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Saul Good 11-16-2015 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 11889034)
I would not. Almonte is the #1 SP prospect we have atm. If we have any hope of staying competitive past 2017 we really need either him or Zimmer to work out.

With Zimmer and Manaea's injury history, there was a very good reason why Almonte was considered untouchable at the deadline.

The trade would nearly guarantee us another playoff appearance. Worth it every time, IMO.

lewdog 11-16-2015 06:25 PM

Can't deplete the farm of any more arms IMO. I'm definitely out on sending Almonte anywhere.

BigCatDaddy 11-16-2015 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 11889153)
Can't deplete the farm of any more arms IMO. I'm definitely out on sending Almonte anywhere.

What do they say? TINSTAPP?

Chiefspants 11-16-2015 08:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 11889159)
What do they say? TINSTAPP?

I doubt many will claim it now, but there were a fair amount of people who wanted us to flip Ventura for Howie Kendrick in 2013. TINSTAPP and "next Juan Cruz" were the main points of this crowd's argument.

I am all for keeping our 2016-2017 window as wide open as possible, but I'd rather we do it ala re-upping Gordo and Zo than depleting MLB ready arms on our farm.

Coach 11-16-2015 08:39 PM

Slow news day, but...
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Read up on our PDC extension w/ the <a href="https://twitter.com/Royals">@Royals</a>, extending the longest AAA affiliation in <a href="https://twitter.com/MiLB">@MiLB</a>
<a href="https://t.co/CdLHVX0Q3Y">https://t.co/CdLHVX0Q3Y</a> <a href="https://t.co/3BW7531Dx3">pic.twitter.com/3BW7531Dx3</a></p>&mdash; Omaha Storm Chasers (@OMAStormChasers) <a href="https://twitter.com/OMAStormChasers/status/666427565293223936">November 17, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

alnorth 11-16-2015 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 11889361)
I doubt many will claim it now, but there were a fair amount of people who wanted us to flip Ventura for Howie Kendrick in 2013. TINSTAPP and "next Juan Cruz" were the main points of this crowd's argument.

I am all for keeping our 2016-2017 window as wide open as possible, but I'd rather we do it ala re-upping Gordo and Zo than depleting MLB ready arms on our farm.

Well, TINSTAPP doesn't mean undervalue your prospects either, the term was coined in response to fans irrationally overvaluing pitching prospects to an extreme. If you don't need to sell off your lottery tickets to improve the team, then you may as well scratch them and see if you won.

Chiefspants 11-16-2015 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 11889373)
Well, TINSTAPP doesn't mean undervalue your prospects either, the term was coined in response to fans irrationally overvaluing pitching prospects to an extreme. If you don't need to sell off your lottery tickets to improve the team, then you may as well scratch them and see if you won.

Oh, absolutely. My comment was more in reference to those who use TINSTAPP as justification to trade every pitching prospect away.

duncan_idaho 11-16-2015 08:44 PM

I think a trade of a long-controlled piece like Almonte would more be more likely for a piece like Marcell Ozuna, who is controlled for 4 more seasons if I remember correctly.

For a one-year rental, I don't think Almonte would be on the table. Especially not for a guy who is a good-but-not-great impact guy.

Something like Cheslor Cuthbert + Jorge Bonifacio, I could buy (though I don't know that Bonifacio fits what the A's want from hitters, Cuthbert's patience at the plate DOES).

Chiefspants 11-16-2015 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 11889379)
I think a trade of a long-controlled piece like Almonte would more be more likely for a piece like Marcell Ozuna, who is controlled for 4 more seasons if I remember correctly.

For a one-year rental, I don't think Almonte would be on the table. Especially not for a guy who is a good-but-not-great impact guy.

Something like Cheslor Cuthbert + Jorge Bonifacio, I could buy (though I don't know that Bonifacio fits what the A's want from hitters, Cuthbert's patience at the plate DOES).

I personally would be taken aback a bit if the Royals parted with Cuthbert. I was surprised but Andy listed him as one of the Royals "untouchables" during the deadline.

tk13 11-16-2015 08:59 PM

I'd buy that. I'm a big Cuthbert fan. He just looks like he has "it." When he got a chance to play he looked like he belongs.

I like Almonte too though. He's more of a raw project but his stuff is off the charts good. If we could somehow get him and Zimmer right along with Ventura who is signed long term, we will do some damage. Pair that with Cuthbert/Mondesi/Salvy and hopefully a couple from our current core group, this team will be competitive.

