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siberian khatru 11-06-2015 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11866683)
So Holland was not tendered, so would that mean his $11,300,000 million would come off the books for 2016?

Yes, same for Collins and Coleman.

Max explains some of this at the link.

Coach 11-06-2015 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by siberian khatru (Post 11866691)
Yes, same for Collins and Coleman.

Max explains some of this at the link.

Dammit, you got me before I can edit it! :cuss::D

CaliforniaChief 11-06-2015 11:38 AM

Well, boo.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Padres plan to give Ian Kennedy a qualifying offer, I hear</p>&mdash; Jon Heyman (@JonHeymanCBS) <a href="https://twitter.com/JonHeymanCBS/status/662684257517748224">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Saul Good 11-06-2015 11:41 AM

Is Chris Young still a possibility? Seems like Volquez's, Ventura, Duffy, Medlen, Young, and Zimmer is at least as good as what we started with last year. Seems like it would be affordable enough to keep both Gordon and Zobrist as well.

tmw4h5 11-06-2015 11:44 AM

I submitted a question to McCullough's Royals chat at noon today. Something along the lines of,
"Alex Gordon has been the perfect Kansas City Royal. He has been referred to as the captain of this team. He is, right or wrong, viewed as this generation's Geroge Brett. With the Royals most likely failing to sign Gordon to a contract, what message does it send to our current roster of "homegrown" players that we are not willing to pay market value or anything close to market value for our talent? Why would any current player have any confidence in GMDM in terms of being offered a contract that isn't insulting? How do Salvy's teammates view his joke of a contract?"


Again, with all of this money coming off of the books this off-season, in addition to the ~$50 million made during the postseason, how the **** are we supposed to believe that this team can't afford to pay players such as Gordon or Zobrist?

Gordon does not look to be a candidate for rapid regression. The guy is in fantastic shape and has showed no signs of slowing down, other than, arguably, coming back early from a (freak) groin injury. I would think that the Royals could potentially count on moving Gordon and Perez both to DH/1b duties, or even possibly move Gordon to RF in the future if need be. If the Royals wanted Gordon to exclusively DH and work solely on power, I imagine he could add more strength to his frame and could focus solely on hitting.

Fansy the Famous Bard 11-06-2015 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 11866754)
Well, boo.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Padres plan to give Ian Kennedy a qualifying offer, I hear</p>&mdash; Jon Heyman (@JonHeymanCBS) <a href="https://twitter.com/JonHeymanCBS/status/662684257517748224">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

The same Ian Kennedy that put up a higher ERA than Duffy did this year (who everyone was extremely down on)... and he did that in the NL.

Is way overrated by this board, imo.

Pitt Gorilla 11-06-2015 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmw4h5 (Post 11866776)
I submitted a question to McCullough's Royals chat at noon today. Something along the lines of,
"Alex Gordon has been the perfect Kansas City Royal. He has been referred to as the captain of this team. He is, right or wrong, viewed as this generation's Geroge Brett. With the Royals most likely failing to sign Gordon to a contract, what message does it send to our current roster of "homegrown" players that we are not willing to pay market value or anything close to market value for our talent? Why would any current player have any confidence in GMDM in terms of being offered a contract that isn't insulting? How do Salvy's teammates view his joke of a contract?"


Again, with all of this money coming off of the books this off-season, in addition to the ~$50 million made during the postseason, how the **** are we supposed to believe that this team can't afford to pay players such as Gordon or Zobrist?

Gordon does not look to be a candidate for rapid regression. The guy is in fantastic shape and has showed no signs of slowing down, other than, arguably, coming back early from a (freak) groin injury. I would think that the Royals could potentially count on moving Gordon and Perez both to DH/1b duties, or even possibly move Gordon to RF in the future if need be. If the Royals wanted Gordon to exclusively DH and work solely on power, I imagine he could add more strength to his frame and could focus solely on hitting.

It sends the message that we'd rather try to sign them when the time comes, instead of tying up so much money with the baseball elderly.

Saul Good 11-06-2015 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmw4h5 (Post 11866776)
I submitted a question to McCullough's Royals chat at noon today. Something along the lines of,
"Alex Gordon has been the perfect Kansas City Royal. He has been referred to as the captain of this team. He is, right or wrong, viewed as this generation's Geroge Brett. With the Royals most likely failing to sign Gordon to a contract, what message does it send to our current roster of "homegrown" players that we are not willing to pay market value or anything close to market value for our talent? Why would any current player have any confidence in GMDM in terms of being offered a contract that isn't insulting? How do Salvy's teammates view his joke of a contract?"


