I think there’s a good chance we’ll face the Colts.

I will say they picked a good year to go to 7 teams. That won't hold every year though. If this was the old system, this might be the most brutal year to make the AFC playoffs ever. I didn't realize there were already six teams with 10 wins.

It's possible one of these teams goes 11-5 and misses the playoffs. I don't think that's ever happened before, even in the old system.

Cassels Patriots missed the playoffs at 11-5

Actually, just playing around with this playoff machine, it's not hard to come up with a wild week 17 in a bunch of different ways if this machine is right.

Especially if the Colts take down the Steelers next week. The Titans split their last two, Dolphins and Ravens win out.

You'd set up week 17 Browns/Steelers where if the Browns win they'd be the 2 or 3 seed. Or... if they lose, they finish 11-5 and out of the playoffs. That would be the most Cleveland Browns thing of all time.

According to ESPN just now, A Chiefs win vs. ATL or a PIT loss to IND and KC clinches the 1-seed.

Bills loss would do it too. Chiefs have tiebreaker vs Pitt alone on common games.

Chiefs would also clinch next week with wins by the Saints over the Vikings, Ravens over the Giants, Bucs over the Lions, no tie in the Chargers/Broncos game, no tie in the Raiders/Dolphins game, Panthers over WFT, and the Texans over the Bengals. There are a few other similar combinations it seems.

Pats were 11-5 the year Cassel replaced Brady.

Elway's Broncos went 11-5 in the mid 80's and missed the playoffs.

I think those are the only 2 at 11-5. There have been a handful of 10-6, including the Chiefs in Vermeils last year that have missed as well.

Agreed

I think we play Indy second round

Remember when the Chiefs rolled the Falcons for 8 TD's- 4 by Priest and 4 by LJ?

I think we might see something like that this weekend. 2 Hill, 2 Kelce, 1 Bell, 1 Hardman, 1 Mahomes rushing, 1 Ryan Pick 6

I think we are going to absolutely stomp the Falcons in the dust and play our most complete game in all three phases this weekend.

#1 Seed Clinched!

The broadcaster said in the game last night the Bills have a 0.1% Chance of getting the 1 seed. It must require a incredible convergence of circumstances for them.

It was Blaylock not LJ.

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Pitt loss or win won't matter if we beat Atl. We would have better record no matter what.

Not trying to be an ass, but that's why it says "OR".

Nope

Yep, Derrick Blaylock.

I'd say lets beat the Falcons, roll the starters out for a half vs the Chargers like the normal 3rd preseason game, then go from there.

I like this.

This stupid tracker was wrong for hours last night after Pitt lost. It kept telling people we have the bye locked up. Its useless in real time.

We need to beat the Falcons.



Then..... sit Mahomes. That hit he took because of our O-line could have sunk our season.


Hasn't Andy done it both ways, sit starters and played starters, when he's had the bye?

I think its to do with avoiding the 3 way tie which is the only way Chiefs can be ousted from the #1 seed

You can play everyone without putting anyone in harms way.

Anyone with a nagging injury can sit for 2 weeks. Run it alot, etc.

Seemed fine to me. I think people just don't understand how to use it. It makes assumptions about every game unless you specifically pick winners, so people think that the results are locked in. That gets iffy when there are a dozen different games that matter for tiebreakers.

That means sitting Fisher. Making our O-Line worse. So you put Mahomes back with an even worse line back there since he doesn't have a nagging injury?


You dont need Mahomes to stay in shape to handoff to a RB in week 17.

Exactly.

I'm not sitting a healthy starter for 2 full weeks for any reason.

Wellll then, there certainty was a lot of user error last night. Idiots. :shake:

Rpo, quick game, etc.

A let down is always possible in our first playoff game, but this team has showcased why it can come back no matter what the odds. I'd say sit your starters if you beat the Falcons for 2 weeks to be absolutely sure you don't get one of your stars injured. All it takes is one play, and I would rather lose our first playoff game with all of our guys healthy and ready to go, than to lose it because we shouldn't have played Travis/Tyreek/Sammy/Leveon/Patrick. Andy will have never heard the end of it if one of them gets injured, or even any member of our already depleted offensive line. Take the rest, believe in Mahomes and this team's ability that even if they come out and play shitty for a half, or even three quarters, in that first playoff game against the Titans/Browns/whoever, that they'll come back. We need to start believing we are better than the stigmas and superstitions of the last 50 years before the Superbowl LIV.

Yeah, I agree that seems to be too long. But.... I'd rather have a rusty Mahomes than see him get sandwiched like he did Sunday by that SD D-line. He goes down, so does our SB hopes.

I know every single play, it could happen. But, its all relative.

Getting injured in a game that doesn't matter that takes away our great chance to win a SB would be a ****ing tragedy.

