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If you're the Jags and you get 1.1 - there's not a Godfather offer that can even be made. They're NOT trading out of that pick. Offer 'em the RGIII deal and they still won't move out of that spot, IMO. And it's that way for a lot of teams - pretty much any of them that may end up at 1.1. If they're sitting there, they have QB problems. And if they have QB problems, they're not gonna move out of the catbird seat for the premier prospect of the last decade or so. |
What's happened is crap teams have way over paid for ordinary QBs from from fear of starting over. Stafford, Ryan, Tanny, Cutler and so on and so forth. Now Dak is next for more money and recent history is that he should get more than the previous QB just becuse of the position.
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And Kirk. Accomplished nothing but get big money.
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That said, there are six possible first round QB's in the 2021 draft so if the Cowboys can't make that trade to #1 overall, they're going to get a damn good QB for far less than $30 or $35 or $40 million per, which is what Dak will cost, but without the credentials that are normally attached to a contract of that size. But as we all know, Jerry is too stubborn to tank, even though that would most likely be his best course of action. |
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It doesn’t even have to be Lawrence IMO. Trey Lance looks like a phenomenal prospect as well. I’m not a huge Fields fan, but as the #3 QB, he’s pretty damn good too. |
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Thank god we don’t have to worry about it. |
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Because if any of those teams are picking 1.1, the Manziel, Darnold and Jones experiments will have failed (with Stafford's just running its course). Correct me if I'm wrong, but none of those teams have front offices in place that selected their incumbent quarterbacks, correct? And ultimately I just disagree with the idea that they're going to "get a damn good quarterback" as a given, even in the top 10. Because history says its just as likely as not that they don't. It's a lot harder to get even an average NFL quarterback than most will admit. And Dak, for everything he may not be, is decidedly above average. |
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But if the rest might just move on to Lawrence or another top QB prospect if they end up with the top pick. At least I would. I mean Cleveland is somewhat all in on this year. top pick indicates there are serious problems most likely at QB, Rams really don't need too much more to consider Goff is a bust, the Jets and Giants might just do what Arizona did last year cut your losses and upgrade (Again bottom 5/top pick means some serious problems) Atlanta and Detroit their QB's are not getting any younger and probably new coach in Detroit might be a good time to start over... |
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Stafford? Maybe? But they've been in a position to draft Top QB's for years and continue to pass. Unless Stafford just shits the bed in 2020, I'd be surprised to see them move on from him but with Detroit, anything is possible. Quote:
In years past, QB's like Cam Newton and Andy Dalton would have been swiped up before the first day of the new League Year, yet Dalton's earning $3 million this year and Newton's unsigned. Jameis Winston, the #1 overall pick just a few years ago, signed a deal with the Saints to be a backup while Mariota was signed to the Raiders. As GM's and Head Coaches have skewed younger, so have QB's around the league. Quote:
Once again, with as many holes as the Cowboys have on their current roster, paying Dak 20% or more of their salary cap seems extremely unwise. |
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Detroit? Who the **** knows or even cares? |
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I'm not saying a dozen teams will be lining up to give him that kind of deal - but one will. It only ever takes one team. Quote:
They need to draft well to fill those holes, but they're gonna need to draft well to fill those holes with or without Dak. The history of big money FA additions in the secondary just isn't that great. |
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An injury to the starting left tackle or leading WR, defensive injuries, injury to the QB or just a shitty coaching job could easily lead to 2 or 3 wins, especially when certain teams like the Browns, Lions, Jets, Jags and Bengals are perennial losers. |
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Like that Aaron Rodgers deal, for instance. Matt Ryan? You can get him traded for something, if only a 7th. He'd carry a $23 million hit for the acquiring team and unless he suffers an Alex Smith injury, someone will be willing to take that one. Dude has been quietly very good the last several years. Deal him for a 7th, take the dead $17 million in dead money, add the $8 million or so for the new QB and you're still only at $25 million for your quarterback (when you WERE at $40 million). Goff? Yeah, he's probably right on Goff. There's a real chance that he's just not very good and he's sporting big-time guarantees in 2021 AND 2022 so you may not have much of a pool of takers there. But do people really think the Rams will suck? I mean they won't be good and they'll get worse for the next few years because they don't have any draft picks, but we're talking 6-10 sub-standard not a 2-14 collapse. |
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Of course, anything is possible but that doesn't seem like the right play because ownership would be tossing the new GM and coaching staffs after a couple of seasons or in the Browns and Giants case, one season, which doesn't make a whole lot of sense. Quote:
