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Nobody is arguing that good teams don't win natty's, but to say that the tournament format is not a crapshoot for the best teams each season is blatant ignorance towards the stats. For what it's worth, I wouldn't change the format one bit. Just saying that the tournament is a crapshoot. |
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Tournament is clearly a crapshoot. Take nothing away from last year's title, but there were probably at least a half dozen Self-run KU teams that were just as good as last year's team that didn't get anywhere near the same kind of favorable draw.
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I think the issue with the term “crapshoot” is that it implies every team has an even chance of winning it all, which obviously isn’t true.
It is though a crapshoot amongst the capable teams. It’s more like the NBA Draft Lottery (a weighted lottery) than a normal raffle. Having the best team doesn’t guarantee anything, but does weight the odds in your favor. You can still get unlucky and lose to a bad team. A bad team winning 6 straight games against other tourney teams just isn’t very likely though. |
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Add in the one and done nature of the tourney, and shit happens. |
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Hard to believe it’s going to be 35 years since that game. |
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Be healthy. Peak at the right time. Have a player or two who can bail you out of trouble when you need it. Those are pretty much the keys to winning it all. |
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I'm curious if people think that the NFL playoffs are as unreliable (or random, or whatever) as the NCAA. Both of them only have 1 game to either move on or go home.
I'd assume the common thought around here is if the Chiefs and Bengals played a best-of-whatever series last year that KC would have advanced. |
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