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Looks like Ravens are getting Mark Andrews back. That's a big one.
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**** Mark Andrews.
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Guys, Prisco picked us to win.
This is not good |
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My faith is restored!!! |
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Injuries
For the second day in a row, running back Isiah Pacheco won't practice for the Chiefs. Reid said the sophomore man did participate in the team's walkthrough, however. This is more of a rest situation than anything else, as Pacheco indicated on Wednesday that he plans to play this weekend. The biggest positive news for Kansas City is that safety Mike Edwards is expected to return to practice on Thursday. While it's unclear whether Edwards will clear protocol in time to play this weekend, he appears to be progressing well. Reid said the Chiefs will exercise caution with his practice plan. Reid said his veteran linebacker is battling some neck stiffness and suffered a setback in the team's last playoff game. Gay is trending in a solid direction for Sunday but if he can't play, Reid is satisfied with Drue Tranquill's ability to offset some of the production lost. |
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Man we ****ing NEED Pop to be a full go on Sunday.
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The Christmas Raiders game was pretty discouraging, and even I was pretty down on KC's chances to get it together. But it turns out, it was a turning point, and they've been much better since. And while I don't think anyone is particularly SUPREMELY CONFIDENT, I think most will take Mahomes + a great defense in any single game. That's not the same thing as the GDT shitweasels, who just cannot wait to go full blame-game at the first opportunity. And I'm with you, those posters ruin everything for those of us who would like to follow the game and chat football in real time. But let's rein it in a little bit here. |
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BELIEF IN CHIEF! BELIEF IN CHIEF! BELIEF IN CHIEF! |
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Lucky for us they might be the only two. |
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Florio picked them because they were his preseason pick. He picked them last week, too. Seemed like it was grudging/he doesn’t really believe it, though. |
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The Dolphins game was great, even when the Tyreek touchdown happened.... and the Bills game was doom and gloom throughout (granted, I didn’t read much of it in the 2nd half), even when it was obvious the offense was going to have its way with the Bills. |
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You'd have to sign up to get banned ;) |
People are on tv this morning saying KC cannot compete physically with Baltimore. Seems to me that Baltimore is going to get a lot of personal foul penalties.
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Happy Red Friday folks
And do not forget, they gotta play us. Six years, six years that the AFC team who wants to go to the Super Bowl has to beat Patrick Mahomes. |
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Chris Jones can earn another million by winning this game. He’s going to give that oline hell.
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If a rusty Andrews takes snaps from Likely, that's a positive. Now if Andrews takes snaps from Nelson Agholor and they grind us up with 12 personnel, that's not ideal. But they haven't had those two on the field together a lot and Likely isn't really a plus blocker at this stage of his career so it may not be the time to lean into those packages. We'll see. If Andrews is a problem, Likely would've been as well. It will be a scheme problem more than a personnel mismatch. |
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And with how they were getting blockers out to help with the quick screens and then using those blockers to rugby push forward... it's tough to defend. As a defense, you aren't going to simply say you're defending all of that all the time, and it takes time to adjust to their script. Just like every other "scary" running team ever, you let them run the ball and don't get sucked into it too much.... there's no "establishing the run" and "gotta stop the run"... you just can't let it get out of hand to the point the offense is picking up first downs on 1st and 2nd downs (happened on 2 drives last weekend). You still have to make enough early down stops to force them into passing downs, then defend those without letting Allen run wild. Let them take 13 plays to march down the field.. it's what all defenses do these days. People get pissed early in games when "they're running right down our throats!" and then they settle for a FG and everything is okay again. Rinse, repeat. |
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Then I check his stats, and they’re pretty pedestrian. I must have seen every big play he made. |
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Nobody remembers Antonio Gates rookie year, but he didn't know his ass from a hole in the ground. Likey was kinda like that - just very raw but an incredible physical talent. I'd friggen love to have had him here to learn behind Kelce. When the lights come on for him, he'll make everyone forget about Mark Andrews, IMO. He could be the league's next superstar TE. |
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Crazy to me that we constantly get gashed by the same thing. Then again, my memory is that the Ravens system doesn't really throw to the RBs very much. Gotta figure they'll go to the TEs and Flowers from the slot a lot on play fakes as a proxy for those RB throws. |
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I thought the Bills did a good job of getting the ball out quickly and outnumbering the defense, and then had some misdirection and RPO type of stuff, too. And then when they really needed a play, Allen would figure it out with a lateral or that touchdown pass to the pylon. Definitely not dismissing the plays where they'd fall forward for 8 yards after contact or would completely leave a guy out of the backfield uncovered. The worst of it for the defense probably comes down to the defensive line needing to blow up shit before it starts, and this week needing closer to a burrowhead level of effort from them. |
If I’m Spagnuolo this is the game plan. Lock the Everyone 1 on 1 on outside and put as many man in the box. If Lamar beats you throwing I can live with that but letting his beat you with his feet is unacceptable.
