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Prison Bitch 08-26-2018 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla (Post 13694106)
Trade him for what? You'd better get something pretty good to give up that much control.

I've never understood the fetish to trade good players for potential. Most times it doesn't work out.

BigCatDaddy 08-26-2018 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlphg9 (Post 13694503)
We need a complete over haul of how we develop pitchers. I'm not an expert or anything that's remotely close to an expert, but I don't think there are any pitchers in the system that have T.O.R ceilings. Just a bunch of 3's. Someone please correct me if I'm wrong.

My point is that we will have to be extremely lucky to have multiple pitchers pan out. Winning like we did in 14 and 15 isn't gonna happen again. Having a bullpen like we had back then was a once a generation thing.

We need someone to over pay for Duffy in the offseason and hopefully get a pitcher that's been groomed good enough by a good organization and we can't ruin them. We should trade Salvy and or Whit for some pitching. We need lots of pitching.

I think the 2 guys we just drafted in the 1st have #1 or #2 upside.

BigCatDaddy 08-26-2018 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 13694508)
I've never understood the fetish to trade good players for potential. Most times it doesn't work out.

It used to work but teams over value prospects these days..much like several posters.

dlphg9 08-26-2018 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 13694512)
I think the 2 guys we just drafted in the 1st have #1 or #2 upside.

Yes, until our system ruins them lol. I honestly forgot all about them when writing the post.

BigCatDaddy 08-26-2018 08:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlphg9 (Post 13694525)
Yes, until our system ruins them lol. I honestly forgot all about them when writing the post.

I think half of our top 10-12 prospects are arms.. so let's hope a few pan out.

Bufkin 08-26-2018 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valiant (Post 13694430)
I say keep Whit with what he is worth to us and what we can get in exchange for him.
Just need to keep adding young fast players, plus defense and hit for average. Then luck on some pitching finally panning out.

The one I would move is salvy, if we can get a good haul.

This team will trade Matt Stairs before they trade Salvador Perez, and Matt Stairs hasn’t played for the Royals in 12 years.

OKchiefs 08-26-2018 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlphg9 (Post 13694503)
We need a complete over haul of how we develop pitchers. I'm not an expert or anything that's remotely close to an expert, but I don't think there are any pitchers in the system that have T.O.R ceilings. Just a bunch of 3's. Someone please correct me if I'm wrong.

My point is that we will have to be extremely lucky to have multiple pitchers pan out. Winning like we did in 14 and 15 isn't gonna happen again. Having a bullpen like we had back then was a once a generation thing.

We need someone to over pay for Duffy in the offseason and hopefully get a pitcher that's been groomed good enough by a good organization and we can't ruin them. We should trade Salvy and or Whit for some pitching. We need lots of pitching.

The ship has sailed on trading Duffy anytime soon after this abortion of a season from him. The time to trade him was last offseason. He's going to have to pull his head out of his ass to have any value next trade deadline or in the following offseason. As it is he's way too inconsistent and unpredictable to fetch much at his salary.

OKchiefs 08-26-2018 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 13694508)
I've never understood the fetish to trade good players for potential. Most times it doesn't work out.

It's pretty simple. He'll be around 34 and a free agent by the time we're competitive again. Oh, and he's blocking Nicky Lopez. Rentals get almost nothing in return nowadays, so the only way to get anything significant in a trade is to trade someone affordable with remaining team control. Just about every other team in the league would trade such a player if they were 4-5 years away from competing. Failing to do so would be like trying to reinvent the wheel. Without significant trades we are relying on building the future solely through the draft. The last worthwhile international signing was probably Mondesi in 2011. Most of our other IFA signings have been failures, and we've done almost nothing the last 3 years after blowing our load on Matias. So again I question, how are we building a winning team faster than the last 7-8 year rebuild without making significant trades?

OKchiefs 08-26-2018 09:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 13694514)
It used to work but teams over value prospects these days..much like several posters.

The only change has been the return for rentals. Players with remaining control are still fetching decent returns.

