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I honestly don't think I've seen any writer, national or local, predict he'll stay here. Guess I'm not looking in the right places. |
If we hit on just a few players out of the list of Mondesi, Starling, Zimmer, Dozier, Griffin, Almonte, Binford, Bonifacio, Blewett, Cuthbert, Russell, Watson -- I don't see a reason why this window has to close and why we have to go into rebuilding mode. Sure, if 2017 rolls around and we're playing poorly by the break, by all means, trade away some pieces that we know we won't be able to re-sign. But, I don't see a reason for a complete breakdown of operations and a full rebuild.
(KC Royals prospect Bubba Starling is continuing his 2015 breakout at the plate by hitting .308/.326/.558 with four home runs in 14 games in the Arizona Fall League (AFL) - from Royals Review), |
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I hope Dayton doesn't think that his near-perfect record on acquisitions the past couple years is going to last forever and that he can find a couple replacements for Gordon and Z if he just crunches the sabermetrics hard enough. |
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Ventura and Perez will still be there. If one of Zimmer/Almonte becomes an effective MLB starter in the next two seasons, 40 percent of your starting rotation is home-grown and cost-controlled. Even if they do rip up Salvy's contract and say, double it, he's still an extreme bargain. They need one of Starling/Bonifacio to become an effective every day player who can provide some offense. And they Mondesi to be what they think he can be (a great defensive shortstop who is a plus bat at the position... .280/15/.330 OBP/.450 SLG type). One way or the other, KC looks to be in line for a SLEW of compensation picks following 2017, unless the CBA is drastically changed. Hosmer Moustakas Duffy Davis Escobar Cain All guys who would likely command a QO and still get signed elsewhere. I could see them working out extensions for Davis and one of Cain/Moustakas when the time comes... which also would make that 2018 window a little more open. Quote:
The Twins will still have to agree to terms with Park, and that's no guarantee. Minnesota might have to trade Trevor Plouffe, who has been a solid player for the Twins, to make things work if they do sign Park. |
To give you an idea of how far we've come, this article is from Dec. 2012. Amazing that we've almost doubled our payroll since then.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> officials privately more optimistic about keeping Ben Zobrist than teams' other big free agents -- Gordon or Cueto.</p>— Jerry Crasnick (@jcrasnick) <a href="https://twitter.com/jcrasnick/status/664134712626192384">November 10, 2015</a></blockquote>
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Haven't read the thread in a bit, but is the rumor of Joe Maddon wanting Alex in Chicago still going strong?
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I was told they talked to him about RF when converting him in the minors, but he wasn't comfortable reading fly balls on "that" side of the field. I'd be shocked if he signed somewhere knowing they plan to move him to RF. Re: More QOs... I think teams are very judicious with them because you don't want to get stuck with a marginal guy. From the players side, it might seem a little too close to the pre-Curt Flood days for some. I think we see some accepted this year. |
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Pretty much anyone good enough to be offered a 1-yr deal worth $15M is going to be good enough to be offered multiple years at $15M or more as a free agent, so why would they ever take the deal. It seems to only possibly fit a player right on the edge of the $15M market value, where he thinks that taking a 1 yr deal and having a good year will catapult them into a much higher range the next year. But even then, do you pass up multi-years at $15M as a free agent to take 1 yr at $15M in hopes of later getting multi years at $20M, when you risk injury or a bad year and ending up with multi-years at $5M? |
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So it sounds like the Reds are having a fire sale. Joey Votto is owed $200,000,000 over the next 8 years. How much would the Reds have to eat in order to make it worthwhile to take him?
