Has anyone posted Luck’s splits?

Home: 21 TDs/5 INTs/109.8 QBR
Road: 18 TDs/10 INTs/88.4 QBR

Turf: 30 TDs/11 INTs/102.8 QBR
Grass: 9 TDs/4 INTs/88.8 QBR

That’s some notable drop-off there.

Very....Peyton-like......

No shit.

This gives me even more confidence in this game, and I was feeling pretty damn good about it already.

Why do the TD’s not equal each other?

Id have to think that with all luck's arm injuries that playing outside a dome is not going to be easy. Let's hope it's cold and windy on Sunday.

Wind would favor Indy because they can actually run the ball

Mahomes arm is superior to Luck, whether it be in a dome or in Antarctica

Yes on putting our foot on their throats. If the Colts go to extreme lengths like Seattle did in terms of deep coverage, then sure... Maybe we stick it to them with the short game. I preferred our second half in Seattle even more where we used more of a high tempo offense to keep Seattle on their heels, which opened us up for more aggressive playcalling. I want our offense to dictate the terms, not take what they're given. Arguably our short game offense would have worked in Seattle if we kept at it and didn't fumble the ball away. But as good as we were with that approach, it didn't feel like our offense. If the Colts show lots of cover 2, mahomes can carve that up with aggressive passes.

Man heroin must be booming in KC

When you think of those splits + our own defensive home/away splits + Mahomes + the potential for Berry/LDT/Watkins/Ware's returning, you have to feel good going into this game.

Maybe the 18 is supposed to be 10 on the road?

Looks like 21/5 home and 18/10 road

Home and Road is wrong. That would be 48 TDs. Probably just mistyped

Mahomes' arm is wind proof. Barely anything in kc changes if it's cold and windy. Indys run game doesn't get stronger if it's cold and windy, meanwhile their passing game (their best strength) gets worse. Id say that's a big net negative for indy.

Says the hoosier ROFL

Fixed below. Sorry. 21/5 at home, not 29/5. Doesn't change the conclusion.

Good luck with your pass rush. We've given up 8 sacks since week 6

It's nice to look good when you get that tissue paper schedule.

Vegas line is Chiefs -5. Seems a point or two low to me, especially if LDT and Watkins can go and are close to full strength.

You have not played a single team since week 6 that is in the top-10 in the NFL in sacks:

Jets (T-16)
Raiders (32)
Bills (26)
Titans (T-16)
Jags (T-22)
Dolphins (29)
Cowboys (T-16)
Giants (T-30)
Texans (T-11)

We are T-1. But, cool.

And yall have only beat the tissue teams you've played. Losing against anyone relevant. Keep acting like your gonna walk through us. Our defense is literally 20 times better than yours. Mack has the 4th most rushing yards since week 6. Bout to run all over that 31st ranked defense

Despite that Luck still threw 15 INTs. The Chiefs led the league in sacks. They will get enough pressure on him to force at least one INT and possibly more.

A few years back the Chiefs faced a similar cupcake schedule of QBs that the Colts just finished with but predictably lost to a real QB come playoff time. The same thing will happen to the Colts against Mahomes.

You live and die by the big play. We've given up the least amount of big plays in the league this year

And mahomes threw 12. Luck may have thrown 15 but damn near 10 of them were drops by wrs. And the fool saying Luck has declined. LMAO

Keep sitting in cover 2, this isn't Alex Smith or DeShaun Watson you'll get thrown on at will.

This Colts team got a bad division and a cake schedule, good job, it was impressive watching you all lose 6-0 in today's NFL.

You mean the divison that won the most games in the league?!

Don't act like that division is good lol.

25% of your teams sacks came in the 2 Houston games and they won the damn thing.

Plus his % drops down to 64% and his YPA drops to 6.6 YPA.

Also looked into Luck's cold weather splits (below 40 degrees). Interestingly, he hasn't played a cold weather game since 2015. Small sample, but same trends in cold weather.... completion % drops to 57%, 6.6 YPA, 245 yards/game (down from 275 yards/game career wise). And that was in games pre-arm surgery.

Keep in mind also that his away games have been incredibly weather friendly this year. Almost all above 55 degrees. In weather games, he had one strong performance in Houston (45 degrees... not really cold). But two "shit the bed" performances in warm weather rain vs Philly and Jacksonville.

You play the raiders and Broncos twice a year. 3 of our 4 teams were fighting for a spot in the playoffs

Honestly most of the time a dome team on the road in the playoffs is bad for them.