You have seen Mahomes take more risks on getting hit in the playoffs. And thats okay. It's all a risk/reward equation. He's pretty good at that equation too.

The Buffalo Bills can clinch the 2nd seed next Monday with a win & a Pittsburgh Steelers loss to the Indianapolis Colts & a Tennessee Titans loss to the Green Bay Packers.

That's happening.

1. Chiefs - bye

2. Bills
3. Browns
4. Colts
5. Titans
6. Steelers
7. Dolphins

7)Dolphins @ 2)Bills
6)Steelers @ 3)Browns
5)Titans @ 4)Colts

3 wildcard games vs divisional opponents.

Has that ever happened before?

If they can beat the Titans at home.

If I'm not mistaken, the Browns play the Steelers and the Bills play the Dolphins in week 17 so two of those Wild Card matchups would literally be back-to-back rematches. That would be weird.

The Chiefs/Raiders did that in 1991 I think.

I'm down for it. Seems like it could be pretty chaotic.

First two Chiefs games I ever attended.

We won both — last week determined where they played the next week in the wild card. May have been the last game Todd Marinovich played?

If Indy beats Pitt, Miami beats Raiders and Buff beats NE then Buff can screw the Ravens over.

Buff would have the 2 seed locked up and could rest their starters in week 17 (vs Mia), allowing Miami to get in over the Ravens.

The following teams have to win in the next two weeks for the Bills to get the bye:

Bills win last two versus Patriots and Dolphins then...

In week 16 the following teams win: Vikings Lions Raiders Giants Bengals Falcons Steelers Browns Washington Chargers

and

In week 17 the following teams win: Bengals Steelers Titans Chargers Patriots Falcons Raiders

It isn’t happening.

Regardless of what happens with the Chiefs the pathway for either the Bills or Steelers to get the bye is nearly impossible. It’s over. Path to the Super Bowl runs through Arrowhead.

That’s exactly what I think happens.

Toad started the MNF game in 92 the next year. My 2nd Chiefs game and first MNF game.

We smashed them 27-7 and the crowd was walking down the ramps chanting "Oh and 4! Oh and 4!" because that was their record after we beat them that night.

this is so confusing:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ep2rlBDX...pg&name=medium

i think #4 for Chiefs depends on some random teams winning making the steelers or Bill Strength of Victory better

so we want all the teams that we beat besides the bills that we have played this year to win

and the teams the bills/Steelers beat to lose out

im too lazy to go through all 3 teams victories to see who we are rooting for

ok **** it......If Im doing this right we want all the below teams to lose

Steelers wins:
Giants
Broncos
Texans
Eagles
Browns
Titans
Ravens
Cowboys
Bengals
Jaguars


Bills Wins:
Jets
Dolphins
Raiders
Rams
Pats
Seahawks
Chargers
49ers
Broncos

I know we want the Saints to beat the Vikings & I assume we want the Buccaneers to beat the Lions & the Texans to beat the Bengals.

I think if those 3 things happen...the Chiefs get the bye.

...

Inasmuch as there has never been three WC games per conference, I'mma go with, "No"

Took another round...

Wild Card:
Bills (2) over Ravens (7)
Browns (3) over Steelers (6)
Titans (4) over Colts (5)

Saints (2) over Cardinals (7)
Seattle (6) over Los Angeles (3)
Tampa Bay (5) over Washington (4)

Divisional:
Chiefs (1) over Titans (4)
Bills (2) over Browns (3)

Packers (1) over Seattle (6)
Saints (2) over Tampa Bay (5)

Conference:
Chiefs (1) over Bills (2)
Packers (1) over Saints (2)

Super Bowl:
Chiefs over Packers

The league will make sure the Ravens face the Chiefs in the playoffs because it didn’t happen last year..

Pretty sure this is a big part of the scenario where that Cleveland/Pitt game in week 17 either puts Cleveland as the 3 seed, or out of the playoffs entirely.

Pittsburgh wins and they might very well let the Ravens in. But if they lose Pittsburgh's going on the road.

It’s going to be kinda hard not flipping over to watch that Colts vs Steelers game on Sunday at noon.

This is cool! Who do you want to play? I know many people's thoughts on the Ravens, but I'd have to think I'd rather play the Dolphins than the Ravens.

In a world with each game being a coinflip, which it is not, Chiefs get 1 seed 99.55% of scenarios. Steelers 0.40%, Bills 0.05%. Weight those odds with strength of team indicators, and it's like 0.000000005%.

It's just fun to talk about, I guess. I mostly am just glad that we aren't likely to try and take 3 full weeks off though. That would be dangerous, IMO.

:thumb:

I was at that game and completely forgot Blaylock was even on our team.

It was an NFL record.

https://www.profootballhof.com/news/...8-rushing-tds/

I was also at the game, which is why I remembered Blaylock. Our starter rushed for 4 TDs, and then we put our backup in, and he ran for 4 TDs.