Again, with all of this money coming off of the books this off-season, in addition to the ~$50 million made during the postseason, how the **** are we supposed to believe that this team can't afford to pay players such as Gordon or Zobrist?

Gordon does not look to be a candidate for rapid regression. The guy is in fantastic shape and has showed no signs of slowing down, other than, arguably, coming back early from a (freak) groin injury. I would think that the Royals could potentially count on moving Gordon and Perez both to DH/1b duties, or even possibly move Gordon to RF in the future if need be. If the Royals wanted Gordon to exclusively DH and work solely on power, I imagine he could add more strength to his frame and could focus solely on hitting.

How is he seen as this generation's George Brett? He's nothing close to that.

And how was a 31 year old tearing a groin while chatting down a ball in the outfield a freak injury? It's a perfectly typical injury.

tk13 11-06-2015 12:20 PM

Gordon isn't Brett but losing him is a big PR blow, no doubt. Good organizations will find ways to fill those gaps. Just like how we lost Butler and found Morales.

I don't think it has to set a bad example. Almost everyone else in our core group will be younger than Gordon when they hit FA. Paying a 28 year old Hosmer $20/M year makes more sense than eventually paying that to a 34-35 year old Gordon, if that is what comes to pass.
Posted via Mobile Device

duncan_idaho 11-06-2015 12:51 PM

Anyone interested in watching Starling with MLB Network can catch him at 1:30.

I think. Hopefully he's in the Surprise lineup today.

ReynardMuldrake 11-06-2015 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmw4h5 (Post 11866776)
I submitted a question to McCullough's Royals chat at noon today. Something along the lines of,
"Alex Gordon has been the perfect Kansas City Royal. He has been referred to as the captain of this team. He is, right or wrong, viewed as this generation's Geroge Brett. With the Royals most likely failing to sign Gordon to a contract, what message does it send to our current roster of "homegrown" players that we are not willing to pay market value or anything close to market value for our talent? Why would any current player have any confidence in GMDM in terms of being offered a contract that isn't insulting? How do Salvy's teammates view his joke of a contract?"

We paid him for 10 years, stuck with him when he looked like a bust, won him a ring, and turned him into a superstar. I think that sends a pretty good message to our players.

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmw4h5 (Post 11866776)
Again, with all of this money coming off of the books this off-season, in addition to the ~$50 million made during the postseason, how the **** are we supposed to believe that this team can't afford to pay players such as Gordon or Zobrist?

Gordon does not look to be a candidate for rapid regression. The guy is in fantastic shape and has showed no signs of slowing down, other than, arguably, coming back early from a (freak) groin injury. I would think that the Royals could potentially count on moving Gordon and Perez both to DH/1b duties, or even possibly move Gordon to RF in the future if need be. If the Royals wanted Gordon to exclusively DH and work solely on power, I imagine he could add more strength to his frame and could focus solely on hitting.

We're not in the business of winning by outspending everyone. Gordon is no longer a good value for the money. I'd much rather see Dayton find two or three Kendrys Morales/Chris Young type bargains for the same kind of money.

Coach 11-06-2015 01:19 PM

So the Royals' pen will lose Madson, Morales, Duffy (who most likely will be given another chance to start), and Chris Young (spot starter/long reliever) which is a good/bad thing depending on one's perspective. They will still have Hoch, Herrera, and Davis at the backend, which is good. I would suspect that GMDM will find some arms in the middle relievers to bridge to Hoch/Herrera/Davis back end or extra innings. We also have to consider the likelihood of injuries that happens every year, that the Royals still have plenty of depth to absorb the injuries.

So, what are the viable good internal or external candidates that had a down year/injured year that would be good for a 1 or 2 year with mutual options to fill in those spots?

nychief 11-06-2015 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11866968)
So the Royals' pen will lose Madson, Morales, Duffy (who most likely will be given another chance to start), and Chris Young (spot starter/long reliever) which is a good/bad thing depending on one's perspective. They will still have Hoch, Herrera, and Davis at the backend, which is good. I would suspect that GMDM will find some arms in the middle relievers to bridge to Hoch/Herrera/Davis back end or extra innings. We also have to consider the likelihood of injuries that happens every year, that the Royals still have plenty of depth to absorb the injuries.

