BWillie |
04-04-2016 12:42 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch
(Post 12163486)
No man, it's all a crapshoot. These two aren't very good, they just got lucky. (Except their combined scoring margin of +202 is the highest ever for a finals matchup)
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PB, I think you struggle with understanding how compound probability of multiple independent events work. Even if a team is #1, they will have lets say a 98% chance to beat the 16 seed, 75% to beat the 8 seed, 60% to beat the 4 seed, 55% chance to beat the 2seed. And that is just to get to the final four. To go through that minefield to win a championship, it's always unprobable no matter who you are.
A good team usually wins, DUH! But that doesn't mean it isn't any less of a crapshoot. I don't know why you are still freaking out about the Villanova game. Nobody was even a favorite in that game, we just got a shitty draw. Would have been nice to capitalize on it, but we didn't. KU plays Villanova 10 times, it probably goes 5-5.
Let it go. All you can do is put your team in a position to be successful and the highest seed as possible for the NCAA Tournament, and hope you do well. Any teams lack of success based on their seed, or vice versa more or less just happenstance. KU may be perceived to "choking" in the NCAA Tournament, but that is just because they have had way way more opportunities than anybody else to do so and we almost always get a really high seed in the last TWO decades. You have to accept what the NCAA Tournament is, and you apparently do not.
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