Its the highest Chiefs score of any Chiefs game I have ever attended.

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https://www.pro-football-reference.c...0410240kan.htm


Atlanta's only score was a PR TD. That was a fun Chiefs run. The Dante Hall explosion, Priest Holmes, Trent Green, Kennison, LJ, and of course Tony Gonzalez. Defense? Yikes - some of the worst defenses in history.

I wish they had kept Priest in to see how many TDs he could get. Possible record. I believe that game was before his serious injury later that year.

I believe the serious injury was 2005 - so the next year.

Let's just win today & forget all about these damn scenarios! :thumb:

Bye bye baby!

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I just chucked in some likely outcomes for week 17 and got for the AFC:

Colts at Bills
Browns at Steelers
Ravens at Tenessee

Some quite good storylines and games there.

There's an interesting situation in Buffalo and Pittsburgh. As far as I can tell, it looks like the only way that Buffalo loses the 2 seed is if Pittsburgh wins. I think Pittsburgh has already decided to rest starters. But will Buffalo play their starters just in case Pittsburgh's backups manage to beat Cleveland? Depending on who the Steelers sit, it's possible. Maybe Buffalo will begin the game with starters and monitor the situation in Cleveland?

I ran the scenarios assuming Buffalo and Pittsburgh lose resting starters.

Wildcard:

Buffalo 2 vs Cleveland 7

Baltimore 6 vs Pittsburgh 3

Miami 5 vs Tennessee 4

I then pick Buffalo, Baltimore, Tennessee in those matchups.

Next round would be..

Kansas City1 vs Baltimore 6

Buffalo 2 vs Tennessee 4

Then that makes me predict KC and Tennessee in the AFC Championship.

Repeat of last year!

I’m thinking Ravens then Bills.

In the Championship? Not quite sure what you mean..

think he just means Bills beat the Titans in your scenario

Oh..got it.

:thumb:

The Titans defense is so bad. Hard to envision them winning two playoff games again.

I will laugh so hard if Buffalo everyone's latest masturbatory aid gets bounced first round

Buffalo's best bet is to lose this week so they play the Browns.

If Buffalo wins this week and Browns win they get the Titans..who are a TERRIBLE matchup both ways for Buffalo and I think BLO goes home and its now 26 years+ since a playoff win.

Maybe, But I'd bet Miami takes Tenn out. Most every year, some Cinderella makes noise - last year it was the Titans. This year IMO it will be Miami, if they get in.

Yeah it's looking more and more like Chiefs v Bills. Revenge after 27 years sounds good.

Yep. Bad matchup for Buff.

Why would the Titans be a terrible matchup for Buffalo? Their defense can't stop anyone right now. The Chiefs ran all over Buffalo, but Buffalo's run defense is otherwise middle of the pack. They match up with Derrick Henry about the same way KC would.

Remember, the Titans started the year 5-0. They've been a .500 team since. They're not a bad matchup for opponents.

Bills vs Chiefs? I wonder what kind of contract Bell could get from another team $$

Titans blitzed Buffalo earlier in the season I guess

Cam couldn't hit the broadside of a barn & they ran for 145

That's true. But the two teams are headed in opposing directions. Buffalo has won 8 of their last 9, the one loss being that fluke Hail Mary against Arizona.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

I was wrong. Assuming Buffalo wins this week and Browns, Titans win Buffalo gets Indy.

But Tennessee would be the matchup if Bills win and Titans lose to Texans this week.

If this happened Tennessee's D is terrible against most teams. But they play this cloud coverage that screws up Josh Allen. In the previous Tenny vs Buffalo game Allen got frustrated he couldn't hit his primary downfield and kept hitting checkdowns..giving up on going further downfield.

Also, Tenny's offense stomped on the Bills. Bills can get bullied inside zone, throws to middle of the field. Everything Tenny does Buffalo hates.

Tennessee's offense can be a problem for many teams. They have the league's best running back and physical receivers. More weapons than they had last season. Their problem is the pass defense.

I feel like Allen keeps improving as a QB. Teams watch film so it's hard to think what Tennessee or KC did against him earlier this season hasn't been copied by others.

Then again, one game anything can happen. Buffalo hasn't won a playoff game in forever. The Titans won two last season.

I will really look forward to football next week knowing the Chiefs don't play. One less stressful weekend.

The Titans D is pretty bad against most QB's. Best way to describe it is "guard the bleachers". Buffalo's offense did not like it. And Titans were missing a bunch of players including most of their WR's and best pass-rusher in Simmons.

I bet our divisional round opponent will be either the Ravens or Titans. We know we won't be facing the Bills or Steelers.

Baltimore @ Tennessee in the first round is going to be fun.