So, what are the viable good internal or external candidates that had a down year/injured year that would be good for a 1 or 2 year with mutual options to fill in those spots?

Scott Alexander
Almonte

duncan_idaho 11-06-2015 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11866968)
So the Royals' pen will lose Madson, Morales, Duffy (who most likely will be given another chance to start), and Chris Young (spot starter/long reliever) which is a good/bad thing depending on one's perspective. They will still have Hoch, Herrera, and Davis at the backend, which is good. I would suspect that GMDM will find some arms in the middle relievers to bridge to Hoch/Herrera/Davis back end or extra innings. We also have to consider the likelihood of injuries that happens every year, that the Royals still have plenty of depth to absorb the injuries.

So, what are the viable good internal or external candidates that had a down year/injured year that would be good for a 1 or 2 year with mutual options to fill in those spots?


Brian Flynn, Louis Coleman, and Tim Collins will all be considered as internal options.

You also could see Zimmer piggybacked out of the pen to protect his arm but get him work vs. MLB hitters. Miguel Almonte also could be in play.

Coach 11-06-2015 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 11867080)
Brian Flynn, Louis Coleman, and Tim Collins will all be considered as internal options.

You also could see Zimmer piggybacked out of the pen to protect his arm but get him work vs. MLB hitters. Miguel Almonte also could be in play.

I figure Coleman would get something, but I don't feel exactly "confident" with him for some reason. And Collins is still somewhat recovering from TJS, so he's an unknown at this point.

I could see Zimmer and Almonte getting some work in to get some MLB experience to protect their arms and get some work against MLB hitters with the goal of both of them being starters at the end of 2016 and/or start of 2017 season?

Halfcan 11-06-2015 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunit35 (Post 11864701)
I was listening to 580 AM topeka recently. They were talking future Royals hall of famers. They listed:

1. Perez
2. Gordon
3. Holland
4. Davis
5. Escobar
6. Cain

They had ten total but I can't remember. Who would you gays believe could make it?

At the pace Salvy is setting-could rank in the top 5 for games caught. Possibly retire with 300 plus homers, 2500 hits, 1500 Rbi and 10 Gold gloves.

A World Series MVP trophy helps as well.

duncan_idaho 11-06-2015 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11867094)
I figure Coleman would get something, but I don't feel exactly "confident" with him for some reason. And Collins is still somewhat recovering from TJS, so he's an unknown at this point.

I could see Zimmer and Almonte getting some work in to get some MLB experience to protect their arms and get some work against MLB hitters with the goal of both of them being starters at the end of 2016 and/or start of 2017 season?

Coleman is really good vs. RHPs but his arm angle/mix lets lefties see him really well. Still, he's not a bad piece to have as the 4th or 5th best reliever out of your pen.

I don't know what they do with Collins/if they bring him back, but he's again not bad at the bottom end of a pen. Not sure he's worth the $1.5 million.

Flynn is an exiting guy to me, as a big lefty who could be very much like Will Smith was in being converted to the pen (dynamite vs. lefties and good enough vs. righties to pitch full innings).

As for guys "out there," Dillon Gee is someone who pops to mind as a potential bullpen conversion who could be really excellent. Chad Billingsley and Brandon Morrow are a few more guys who might work that way.

Coach 11-06-2015 03:23 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Don&#39;t miss the 64-page special <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/WorldSeries?src=hash">#WorldSeries</a> section coming in Sunday&#39;s Star - and yes, we&#39;re printing extras <a href="https://t.co/44CXFoEEpE">pic.twitter.com/44CXFoEEpE</a></p>&mdash; The Kansas City Star (@KCStar) <a href="https://twitter.com/KCStar/status/662689040433610752">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Coach 11-06-2015 03:26 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> select OF Jose Martinez from Omaha (AAA), adding him to the 40-man roster. He won the PCL batting title with a .384 avg in 2015.</p>&mdash; Royals (@Royals) <a href="https://twitter.com/Royals/status/662741472114929665">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Fansy the Famous Bard 11-06-2015 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11867216)
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> select OF Jose Martinez from Omaha (AAA), adding him to the 40-man roster. He won the PCL batting title with a .384 avg in 2015.</p>&mdash; Royals (@Royals) <a href="https://twitter.com/Royals/status/662741472114929665">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

I think we just signed our LF'er for next season.