Interesting 6-0 was the number Jacksonville did on you.

Did you have fun playing all those scrub QB's that can't read defenses? I mean **** I'd be thrilled too if the best QB in my division I had to face was Watson.

Scored 0 points against the hapless Jags, lmao!

Interesting you chose a name based on your bowel movements.

Broncos would have been in the playoff hunt on a AFC South schedule.

Did you notice the shit quarterbacks you’ve played since you started this big run? It’s posted in the thread. Looking over it, I can see why. You’ve played a bunch of garbage QBs, your tears will be so salty Saturday night lmao!

Cannot wait to shut you ****s up Saturday. Luck is salivating over playing the 31st ranked defense

If you put the Broncos in the South they're the Titans....maybe a bit better version.

Someone forgot who has the best QB on the field for this game...

So basically by this ridiculous standard, the Chiefs played 2 less divisional games against playoff calibre opponents. Actually, only 1 game because beating Tennessee with Gabbert at QB isn't a real game. That's really the angle you're going with? Chiefs are 7-3 outside off their division which is still a better win % than Indy.

I am just waiting for every Colts player that touches his head to the ground to be placed in the concussion protocol and removed from the game.

I admire your moxie. It’s delusional and based on fantasy but it’s fun to see such enthusiasm. Question, did you grow up in a home with lead paint as a child?

Knock on wood, but doesn't it seem like less players have gone into concussion protocol lately? Has the league gotten better about player safety? Or maybe teams have figured out how to make them less noticeable? We were hammered big time with this in our Indy and Tennessee playoff losses.

Maybe don't post on a Chiefs forum if you find it annoying that people post about the Chiefs positively? Just a thought.

You can hardly call us idiots for liking the Chiefs chances of winning, the spread also has the Chiefs as favorites

Find the closest nearby means to kill yourself and please do it as soon as possible. It’s urgent.

ROFL

Mahomes>Luck

Our pass rush>your pass rush

42-30

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">.<a href="https://twitter.com/Colts?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Colts</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/BigQ56?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BigQ56</a> was part plumber, part trashman, auditioned for WWE, and of course served up some big stacks of pancakes. He was the best LINEMAN on the field Saturday; offensive or defensive. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BaldysBreakdowns?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BaldysBreakdowns</a> <a href="https://t.co/QLIoL7Tonl">pic.twitter.com/QLIoL7Tonl</a></p>&mdash; Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) <a href="https://twitter.com/BaldyNFL/status/1081894675596931072?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 6, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Nelson will be a problem. His technique is ****ing incredible. Look at that footwork- guy always keeps a solid base and he clearly keeps his head on a swivel.

This OL is going to be a tough matchup for us. Hopefully we can mix it up and give them a lot of different looks. It'll be imperative that we win our 1-on-1s too. Luck will hold on to the ball. If we can apply pressure he'll make some haywire throws. We'll have to capitalize.. and for the love of God, we have to shut down the run on 1st and 2nd down. We can't give a capable QB 3rd and manageable all ****ing game.

I really think this game is gonna be a crazy shootout. I feel like neither team’s pass rush will be a factor and both Luck/Mahomes will put up 300+.

Probably will come down to turnovers, and Luck has a habit of making some gimme throws. Hopefully our defense can actually make plays.

Also I hope people don’t flip out if we’re down early, moments like the 4th and 9 can’t be experienced without some serious butt clenching beforehand.

But he's just a guard, how many games did Will Shields win us in the playoffs?

This isn’t true at all. Even if it where we scored at least 26 in every game but go ahead and think the overrated Colts defense has any chance.

If the moron Colts fan is going to cherry pick a bunch of stats since they started playing against dog shit teams and QBs, here’s one right back at ya.

KC’s defense allows 18 ppg at home. Get ****ed bub.

We were lacking anything close to the Colts output vs the Jags. Zero...hmmmm :)

Well it's not just him. As a unit, they're one of the best in the league. Facing a QB like Luck, I think I'd prefer to have some sort of interior pass rush and facing an All-Pro guard, Chris Jones isn't as likely to have much of an impact as he normally does.

Please don't leave if we win. Not even 10 posts in and you've already shown more aptitude for trolling than 90% of the reeruned rival fans that come through here.

KC isn’t going to dominate them by any means BUT they do have the benefit of HFA which is critical for pass rushers/OL with timing the snap. Also, Houston showed a blueprint in the 2nd half that was effective against the Colts OL and offense in general as they rushed 5 a lot.