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Mark Andrews is officially back.
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He’s a ball player though. I like him. |
I want Lamar throwing the ball 30+ times. Stop the run, show blitz/loaded boxes frequently, and play plenty of zone to allow the secondary to keep eyes on the quarterback.
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If the Chiefs lose, the NFL is not rigged.
Zero chance the League would pass on Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl. |
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If the chiefs main perpersonnel is 13, then 3 tight ends/one rb/one wr that won't do good against the ravens.
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That wouldn't do well. Seriously Lamar, you really should be studying right now. Not arguing with your betters on the internet. |
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In fact, I would just focus on stopping Lamar from running. Now with that, you're going to give up yards to the other RB's, but I'd gladly give up something to get something much bigger in return. |
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Didn’t Chris Cooley used to do a lot of that stuff? |
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Edit: H-back. J-back was our high school terminology for the TE in a triple option. |
This will be the first time we have played Baltimore without Mathieu, who admittedly did a lot to limit them over the MOF in the past. But this is a different offense we are facing and defense they are facing as a whole too.
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Man, that defense was so bad. It’s night and day from this year. |
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We need to get them playing from behind, force them out of their plan. |
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I think we should still defer if we win the toss, but this may be one of those instances where you consider taking the ball. If you get a score and a stop, you're one drive away from putting the Ravens in a real bind. You get up 10 or 14 on them, it'll take a lot of willpower to not start opening up the offense a bit. Especially since they saw this happen not too terribly long ago against Tennessee. Some doubt WILL creep in. Harbaugh's a good coach - they may be able to ignore all that. That's why I'd probably still defer. But I'd understand if Andy didn't. |
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Now we know we can’t run Chris out at end in this Championship matchup. At least not outside of obvious passing situations. |
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Pasta Little Brioni? |
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See Cleveland bludgeoning them for almost 200 yards rushing… led by a back-up RB. |
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Against roughly half their schedule full of shite QBs (plus Stroud in his first NFL game), they gave up 9 points/gm. Against the other half against high quality QBs they gave up 23 points/gm. Again, the Eagles parallels start to surface again. But then again, the DVOA stuff does attempt to adjust for that. I just don't worry much about how defenses performed against anyone that WASN'T Patrick Mahomes. He's just a different cat. Can he have a bad game? Sure - but if he's on, the quality of your defense just doesn't matter. I think it was 2 years ago he kept going up against the #1 scoring defense; like 2 or 3 times that seasons - and averaged 30 odd points/pop against them to re-set the rankings. Guy rises to challenges far more often than he doesn't. I mean there's really not a ton to say. On paper, the Ravens should win by less than a score. But in either event, these are two teams that are REALLY evenly matched in most ways. It should be a damn good game. Though I'd be content with a Chiefs blowout win as well... |
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You do it all day against Lamar. All ****ing day. Legendary Chiefs defensive game coming. |
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I'm also glad we have the early game where there's still a decent chance it'll be raining in Baltimore at kickoff.
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Edwards doesn't have the wheels that Conner has, but he's not bad in that regard and he's clever out there. Combine that with the generally stout coverage we'll get on the outside, and I would be pretty comfortable rolling a lot of single high out there. Reid down in the box can do some pretty stout work to shut down that TE passing game and prevent a 3 yard run from becoming an 8+ yard run. Someone give Buddy Ryan a call and do a crash course on the 46 Defense, stat! |
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He was 11/17 101 yards 1 TD and a 100 rating |
I think 20-21 points could very well win this game. Two elite defenses. Both sides have every incentive to try and run the ball. Explosive plays could be very rare.
If it's a clean game from both sides with no really costly turnovers, I think 21 points does it. |
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Spags doesn't want to play a bunch of single high though. He knows he can let his CBs play extremely physical if they have sure help behind them.
He's gonna play games in the front 7 - McDuffie will blitz plenty, the LBs too. But I don't expect a bunch of one-high. |
Every legit QB other than a green rookie torched that defense
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