ChiTown 11-06-2015 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11867216)
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> select OF Jose Martinez from Omaha (AAA), adding him to the 40-man roster. He won the PCL batting title with a .384 avg in 2015.</p>&mdash; Royals (@Royals) <a href="https://twitter.com/Royals/status/662741472114929665">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

He's intriguing for sure. Dude is 6'7", but not a power hitter. He had a OBP of .461 and OPS'd at 1.024. He can play RF for sure, but he's not very impressive at this point. He also played 1B. I just don't know how his offense will translate at the MLB level

wazu 11-06-2015 03:52 PM

Woah, Zobrist named his daughter Blaise Royal Zobrist.

Fansy the Famous Bard 11-06-2015 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wazu (Post 11867247)
Woah, Zobrist named his daughter Blaise Royal Zobrist.

Now THAT is awesome.

Saul Good 11-06-2015 04:10 PM

Wow...that's interesting.

ChiefsCountry 11-06-2015 04:17 PM

Them being religious people I'm sure Royal can be seen in other directions as well. Still cool though.

CaliforniaChief 11-06-2015 04:25 PM

Nice work, Zobrist Family. Very nice.

WhawhaWhat 11-06-2015 04:52 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Top to bottom best, most relentless lineup I&#39;ve covered in the 20 years I&#39;ve done it.They had no bottom of the order <a href="https://t.co/HfCjBE05h9">https://t.co/HfCjBE05h9</a></p>&mdash; Joe Buck (@Buck) <a href="https://twitter.com/Buck/status/662704748919787520">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Halfcan 11-06-2015 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat (Post 11867358)
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Top to bottom best, most relentless lineup I&#39;ve covered in the 20 years I&#39;ve done it.They had no bottom of the order <a href="https://t.co/HfCjBE05h9">https://t.co/HfCjBE05h9</a></p>&mdash; Joe Buck (@Buck) <a href="https://twitter.com/Buck/status/662704748919787520">November 6, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

**** you Joe Buck. :rolleyes:

Halfcan 11-06-2015 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bearcat (Post 11866659)
This really happened...

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/6hYry9F2QRM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

One of the great Royal plays of all time!! This and Cain scoring from first. Oh and the Gordon homer... oh and Wade closing games out...oh and... Jeez this team was awesome!!

mr. tegu 11-06-2015 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 11866856)
Gordon isn't Brett but losing him is a big PR blow, no doubt. Good organizations will find ways to fill those gaps. Just like how we lost Butler and found Morales.

I don't think it has to set a bad example. Almost everyone else in our core group will be younger than Gordon when they hit FA. Paying a 28 year old Hosmer $20/M year makes more sense than eventually paying that to a 34-35 year old Gordon, if that is what comes to pass.
Posted via Mobile Device

Hosmer's next deal will pay him that money at that age as well.

mr. tegu 11-06-2015 06:20 PM

I am pretty confident we will sign Young. We gave Chen a two year $9 million dollar deal a few years back after a one year contract he had with us. We will likely do the same with Young who is better and probably wouldn't even cost that much.

BigMeatballDave 11-06-2015 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiTown (Post 11867237)
He's intriguing for sure. Dude is 6'7", but not a power hitter. He had a OBP of .461 and OPS'd at 1.024. He can play RF for sure, but he's not very impressive at this point. He also played 1B. I just don't know how his offense will translate at the MLB level

Well, if nothing else, he and CY can have dunking contests. :)

Kidd Lex 11-06-2015 07:14 PM

Can someone start a new thread telling the rest of the board to post Royals news in here and to stop starting new threads for every tidbit. LMAO

tk13 11-06-2015 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mr. tegu (Post 11867429)
Hosmer's next deal will pay him that money at that age as well.

Yeah but you might have to sign Hosmer to a 9 or 10 year deal to reach that mark. And you'd at least be paying for his 28-32 seasons in the process. And maybe most importantly, we'll have a new TV deal for the most of that contract.

Willie Lanier 11-06-2015 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The GMDM Hypothesis (Post 11867501)
Can someone start a new thread telling the rest of the board to post Royals news in here and to stop starting new threads for every tidbit. LMAO

It's a world series championship, you can't tell me you didn't see an influx of Royals threads coming...