Defensively, the Colts are definitely what I would call average to below average. They lack playmakers, they try to make up for it with speed and hustle.

That offensive line is just brutal though. There’s nothing soft about that line.

Pff said he had a bad game. Always have to take those off stats with a big grain of salt.

http://replygif.net/i/735.gif

Bob Sutton rushing 5? Nah, he'll have Houston covering Hilton

I loved Braden Smith as a prospect. He’s a local kid from Olathe. I liked him as a Guard though. He’s their starting RT.

I think Dee Ford is a huge mismatch for him. I don’t think he can keep up with his speed.

You’re making all of us Colts fans look bad.

Did it a lot against Carr? :shrug:

I think there’s truth to Smith and Harris playing big roles in game planning now. If that’s true, all bets are off.

I hope you have to watch your entire family get hit by a bus

He was drafted to play guard (heard on yesterday’s broadcast), so I’d be shocked if he’s well equipped to deal with the speed of Ford.

Ford should line up there and see if Houston can overpower Castonzo.

Smith and that line shut out Watt and Clowney just yesterday. They had no sacks and one fluke int that Watt tipped while running the ball for over 200 yards.

Smith is playing almost as well as Nelson.

The heart and soul of that line is Ryan Kelly, though. One of the best centers in the league.

That's the only hope we have. If they are more involved in planning and we still call soft zones on third and long, then every single member of the defensive coaching staff can pack their shit up and leave.

These are just a few snapshots, so also take them with a grain of salt.. but still. I find it hard to believe any member of a unit that didn't allow a single sack and paved the way for 200 rushing yards at nearly 6 YPC had a bad game.

Well, I was encouraged that we were mixing in more zone coverages. Best of all, our second half defense looked like we actually made... Gasp... Adjustments. Hopefully a great sign.

I don't give a shit if they do zone coverage. Just don't do it 10 yards off on a 3rd and 3.

They need to put Nnandi and Williams directly over Nelson at all times. Those are our strongest DL. Also need to have Houston over there as the left side is where they like to run.

That’s our best chance to neutralize.

Well they love to run trap plays with Nelson, letting him pull inside and wham the 1 technique. That will likely be Nnadi, and I have confidence that he will at least be able to plug the hole with his power.

Then it’s up to the ILBs to bring the same energy they had last week and attack the LOS. Jones could also make a difference by shooting his gap into the backfield to disrupt the RBs path whenever Nelson pulls inside.

They’d be especially crazy to do it against Indy, a team that uses so many timing routes.

As a colt fan my main worry is Kelce. We have nobody to matchup with him. Hooker will play deep side where ever hill is. I think colts best chance to win is to establish the run early and that should open up play action.

Let's talk about the Colts
 

Think this is why people are scared.

Betting Trends to Know

The Chiefs have now made the playoffs for a fourth consecutive season under Andy Reid. Only one other coach in Chiefs history has accomplished that feat: Marty Schottenheimer.

Since the NFL-AFL merger in 1970, the Chiefs are 4-16 straight up and 3-17 against the spread in the playoffs, including 0-9 against the spread at home.

The Colts and Chiefs have faced off four times previous to this week in the playoffs, Indianapolis is 4-0 SU and ATS, with two of those four losses for Kansas City coming at home in Arrowhead Stadium.

For the 14th time his career, Andrew Luck faces a team on the road who is on extended rest (eight or more days): Luck is 9-4 (69.2%) against the spread, making him the most profitable quarterback in the NFL in this spot since he was drafted No. 1 overall in 2012 NFL Draft.

Andrew Luck is a gay ginger...

Sad thing is, its likely going to happen.

Texans are not a quality win. They're a terrible team. Colts also lost to them.

The funny thing about predicting games is that you just never know which version of a team is gonna show up. But here's the indisputable fact that matters: if both teams show up and play their best, the Chiefs win by double-digits.

It's on Reid to get our A+ game on the field.

Ok so where is the chiefs quality win the past 6 games? Ravens maybe? But chiefs schedule has been equally soft. Raiders x2 cardinals browns broncos granted the good teams y’all played ended in losses

Equally soft LMAO

Uh....

We all are in a division with the 12-4 Chargers

Indy would have a bye if they could’ve beaten Jacksonville or NYJ

Since when did the NFL schedule begin in mid November?

Yea that jets lose came early in the season and was actually the turning point in our season. It took awhile for colts to hit their stride with new coaching staff and luck shaking off rust. We can’t determine who we had to play to get here but every game has been a do or die since.