Prison Bitch 08-26-2018 10:22 PM

Kendrys set Jays record 7 straight with a Hr

1 off MLB record by Mattingly, Griffey, Long

BigCatDaddy 08-26-2018 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OKchiefs (Post 13694603)
The only change has been the return for rentals. Players with remaining control are still fetching decent returns.

Obviously control matters. Still doesn't bring back what it used to. See Dee Brown trade.

tk13 08-26-2018 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OKchiefs (Post 13694602)
It's pretty simple. He'll be around 34 and a free agent by the time we're competitive again. Oh, and he's blocking Nicky Lopez. Rentals get almost nothing in return nowadays, so the only way to get anything significant in a trade is to trade someone affordable with remaining team control. Just about every other team in the league would trade such a player if they were 4-5 years away from competing. Failing to do so would be like trying to reinvent the wheel. Without significant trades we are relying on building the future solely through the draft. The last worthwhile international signing was probably Mondesi in 2011. Most of our other IFA signings have been failures, and we've done almost nothing the last 3 years after blowing our load on Matias. So again I question, how are we building a winning team faster than the last 7-8 year rebuild without making significant trades?

This is what I'm talking about.

If you really truly believe what you're writing, then they really are doing it all wrong. They might as well trade everyone, including the top prospects in the minors. Being 7-8 years away literally means that the next core group of guys like Lee, Lopez, Mondesi, Pratto, are all pretty much going to be on the way out by then. You are arguing about Whit, but really what you are arguing with this is that they should trade anything of value in the system to build a core of players who will arrive to the majors somewhere around 2024.

KChiefs1 08-26-2018 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valiant (Post 13694430)
I say keep Whit with what he is worth to us and what we can get in exchange for him.
Just need to keep adding young fast players, plus defense and hit for average. Then luck on some pitching finally panning out.

The one I would move is salvy, if we can get a good haul.


Keep Salvy, Whitley, Mondesi...strength up the middle is key. Build around them. Find a CFer. Develop pitching.

KChiefs1 08-26-2018 11:31 PM

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/201...7a272e0a41.png

Infidel Goat 08-27-2018 05:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 13694637)
Obviously control matters. Still doesn't bring back what it used to. See Dee Brown trade.

Dee Brown? Man, he's old, was never any good, and hasn't played in a decade.

Dee Gordon? He had 97 OPS+ last year (and a 77 OPS+ the prior) before being traded. Also, his contract guaranteed him $37 million over the three remaining years.

Whit would fetch more...

:)

BigCatDaddy 08-27-2018 07:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Infidel Goat (Post 13694751)
Dee Brown? Man, he's old, was never any good, and hasn't played in a decade.

Dee Gordon? He had 97 OPS+ last year (and a 77 OPS+ the prior) before being traded. Also, his contract guaranteed him $37 million over the three remaining years.

Whit would fetch more...

:)

LMAO My bad.

I was trying to find a comparison to what would be a Whit trade. Gordon was the best I could think of even given the significant differences.

Al Bundy 08-27-2018 09:28 AM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">On Royals prospect Daniel Lynch: “We’d see him pitch in college (and he’d be) 91 to 93 mph. He’s had nights (in pro ball) where he’s been 95 to 97 (mph) ... if he was throwing this way in May, he would have never gotten to the 18th pick.” <a href="https://t.co/nmiHqlExZa">https://t.co/nmiHqlExZa</a></p>&mdash; Rustin Dodd (@rustindodd) <a href="https://twitter.com/rustindodd/status/1034090493444071424?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Al Bundy 08-27-2018 10:02 AM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Royals won a series against a playoff contender for the first time in three months. Ryan O’Hearn is hitting homers. Brad Keller is pitching well. What young players could be next in September? <a href="https://t.co/t0RGacuSps">https://t.co/t0RGacuSps</a></p>&mdash; Rustin Dodd (@rustindodd) <a href="https://twitter.com/rustindodd/status/1034080619540688896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

BigCatDaddy 08-27-2018 10:14 AM

Wasnt Lynch considered a money saving pick?

duncan_idaho 08-27-2018 10:23 AM

Lynch wasn’t a pure money pick. He wasn’t an overslot guy, but several places had him as a comp round guy.