And prefer Royals threads over bidet threads any day

Kidd Lex 11-06-2015 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Willie Lanier (Post 11867520)
It's a world series championship, you can't tell me you didn't see an influx of Royals threads coming...

And prefer Royals threads over bidet threads any day

Now we're talking shit LMAO

tk13 11-06-2015 11:14 PM

I finally read through McCullough's chat. He seems skeptical about Gordon and Zobrist, but that's no surprise.

He did say he thought the payroll would be $130-140 million next year. I thought the most interesting tidbit was that LoCain wants to see what Upton and Heyward get before even talking about an extension with the Royals. That can't be a good sign.

Coach 11-06-2015 11:29 PM

One starting pitcher I would be interested to see that could have a good bounce back is Mat Latos.

Yes, I know, he sucked after he was traded from Miami. Why not entice him with a bounce-back one year deal, and with Kauffman and the Royals defense, where if he pitches well, he can get himself a big contract?

Plus, with Eiland as the pitching coach can help.

jimidollar 11-06-2015 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 11867866)
I finally read through McCullough's chat. He seems skeptical about Gordon and Zobrist, but that's no surprise.

He did say he thought the payroll would be $130-140 million next year. I thought the most interesting tidbit was that LoCain wants to see what Upton and Heyward get before even talking about an extension with the Royals. That can't be a good sign.

These guys just won a World Series. I'm not surprised that they want to cash in. Can't blame them.

KChiefs1 11-06-2015 11:42 PM

*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***
 
Ranking the free agents:

http://mweb.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on...power-rankings

5. Cueto
8. Gordon
10. Zobrist
45. Young
48. Madson

Chiefspants 11-06-2015 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach (Post 11867878)
One starting pitcher I would be interested to see that could have a good bounce back is Mat Latos.

Yes, I know, he sucked after he was traded from Miami. Why not entice him with a bounce-back one year deal, and with Kauffman and the Royals defense, where if he pitches well, he can get himself a big contract?

Plus, with Eiland as the pitching coach can help.

I would be all for this with his skillset except that he is known to be absolutely toxic in a locker room. I'd hate to risk our fantastic clubhouse chemistry with a known albatross like Latos.

Coach 11-07-2015 12:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 11867890)
I would be all for this with his skillset except that he is known to be absolutely toxic in a locker room. I'd hate to risk our fantastic clubhouse chemistry with a known albatross like Latos.

Good point, I was not aware of his attitude in the locker room. If that is the case of his shitty/toxic attitude, then I don't want any part of him.

SAUTO 11-07-2015 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11866816)
How is he seen as this generation's George Brett? He's nothing close to that.

And how was a 31 year old tearing a groin while chatting down a ball in the outfield a freak injury? It's a perfectly typical injury.

I would think it is the first time in history someone tore a groin while chatting with a ball.

KChiefs1 11-07-2015 02:08 PM

*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by KChiefs1 (Post 11867887)
Ranking the free agents:

http://mweb.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on...power-rankings

5. Cueto
8. Gordon
10. Zobrist
45. Young
48. Madson


Another ranking:

http://baseball-players.pointafter.c...6-Zack-Greinke

5. Gordon
6. Cueto
8. Zobrist
38. Young

BigCatDaddy 11-07-2015 02:33 PM

Thoughts on Kazmir? Seems like he wouldnt likely break the bank. Maybe Santana type money?

Sure-Oz 11-07-2015 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 11867890)
I would be all for this with his skillset except that he is known to be absolutely toxic in a locker room. I'd hate to risk our fantastic clubhouse chemistry with a known albatross like Latos.

GMDM won't sign him or guys that have that potential to be negative

duncan_idaho 11-07-2015 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 11868296)
Thoughts on Kazmir? Seems like he wouldnt likely break the bank. Maybe Santana type money?


Would be a solid mid-range signing, but his late season fades the past few years are concerning. Not sure he helps increase the innings total of the rotation.

RealSNR 11-07-2015 10:06 PM

You know who's available in free agency that Dayton could bring in to help if we lose Gordon?

Nori Aoki

http://static.mmzstatic.com/wp-conte...lface-meme.jpg

Buehler445 11-08-2015 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RealSNR (Post 11868785)
You know who's available in free agency that Dayton could bring in to help if we lose Gordon?

Nori Aoki

http://static.mmzstatic.com/wp-conte...lface-meme.jpg

Has he recovered from his broken femur or whatever he did? Knowing our luck if he'd have been healthy those douchebags would have won the series again.