I'd say $40,000,000 or so would make it tempting. 8 years at $20,000,000 AAV? |
I would hate to have the Royals fall off the front page so soon, so I will post a hypothetical again:
Royals Push Payroll to 155M Existing payroll is 97M Deal Dyson/Infante (-8, 89) Offer Holland a three year deal (4/5.5/10[M.O.]) (+4,93) Offer Gordon an extension (5/85) (+17,110) Offer Zobrist an extension (4/52) (+13,123) Offer Heyward a contract (10/200, Player options starting at year 7)(+20,143) Offer Latos* a contract (1/10M)(+10, 153M total) Note: Latos takes a one year deal in a pitchers park with the best defense in baseball behind him. He takes this deal because he needs to rebuild his reputation. The Royals straighten his ass out in the clubhouse and Latos moves on to a huge contract next year. Royals tender a QO and get a pick for their troubles. C: Perez, Butera 1B: Hosmer, Morales 2B: Zobrist, Colon SS: Escobar 3B: Moustakas, Cuthbert OF: Gordon, Cain, Heyward, Orlando, Gore SP: Ventura, Volquez, Medlen, Duffy, Latos RP: Davis, Herrera, Hochevar, XXX,XXX,XXX Then it's just a matter of stocking up the pen again. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">AL MVP, top 3 (alphabetically): Lorenzo Cain, Josh Donaldson, Mike Trout. Winner announced Nov. 19.</p>— BBWAA (@officialBBWAA) <a href="https://twitter.com/officialBBWAA/status/664228945253003264">November 10, 2015</a></blockquote>
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Ned yost isn't even a finalist for manager of the year?? Are you kidding me?
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Biggest issue is his age. Votto is 32 years old. And honestly, if you take him out of the bandbox in Cincinnati, you're probably looking at a 20-HR hitter, tops. He's also been an injury prone guy, and KC has nowhere to play him unless it moves Hosmer now. If they're worried about Gordon holding up for 5 years at an AAV approaching $20 million, actually getting a more injury prone guy for more money seems like a non-fit. |
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Esky with the GG! Awesome.
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Hosmer with the GG!
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*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***
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An interesting proposal. Gordon-Cain-Heyward would certainly contend for best OF defense of all time. They'd be left filling out the bench with cheap internal options, especially in the bullpen, but they could make that work. I think Latos is really unlikely, as is Heyward. But this does demonstrate that something like Gordon + Zobrist + Mike Leake/Marco Estrada is not completely crazy monetarily. Edit: oh, and you would need a team that really loved Dyson and saw him as an everyday guy to get them to take Infante's contract. Not sure that team is out there... |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Eric Hosmer wins his 3rd straight Gold Glove. First AL 1B to win 3 straight since Rafael Palmeiro 1997-1999</p>— Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/664237815354388480">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a> shortstop Alcides Escobar wins his first career Gold Glove.</p>— Joel Goldberg (@goldbergkc) <a href="https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/664237145784102912">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
Cespedes beat Gordon for the GG but Gordon did miss a lot of time
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That's still strange because Cespedes was traded to the NL. But Gordon's defensive WAR was way down this year. I know he was hurt, but I think he posted like a 0.4... still not the pace he's used to. I think that's a large reason why the Royals are hesitant to throw a ton of money at him.
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Gratz to Esky!!!
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Yoenis Cespedes wins the LF Gold Glove? Well to be fair, his defense was more valuable to the Royals in the World Series than Alex Gordon's.</p>— Rany Jazayerli (@jazayerli) <a href="https://twitter.com/jazayerli/status/664241423601049600">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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What's Mondesi's time table to get to majors? September callup, 2017 ready to go. Or is it longer than that.
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Andy McCullough said in his chat the other day he thinks Mondesi may be on the major league team by the end of next year. That'd be something. But I think they're definitely counting on him in 2017. I think Cuthbert may be too. I think both of those guys are going to be starting for this team in 2018.
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It's exciting Cain is an MVP candidate. I don't even know the last time the Royals had someone in the top 3.