Look at Tannehill as a recent example. The dude was playing in quicksand down in Miami yet exploded in Tennessee after he was traded for peanuts. Quote:
The other part of the equation is this: Would Tampa or Indy have given up a 1st rounder and some change for Dak instead of signing Brady and Rivers, respectively? I think the answer is a definite "Maybe", if not a full on Yes. Both teams think they're Super Bowl ready, with their only need being at QB. If you had a chance to get Prime Years Dak instead of old, beat up and slow Philip Rivers or Old Man Brady, maybe one of those teams bites and maybe both get involved. Quote:
With probably somewhere around $105 million invested in him at that point, which is just another reason why they should take what they can get for Dak and move on, IMO. |
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The Falcons aren't sitting Matt Ryan, period, and they can't cut him because it would cost them $69 million in Dead Money. Not happening in 2021. |
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But again, they won't have to cut him - they can easily get him moved if they want to and the dead money drops significantly if they do because most his dead money is in guaranteed salary and not signing bonus. Goff it where that really applies. He'll carry a $32 million cap hit in 2022 and the Rams will take a $31 million cap hit if they cut him. $22 million if it's post June 1. So if they somehow get to 1.1, they take Lawrence and he's probably starting by mid-season but then they cut Goff w/ a 6/1 designation the following year and their cap is in about the same shape as it would've been with him, but is in far better shape going forward and they have a premium QB talent on their roster to boot. Best case scenario is he actually plays well in 2021 and they can get him traded instead of released, thus moving his $15 million roster bonus with him and saving them quite a bit. Worst case is they're no worse off in 2022 from a cap standpoint, far better thereafter and with a more talented passer for their troubles. Very very few teams are truly in a situation where they'd pass on the most talented quarterback in the draft if he was available to them. Especially in the 2021 draft. |
Say some team offers the Chiefs a first for Chris Jones and they take it, then said team completely implodes and the Chiefs get 1.1.
Obviously the Chiefs aren't going to keep Trevor Lawrence, but how would you auction him off? |
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I mean ultimately you answered your own question, didn't you? Pretty easy "highest bidder" analysis at that point. And I'd weight it more towards highest picks in 2021 in return given the weirdness of year to year performance in the NFL. That 'high 2nd rounder' we got from SF for Dee Ford sure turned to shit in a hurry, didn't it? So if I'm accepting bids, it's pretty much gonna be "who's gonna give me the most in 2021 because every last one of you is giving me at least a 1st in 2022 anyway..." The return might be as big as anything the NFL has ever seen. |
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I will never understand their hard-on for cramming 2 teams into LA. |
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But there's really no way for that to not be a parasitic relationship, is there?
There's not gonna be anybody that becomes a football fan BECAUSE the Chargers are there. Oh sure, they might be Chargers fans instead of Rams fans, but if the Chargers weren't there and they were football fans, they'd become Rams fans. I just don't see how putting the Chargers in LA helped with total eyeballs unless there's some marginal benefit from the fact that one of them will be on the road (likely in the noon slot) while the other will be at 3 and so you may have the entire LA football fan market watching from noon to 6 (just watching the hometown team even if they don't root for them) rather than merely from 3 to 6. I guess it's as good an explanation as any... |
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So even if only 30% or less of the customers on any given gameday are actual fans, all those eyes will see some of all those commercials. And that's big TV money. Advertisers will get charged more for game commercials, especially in SoCal because the potential audience is so much larger, even commercials before the game will be slightly more, because there's a higher chance of people actually watching as they get ready for the game. So it's not just about actual fans of either team, but the entire captive audiences for those time slots. Which probably is at least 3 times larger than the fanbases. |
I've been in LA for almost 28 years and before I was able to put a Direct TV dish in my home, I was out every single weekend at what few sports bars existed in LA during that time.
95% of the customers were East Coast guys, so the Giants, Jets and Eagles dominated the TV's. I was always relegated to the smallest TV in the bar, which was generally in a corner with about 3 or 4 other Chiefs fans. I've been out a few times since the Rams returned to LA and literally no one in these sports bars were watching the Rams. There's very little interest, even after their Super Bowl run in 2018. As for the Chargers, there is zero interest in the team and now that Rivers, Gates and Gordon are gone, they don't even have a single marquee player for them to hang their hat on in terms of marketing. Moving one team, let alone two teams, to SoCal was a huge miscalculation on the part of the NFL. |
No way I'm rolling with Average Ass Andy if I'm Jerry Jones. He squandered a high end receiving group with elite mode AJ Green, Sanu and Marvin Jones and a once upon a time healthy Eifert. Solid ass line too.