WhawhaWhat 11-09-2015 01:38 PM

2015-16 Top 50 MLB Free Agents With Predictions

Quote:

8. Johnny Cueto – Red Sox. Five years, $115MM. Cueto served as the Reds’ ace for many years until the Royals acquired him in July, removing his qualifying offer eligibility. Prior to the trade, he went two weeks between starts due to an elbow issue, but avoided the DL. Cueto was not the dominant force the Royals expected, as he posted a 4.76 ERA in 13 regular season starts and pitched poorly in two of his four postseason outings. The righty capped his season with a complete game to take Game 2 of the World Series. Cueto’s performance since August may have knocked down his free agent value, leaving teams wary of guaranteeing a sixth year. He could still be the ace the Red Sox are seeking, as predicted by five of seven MLBTR writers, or clubs such as the Cubs, Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, Tigers, Astros, or Blue Jays could win the bidding.

9. Alex Gordon – Royals. Five years, $105MM. Gordon was drafted second overall by the Royals in 2005, one pick after Upton. He has become one of the game’s best left fielders, combining elite defense with excellent on-base skills and decent pop. Gordon’s left-handed bat would look great in a lot of lineups, but most MLBTR writers expect him to remain in Kansas City. How far will the World Champion Royals push the hometown discount? We feel Gordon’s earning power is around $100MM, so it’s hard to picture him accepting something below $75MM.

21. Ben Zobrist – Yankees. Three years, $51MM. Baseball’s Swiss Army knife would fit with more than a dozen teams, as he can handle second base and the outfield corners and even back up at shortstop. Offensively, Zobrist contributes a strong OBP and good pop, plus he’s ineligible for a qualifying offer because he was traded to the Royals. He’ll be vying for a fourth year, and Victor Martinez did get that, but with Zobrist turning 35 in May it’s still a tough sell. He remains a good fit for the Royals, while the Yankees, Orioles, Padres, Astros, and White Sox could also make sense.

30. J.A. Happ – Royals. Three years, $30MM. Happ, a 33-year-old southpaw, posted a 4.64 ERA in 108 2/3 innings for the Mariners but a 1.85 mark in 63 1/3 for the Pirates. Assuming teams feel some of that success can be replicated outside of Pittsburgh, Happ will be a popular mid-range free agent target, as he’s ineligible for a qualifying offer and probably won’t expect a four-year deal. The Pirates will attempt to retain him, while the Royals, Orioles, Padres, Angels, Giants, Tigers, A’s, Dodgers, and Marlins also make sense.

40. Mike Pelfrey – Royals. Two years, $15MM. Pelfrey isn’t the most exciting free agent starter, but the righty did make 30 starts for the Twins this year with the game’s eighth best home run prevention rate. Teams like the Royals, Tigers, and Phillies could entertain him for the back end of the rotation.

42. Ryan Madson – Twins. Three years, $15MM. Madson, 35, signed a minor league deal with the Royals in January. He hadn’t pitched in the Majors since 2011. With a 2.13 ERA and strong peripherals in 63 1/3 big league innings, Madson proved he’s all the way back as a top setup option. Suitors will prefer a two-year deal due to Madson’s age and history, but a third year might win the bid.

KevB 11-09-2015 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat (Post 11872237)

Good list, thanks for posting.

I would think 4 or 5 for $80M would be the cap for the Royals with Gordon, and that may even be pushing it.

Seems like a Zobrist and Parra combo for the same money (and fewer years) as Gordon by himself may be a better long term fit.

Don't love Happ, but whatever. Pelphrey at that cost for back of the rotation would be ok.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat (Post 11872237)

WTF? So we pass on a 3 year deal to Zobrist at $17mm per, but we sign Gordon to a 5 year deal at $21mm per? No

Pitt Gorilla 11-09-2015 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat (Post 11872237)

I think I'd rather have Zobrist than Gordon. Fortunately, Moore is making those decisions and not me.

alnorth 11-09-2015 04:09 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">KC is open to trades, but they really don&#39;t have much to deal. Hard to see them moving core guys, and the prospect pool is depleted.</p>&mdash; Andy McCullough (@McCulloughStar) <a href="https://twitter.com/McCulloughStar/status/663839430801682432">November 9, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

RealSNR 11-09-2015 04:11 PM

If we were in a similar position like we were this summer, where some rentals could really make a difference in us going all the way or sputtering in the playoffs, what would we have available? Anything?

