "mean" anything you wish. Everybody knows that (or they should).
However, I found this to be an interesting factoid ... QBR when down by two (2) scores: Lamar Jackson: 60.2 Patrick Mahomes: 112.1 FAX |
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Lamar had the microscope on him in college, but this time I have to think its going to be a whole lot more pressure than he's ever had. The newness and awe of Mahomes isn't the media darling that Lamar is right now and honestly that's good.
Sitting for 2 weeks and coming back to the grinder of being that media darling and having the weight of the entire franchise/city on his shoulders could cause him to force more and make mistakes. I could easily see him having a let down. if Ingram isn't 100% and can't take some of the carries, Baltimore has the potential to be an early out. |
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edit: we were whooping that ass with a wounded mahomes, it took trick plays to keep them, a healthy pats team in it. im not saying we only won because of the refs, just that it sure as **** didnt hurt. |
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Ravens fans are scared
As they should be. The top 2 teams in the league right now look like the Chiefs and Ravens. The rest of the top 5 all resides in the NFC and all has some notable question marks:
The 49ers have been ravaged by injury, especially on D, and have been giving up a LOT of points. The Seahawks have won a lot of close games and likely aren’t as good as their record. The Saints have also been hammered by injuries on D. I’m also rooting for a round 2 Ravens upset. They’re the Chiefs’ top competition. If the Texans get hot throwing the ball and manage to knock off the Ravens in the division round, it would set KC up to host the title game against a less complete team. |
The team with the better passing game wins >80% of games in NFL playoffs. That is KC. Baltimore is built to get a lead and then sit on the ball. Jackson's QBR when down by 2 scores is 60. Pat's is 112.
I'm not saying Baltimore will be an easy win. it will not. But we are strong where they are weak and if we can get on a lead early and force them to play catch-up, odds are we win. |
They got it right.
The Chiefs are the only truly complete team of the AFC playoff teams this season. The Titans have a good defense but a sporadic offense. Henry is hurt; will he play in the playoffs, and what will he be able to do if he does. Texans have a pretty good offense, but it is also a little off-and-on. Their defense is the worst in the league in the red-zone, and near the bottom in 3rd down stops. Bills have a top-5 defense but a bottom tier offense. Patriots have a great secondary, an average run defense and a bottom-tier offense. Tom Brady is one of the 6 worst QBs under pressure this year, behind the likes of Derek Carr and Baker Mayfield. If you look at how they've scored on offense this year, much of the time it's on short field situations after their defense managed to get a turnover. When faced with a 70+ yard field, they've ended up punting more often than not against better-than-average defenses. The Chiefs are the only team that has proven they can score on any defense regardless of situation. And now the Chiefs defense can put the brakes on any offense. In particular, the Chiefs have a top-10 secondary, a top-15 run defense, top-tier against 3rd-down conversions, and top-6 in the red-zone. The Chiefs pass rush is in the top-10, as well as a top-10 turn-over machine. The Ravens are the only team in the field that stacks up against the Chiefs and vice versa. Should be a great match-up if both teams make it to the AFCCG, and they should, barring injuries/flukey bad luck. |
Jackson became very surly
When he ejaculated too early So he ate a tortilla And gave himself diarrhea It's easy come, easy go, Shirley. FAX |
ROFL..............
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As for matchups/improvements...
The Ravens’ secondary has improved, for sure, from what faced KC. But Hill is healthy and available and changes a bunch of what a D can do in its secondary. And Hardiman is also Improved - experience - so that’s a big ++ for KC, IMO. And the Chiefs OL is healthy and better. Eric Fisher makes a huge difference for them, even though he’s merely a slightly better than average LT. The Ravens’ offense has improved. They’re more versed in their scheme and playing with confidence. They also may have a limited Mark Ingram. That calf injury is one that may linger. The Chiefs’ D has improved by leaps and bounds, especially in its DL play and in LB run defense. The Ravens run 3 WR less than any other team in the NFL. That means KC can live in a 3-Lb set with Ragland on the field if necessary to help the run game. Pennel and Saunders will also be factors and weren’t the first game. I think KC gains more from being healthy and gains more from in-season improvement than Baltimore (which needed two very fluky won jump balls to even make the first matchup close). |
Get a lead and force Jackson to pass predominantly.
And I’m not sure what the stats say but it seems like most of Jackson’s TD passes have come inside the 20 to 10 yard line when teams are overly worried about the run. |
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That’s basically the plan. |
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