WhawhaWhat 11-16-2015 09:07 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/SSJWHB">@SSJWHB</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/nate_bukaty">@nate_bukaty</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/TheFakeNed">@TheFakeNed</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/TacoSalazarKC">@TacoSalazarKC</a> Moose is at Dancing with the Stars?? <a href="https://t.co/VUwg43YIqi">pic.twitter.com/VUwg43YIqi</a></p>&mdash; greg herman (@ghermang) <a href="https://twitter.com/ghermang/status/666425263929090048">November 17, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Prison Bitch 11-16-2015 11:26 PM

Alex won't be doing the Plaza light switch this year. (Will be the chick who wrote "Gone Girl")

A sign?

cosmo20002 11-17-2015 01:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 11889373)
Well, TINSTAPP doesn't mean undervalue your prospects either, the term was coined in response to fans irrationally overvaluing pitching prospects to an extreme. If you don't need to sell off your lottery tickets to improve the team, then you may as well scratch them and see if you won.

Wasn't sure what TINSTAAPP was so I had to look it up. First article that came up was something from Dec. 2010 on ESPN. Had a couple of lines I thought were funny--one about Alex Gordon being a bust, and another about the writer being skeptical the Royals could make a run by 2013 or 14.

He mentions the Royals needing three of its talented but young starters to pan out, but I don't know exactly who he is talking about. Could have been Ventura and Duffy and someone, or it could have been someone already on the team. Anyway, just thought it was funny.

Just another TINSTAAPP lesson

12/28/2010
Rob Neyer

We've talked about TINSTAAPP -- TINZ-tap: "There is no such thing as a pitching prospect." -- before, but I find the principle endlessly fascinating, so I was glad to find that some enterprising young fellow has compiled 21 years' worth of Baseball America's Top 100 Prospects lists, from which one might glean all sorts of interesting notions.

I'm going to start with something really simple. Here are the top-rated hitters and pitchers from each year, presented chronologically (in a number of cases, the top-rated guy repeated a year later, and they are noted as such) ...

Hitters: Andujar Cedeno, Chipper Jones (2), Cliff Floyd, Alex Rodriguez, Andruw Jones (2), Ben Grieve, J.D. Drew, Pat Burrell, Josh Hamilton, Hank Blalock, Mark Teixeira, Joe Mauer (2), Delmon Young, Alex Gordon, Jay Bruce, Matt Wieters, Jason Heyward.

Pitchers: Todd Van Poppel, Brien Taylor (2), James Baldwin, Armando Benitez, Paul Wilson, Kerry Wood (2), Rick Ankiel (2), Josh Beckett (2), Jesse Foppert, Edwin Jackson, Felix Hernandez, Francisco Liriano, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Joba Chamberlain, David Price, Stephen Strasburg.

I believe that first list accounts for six MVP Awards, and the second for exactly one Cy Young Award.

I believe the first list includes one absolute bust -- arguably Gordon, so far -- while the second includes two absolute busts (Taylor and Foppert) along with a number of pitchers (Van Poppel, Baldwin, Wilson, Wood) who did hang around for a while but never hit the predicted heights.

Ankiel is in a class of his own. The jury is still out on Dice-K and Joba. You really can't say anything negative about Hernandez or Price (except Price is still young and highly susceptible to the same injury woes that have waylaid so many other young pitchers).

None of this means that young pitchers aren't valuable, or shouldn't be considered legitimate prospects. And at least a few teams do seem to have made some real progress toward keeping young pitchers healthy. As Jonah Keri notes in his soon-to-be-published book about the Rays:
The Rays’ new generation of pitchers wasn’t merely good. It was also extraordinarily healthy. From late 2005 to mid-2009, only one pitcher at any level of the organization, left-hander Jacob McGee, underwent Tommy John surgery; no team saw a lower rate during that stretch. From May 2008 to August 2010, only one Rays starter, Scott Kazmir, spent a single day on the disabled list, making Tampa Bay’s the healthiest pitching staff in baseball by a mile. (Niemann and Davis went on the DL in August 2010 with minor injuries; both returned quickly.)

The point is that unless you're a Rays fan, you might want to make at least some small attempt to avoid getting too excited about young pitchers. Frankly, this is what leaves me most skeptical about the Royals and their (now) Mission 2013 (or '14). Especially considering the departure of Zack Greinke, the Royals' youth movement simply won't work unless at least three of their very talented, but very young, starting pitchers pan out. And history suggests that they will not.

Chiefspants 11-17-2015 01:38 AM

Rob Neyer gave up on the Royals around 2009.

Fansy the Famous Bard 11-17-2015 02:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefspants (Post 11889819)
Rob Neyer gave up on the Royals around 2009.

He was pretty open that he did it for multiple reasons.

1. self preservation - to keep his sanity

2. he needed to show a bit of impartiality as he moved up the national sportswriter ranks.


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