Great Expectations 11-09-2015 04:15 PM

Any reports on the young pitchers we just drafted from Indiana?

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 04:18 PM

So here's a question relating to the MLB trade rumors article: If the Royals are willing to pay Gordon a deal for 5/105, why on earth wouldn't they go 10/200 on 26 year-old Heyward with a mid-contract option? Heyward is exactly a DM type guy, too. Plus plus defense, puts the ball in play, plus base-running, hard-working and high character.

alnorth 11-09-2015 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872662)
So here's a question relating to the MLB trade rumors article: If the Royals are willing to pay Gordon a deal for 5/105, why on earth wouldn't they go 10/200 on 26 year-old Heyward with a mid-contract option? Heyward is exactly a DM type guy, too. Plus plus defense, puts the ball in play, plus base-running, hard-working and high character.

Far, far too many years. Taking the risk of injury or decline with a lot of money past 4 or 5 years would be insane for a team like the Royals.

bigbucks24 11-09-2015 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhawhaWhat (Post 11872237)

Though it is just the opinion of mlbtraderumors, it's a far cry from the people that thought he could be had at 5/$80-$85MM. I don't think he is taking $20-$25MM less to stay with the Royals.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 11872678)
Far, far too many years. Taking the risk of injury or decline with a lot of money past 4 or 5 years would be insane for a team like the Royals.

While it is a long contract, you can mitigate injury risk with insurance and your decline risk is probably even lower than the Gordon deal given that Heyward is 26 and Gordon is 31. Furthermore, the back-end of the deal will be offset by greater revenues from the new TV contract and inflation.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 11872678)
Far, far too many years. Taking the risk of injury or decline with a lot of money past 4 or 5 years would be insane for a team like the Royals.

26 year old outfielders aren't injury risks. Even if he sucks the last few years, that would be a bargain. $20mm per year 8 years from now will be league average for a starter.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 04:53 PM

Let's just exist in fantasy land for a minute:

If you can get Glass to bump the payroll to 155, you could even look at adding Heyward, Gordon, Zobrist and a #5 SP type. (155M payroll shouldn't even be a stretch after considering the revenue the last two years has brought and the earnings potential going forward. Additionally, the increased value of the TV contract if he keeps the fan-base engaged with a winning team will have a substantial impact on the franchise's value.)

As an additional idea, you could even look at dealing a Jarrod Dyson/Omar Infante package to provide some payroll relief in this scenario. Talk about a monster of a lineup, though:

1) Heyward
2) Zobrist
3) Cain
4) Hosmer
5) Morales
6) Moose
7) Perez
8) Gordon
9) Escobar

You have improved every aspect of your line-up here. Plus you give Holland a Medlen-like deal that gives him a chance to rehab, perform and re-enter free agency. (2/5.5/10[M])

suzzer99 11-09-2015 04:54 PM

This team is going to be rebuilding after 2017. We may never see a core group of guys like this again in our lifetimes. Why not sellout to keep Gordon and Zobrist, enter 2016 and likely 2017 as WS favorites, and who cares if that screws us for a few years after 2017?

Opportunities for a 4-year WS run basically never come along for a team like the Royals. We have to go for this.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99 (Post 11872757)
This team is going to be rebuilding after 2017. We may never see a core group of guys like this again in our lifetimes. Why not sellout to keep Gordon and Zobrist, enter 2016 and likely 2017 as WS favorites, and who cares if that screws us for a few years after 2017?

Opportunities for a 4-year WS run basically never come along for a team like the Royals. We have to go for this.

I don't know that we have to. We should be huge favorites to win the division this year. If we need to add expensive players, we can find it at the deadline.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99 (Post 11872757)
This team is going to be rebuilding after 2017. We may never see a core group of guys like this again in our lifetimes. Why not sellout to keep Gordon and Zobrist, enter 2016 and likely 2017 as WS favorites, and who cares if that screws us for a few years after 2017?

Opportunities for a 4-year WS run basically never come along for a team like the Royals. We have to go for this.

I agree we should sell out to win now, as you must strike while the iron is hot. But I wouldn't write off our long-term prospects either. We have excellent deals in place with Ventura and Perez that provide some cost control. Additionally, we have some high ceiling prospects that can supplement the organization in the near-term and replace some of the outflow in 2018.

