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(I'm cheating and using cdcox's software rather than calculating this directly, so these numbers may be a hair off here or there, but...) Of those 128 scenarios, here's how many times each team makes it in: NY Jets 63 Baltimore 65 Denver 51 Houston 32 Pittsburgh 29 Jacksonville 12 Miami 4 Weighting those by seedy's win probabilities, here's the probability that each team will make it in: NY Jets 65.0 Baltimore 79.54 Denver 31.76 Pittsburgh 17.22 Houston 4.52 Jacksonville 1.8 Miami 0.16 If you manually tweak the win probabilities a bit to assume that New England and Cincy might rest starters... NY Jets 76.58 Baltimore 81.24 Denver 27.44 Pittsburgh 9.18 Houston 4.8 Jacksonville 0.66 |
All BS aside,it's good to have this kind of playoff drama for week 17.Should make for one hell of a week and a crazy day to watch.
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Well, Denver screwed themselves by losing to Oakland... with all the scenarios, the chances of them advancing now are pretty low and I'm not expecting it. If they do, then good... it would be a nice step forward.
The 6-0 start was incredibly surprising, but unfortunately they played in the last 9 games how I expected them to play in the first 9. They have surpassed my expectations for 2009, so if they miss it... I'm cool with it, as long as they continue to work towards building a consistently improving team for 2010. There's lots of good from this season and lots of bad as well, but with 8 wins and a shot at winning 9 games - the good certainly is greater than the bad in my estimation. |
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The bad news is this weekend will probably represent the end of the Bronco football season. The good news is I'll be watching at a bar in Ft. Myers gearing up for the Orange Bowl. |
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*cue Dinveer methhead Aghast*
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Marshall is out.Now what?Fukkn done son!
Bwaaaa haaaaa haaaaa! |
They lost out on the playoffs when they lost to US. You don't deserve to go to playoffs if you lose at home to Oakland.
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The Donkhole's playoffs hope =
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It's looking better all the time for epic Donk FAIL!!!!!:fire::fire::fire:
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Bwaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa! Done!
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Jamal Charles is on steroids /donkhole nation
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denver, meet fork
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I thought Denver was done in August.
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yes:)
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They've been done since week 7.
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