Only catch is that's surely coming up in contract negotiations now. He's not going to be cheap. |
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2017 is a pretty aggressive time table for him, but he's on track to meet it. Depends on a how well he hits at AA this year. If he performs at a high level, Mondesi could get to Omaha this year and be on track for a 2017 debut. The beauty of Zobrist is his versatility. If Mondesi is ready in 2017, you can find a spot for Zobrist in LF (if you don't bring back Gordon), RF, or even as a DH/rotating UTIL guy (if Kendrys Morales moves on after this season). |
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Does anyone know if Mondesi speaks English?
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[QUOTE=duncan_idaho;11860682]
Personally, I think Mike Leake would be a great fit with KC's defense and park, and I know Moore has long coveted him. He's still young - just 28 - and has succeeded in bandbox Cincinnati for years. endquote] Like another pitcher we acquired? With a clench your butthole start every game? |
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Star LF for Cleve Michael Brantley had shoulder surgery. Out 5-6 months which could put him back on June 1 or later if he does a few weeks of AAA rehab. This is huge for us since he's the best player on (what I think is) our clear rival for the Central.
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Not sure if this was already mentioned, but Cespedes got the gold glove over Gordo. Heh.
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BAZINGA! |
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That's kinda my thoughts too. We are looking at a 2 year window...why not sellout & go for it. Keep Gordon & Zobrist. Sign Heyward. Sign a pitcher like Leake or Zimmerman. Resign CY. Go for it! Heyward Zobrist Cain Hosmer Morales Gordon Perez Moose Esky That's a powerful, fast, athletic lineup that has a plus defender at each position. Zimmerman Volquez Ventura Leake Medlen Bullpen is still strong. Go for it! |
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Oh god that would be fantastic. |
Yeah that'd be fun but that'd be $90-100 million in payroll too. We'd probably be 2nd or 3rd in payroll and be paying luxury tax on top of it. If the Royals even get to $140 million, which a lot of people think is possible... that might be a top 10 payroll. That's amazing for a small market with an awful TV contract.
And at this point, we could have Rickey Henderson and I think Esky would still be hitting leadoff. I do think Dayton is thinking about the future more than he gets credit for. With Ventura and Perez locked up, and guys like Mondesi, Cuthbert, Zimmer and Almonte on the way... he has something to build around. |
The challenge with selling out to try to win another trophy the next two years is that the next tv contract comes up in 2019. Glass and GMDM will want this team to still be competitive and relevant as we go into those negotiations. So they'll work to field a championship team in '16 and '17, but with an eye toward remaining competitive in '18 and '19.
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Even if they don't make the playoffs in 2018, if we won 86 games, its 3 years out from a championship, we had another playoff team in 16 or 17, new young team with hope, then the local TV ratings are still going to be huge. |
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Good luck finding the exact way the winners are determined. They post the criteria for eligibility, but the winner is determined by some formula of player vote, manager and coaching staff vote and the SABR Defensive Index. As far as I can find, they don't say what the weightings are, nor do they publish results other than the finalists and winner. |
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What a great year for Perez-World Series MVP and 3rd straight Gold Glove.
If he keeps playing like this- he will be in the HOF some day. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Interest in O’Day so extensive, even teams with deep bullpens have expressed interest, sources say. Among them: The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Royals?src=hash">#Royals</a>.</p>— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/664543932211191808">November 11, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Crap! Just what they need. Jesus Christ |
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Just spitballin'....
Is there going to be a possibility in the future that instead of a 5 man rotation with a 6-7 bullpen guys, that some teams are going to go like 3 2nd tier starters with 8-9 bullpen guys, to somewhat offset the high cost of starting pitchers in the market? Plus, outside of some high end starters, it's pretty well documented that the 3rd time around the batting order on the same starting pitcher is when his #'s tend to go up. Thoughts? |
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I'm sure O'Day's agent was thrilled to see that get out. Probably planted it. I would not expect GMDM to drop an AAV $8 million/year on another bullpen arm. But right now he could sign Jim Abbott to pitch right-handed and I'd probably give him the benefit of the doubt. |
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