RealSNR 11-09-2015 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872756)
Let's just exist in fantasy land for a minute:

If you can get Glass to bump the payroll to 155, you could even look at adding Heyward, Gordon, Zobrist and a #5 SP type. (155M payroll shouldn't even be a stretch after considering the revenue the last two years has brought and the earnings potential going forward. Additionally, the increased value of the TV contract if he keeps the fan-base engaged with a winning team will have a substantial impact on the franchise's value.)

As an additional idea, you could even look at dealing a Jarrod Dyson/Omar Infante package to provide some payroll relief in this scenario. Talk about a monster of a lineup, though:

1) Heyward
2) Zobrist
3) Cain
4) Hosmer
5) Morales
6) Moose
7) Perez
8) Gordon
9) Escobar

You have improved every aspect of your line-up here. Plus you give Holland a Medlen-like deal that gives him a chance to rehab, perform and re-enter free agency. (2/5.5/10[M])

Swap Escobar and Heyward and you have a deal :D

Saul Good 11-09-2015 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RealSNR (Post 11872773)
Swap Escobar and Heyward and you have a deal :D

I'm not a huge fan of Cain hitting third. He has a tendency to swing out of his shoes. I'd like to see him batting second or sixth.

BigCatDaddy 11-09-2015 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872689)
While it is a long contract, you can mitigate injury risk with insurance and your decline risk is probably even lower than the Gordon deal given that Heyward is 26 and Gordon is 31. Furthermore, the back-end of the deal will be offset by greater revenues from the new TV contract and inflation.

I wonder what the insurance premiums would be on that contract.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 11872803)
I wonder what the insurance premiums would be on that contract.

Insurance premiums can be as much as 10% of the contract's annual value.
http://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/D...er-Injury.aspx

Saul Good 11-09-2015 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872808)
Insurance premiums can be as much as 10% of the contract's annual value.
http://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/D...er-Injury.aspx

They would be much higher on a 10 year deal than on a typical contract.

BigCatDaddy 11-09-2015 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872808)
Insurance premiums can be as much as 10% of the contract's annual value.
http://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/D...er-Injury.aspx

Thanks. Not too bad. You might be paying 22mil a year then.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11872810)
They would be much higher on a 10 year deal than on a typical contract.

There are a ton of things you can do to the policy to modify the premium levels.

BigCatDaddy 11-09-2015 05:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11872810)
They would be much higher on a 10 year deal than on a typical contract.

I would assume pitchers would be higher than an OFer also.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872815)
There are a ton of things you can do to the policy to modify the premium levels.

Of course, but anything that reduces the premiums is going to involve assuming more of the risk. I don't think the policy would be necessary.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 11872816)
I would assume pitchers would be higher than an OFer also.

Much higher. How many outfielders sustain major injuries?

BigCatDaddy 11-09-2015 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11872826)
Much higher. How many outfielders sustain major injuries?

Just a lot of broke dicks.

Nightfyre 11-09-2015 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 11872820)
Of course, but anything that reduces the premiums is going to involve assuming more of the risk. I don't think the policy would be necessary.

Insurance use should generally be limited. For example, insuring the early years may be preferable as you could potentially get a lower rate (I would assume a younger player would be at less risk for injury in an actuary's mind). Later years will be less important to insure because you have increased payroll flexibility, inflation, etc.

Saul Good 11-09-2015 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 11872834)
Insurance use should generally be limited. For example, insuring the early years may be preferable as you could potentially get a lower rate (I would assume a younger player would be at less risk for injury in an actuary's mind). Later years will be less important to insure because you have increased payroll flexibility, inflation, etc.

For those same reasons, I don't see the point of insuring a position player who isn't a catcher at all. Take that money and invest it in payroll. I don't give a shit if David Glass loses a few bucks on a bad contract, but I don't want him taking $10,000,000 a year that could otherwise be spent on talent going to protecting his investments.

Deberg_1990 11-09-2015 06:15 PM

Uh oh, Twins looking to add some pop

Win the rights to bargain with Korean slugger Byrug Ho Park


http://mweb.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on...-byung-ho-park

lewdog 11-09-2015 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 (Post 11872891)
Uh oh, Twins looking to add some pop

Win the rights to bargain with Korean slugger Byrug Ho Park


http://mweb.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on...-byung-ho-park

If the Twins could add some pitching, they'll be a good team next year.


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