What did they get from all that? A bunch of one and dones. Dak isn't great, but hell I'd make them pay too because what the **** else are they gonna do? Just reaching into the draft and plucking a new starter isn't a breeze like some people are making it out to be. Quote:
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Lewis couldn't get shit out of Carson Palmer and Chad Johnson all those years, just like he couldn't get shit out of Dalton, Green, Mixon etc. Bruce Arians was able to get enough of out an old and beat up Carson Palmer to lead them to the NFC Championship game and one win from the Super Bowl, yet Lewis couldn't win a freaking playoff game in more than 8 years with Palmer at the helm. Carson Palmer is yet another example of a player with elite abilities being relegated to the bottom tier because he was drafted by a shitty and dysfunctional franchise. |
He Dak out played Mahomes, according to Skip Bayless, so he deserves more money than Mahomes. ROFL
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It may have already been mentioned but in texas there is no state income tax.If Dak were to sign with a California team he'd be paying 12.3% so that 175 mill would have to be 196 mil just to equal out.
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Hey man. Good to see you posting! That’s a really fun and intriguing hypothetical. I mean, your asking price and return price would be stupid, so stupid it might shift the NFL draft pick value chart. I’d ask for a team’s next 3 first round picks - and then some. 2021 1st and 3rd 2022 1st and 2nd 2023 1st and 3rd It’s Herschel Walker trade territory. But man, the flexibility it would give KC... Fun thing to think about that will never happen... |
Either Dak will come out of this as one smart ballsy guy who wins at the end or so ****ed up he will look like Dak on Crack.
I'm eager to see which turn it takes...... |
Greedy hippy
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I would cut him. Do it Jerry.
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Dak isn't worth half of that, he is an idiot.
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Dak is and idiot
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Rule One of sports contract negotiations - never follow the Mike Moustakas plan of attack.
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I think the Browns are going to be better than people predict
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Winner plays the Bears in the SB. |
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I saw a dumbass say LA are more dangerous with Tyrod ROFL
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Boy, wouldn't that suck for Phillip Rivers To sign with the Colts only for the Chargers to finally succeed... (But that isn't gonna happen on Mahomes' watch.) Sorry for the random thought that was a bit off topic... |
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Mayfield win Percentage against teams with a winning record is Ryan leaf bad if I remember correctly. It is his 3rd year, if he does the same he is out. |
Brady and Tyrod are wild cards. Rivers and Winston ruined their teams season. Brady and Tyrod won't.
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Dak turns downs 5 year 175 million deal from Cowboys
Dak is close to signing his tender.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...c6083f47cf.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...1e1f7a2e.plist |
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The conditions should be interesting
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DAK sucks, he should hall ass to go sign that tender before Jerruh realized DAK is basically Andy Dalton but costs a shitload more than Andy Dalton
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****ing let him walk
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Mahomes should get at least 40 mil plus.
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One year, set for life. Would be a madman not to sign regardless of his ceiling. Looks like Dallas will give Dak the Kirk Cousins treatment.
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Chris Jones will be smart to sign his, too.
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I'm OK with the top 3, but after that there's a huge step down |
I would think with the current covid situation that anyone with a franchise tag would be running out to sign it. Next years cap is murky at best right now.
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I wouldnt want Dak for anything more than $20M a season. He is no where close to a top QB and his asking price is insane.
I would legitimately rather not have a QB and draft one than invest in Dak. |
I'd go with Dalton over paying him
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And you're suggesting he be paid like a bottom 5 QB. |
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When Zeke is out, Dak looks ordinary AF. When Dak plays against top teams, he looks ordinary AF. Just personal preference, but I wouldnt want him at anything close to what he is asking for. |
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There's a reason Dallas hasn't won anything in so many years. Let them sign this average QB to a big contract. It's good for laugh.
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Never wanna wish it on anyone but It would be fitting if this idiot got injured and never earns even a quarter of what he declined. Greedy ****.
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Would you take less money at your job than what your employer is willing to pay? |
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ummmm hello, he declined a 5year/175M deal. He thinks he deserves more than that which is just ridiculous considering he's maybe an above average QB at best. |
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I'm not saying that a QB that doesn't do that is a piece of shit. Hell no! Get paid! Just saying lets not act that everyone puts money above everything. |
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1 - the nflpa would lose their minds if something like that happened, all players would be under unfair scrutiny if they didn't follow suit and "take one for the team's potential future success" and that's an unfair burden to put on not only future FAs but the player in question as well... 2 - Tom Brady's career is an anomaly. He was financially set for a long while now considering his insanely wealthy wife, so that argument really needs to be thrown out of the discussion. In a fantasy world in which players cared more about team success over personal gain, sure you have some talking points; but that world is just that, a fantasy |
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Also, Brady was taking discounts way before he met his wife. |
Last 3 seasons, Dak's record against winning teams: 6 wins, 17 losses, 25 TD, 25 INT. Yep Dallas. Pay this guy more than Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes. LMAO
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IF Mahomes is willing to go the discount direction, he needs to demand 100% guaranteed money. There has to be compromise from the Chiefs on that front. If Kirk Cousins can get a fully guaranteed deal, then Mahomes should be demanding the same treatment...especially if he's willing to give them a discount on the actual salary. |
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