Re: Merrifield and Soler, neither one has to be move for a deal that isn’t prime. They can hold out a little on both and make sure they get great value.

Soler is arb eligible in 2020 at best (for him), which means they still control him through 2022 or 2023. The deal he signed with the Cubs expires in 2020, but that doesn’t negate the years of team control or service rules.

They should trade them if they get the right type of return. If they don’t, hold them a while longer and wait for the right situation to pop up in front of you.

Also: the Royals just signed another international FA, Dutch kid named Darryl Collins and playing in Curaçao.

They also announced the signing of a South Korean teenager who was clocked / supposedly - at 95 mph.

They’ve made some outside-the-box moves in IFA. Like seeing the flexibility of thought!

jd1020 08-27-2018 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 13694996)
Soler is arb eligible in 2020 at best (for him), which means they still control him through 2022 or 2023. The deal he signed with the Cubs expires in 2020, but that doesn’t negate the years of team control or service rules.

Soler can opt out when he becomes arb eligible.

duncan_idaho 08-27-2018 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jd1020 (Post 13695000)
Soler can opt out when he becomes arb eligible.


He can opt out of the guaranteed deal to choose salary arbitration, per the original deal as reported by Ken Rosenthal.

Doesn’t mean he can opt into FA. Just out of the guaranteed salary if he thinks he will earn more in arb.

DJ's left nut 08-27-2018 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jd1020 (Post 13695000)
Soler can opt out when he becomes arb eligible.

That's not entirely accurate.

He didn't have the Cespedes provision put in his contract that says he cannot be offered arb. He had the reverse done; he can opt out of his guaranteed contract and thus opt in to arbitration.

He can't force FA any sooner. Technically Cespedes didn't either - he just included language in his deal that said his team at the time could not offer him arb, thus making him effectively a non-tender.

Soler doesn't have that provision. He'd still be under Royal control until he gets his 6 years of MLB service time, he just gets his money through arbitration rather than the terms of his long-term deal.

suzzer99 08-27-2018 02:39 PM

Is anyone paying attention if the Orioles are doing stuff like bunting in the first inning, or making a lot of unforced errors? I mean they have to be actively trying to tank right?

Prison Bitch 08-27-2018 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OKchiefs (Post 13694602)
It's pretty simple. He'll be around 34 and a free agent by the time we're competitive again. Oh, and he's blocking Nicky Lopez. Rentals get almost nothing in return nowadays, so the only way to get anything significant in a trade is to trade someone affordable with remaining team control. Just about every other team in the league would trade such a player if they were 4-5 years away from competing. Failing to do so would be like trying to reinvent the wheel. Without significant trades we are relying on building the future solely through the draft. The last worthwhile international signing was probably Mondesi in 2011. Most of our other IFA signings have been failures, and we've done almost nothing the last 3 years after blowing our load on Matias. So again I question, how are we building a winning team faster than the last 7-8 year rebuild without making significant trades?


Things can turn around quickly. We play in a garbage division which really helps , that's one. I'm looking FW to the three 1st roun pitchers we took. What if we made some great picks? A good rotation, that's cheap, puts you back in the game awfully quickly

Chiefspants 08-27-2018 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 13694996)
Lynch wasn’t a pure money pick. He wasn’t an overslot guy, but several places had him as a comp round guy.

Re: Merrifield and Soler, neither one has to be move for a deal that isn’t prime. They can hold out a little on both and make sure they get great value.

Soler is arb eligible in 2020 at best (for him), which means they still control him through 2022 or 2023. The deal he signed with the Cubs expires in 2020, but that doesn’t negate the years of team control or service rules.

They should trade them if they get the right type of return. If they don’t, hold them a while longer and wait for the right situation to pop up in front of you.

Also: the Royals just signed another international FA, Dutch kid named Darryl Collins and playing in Curaçao.

They also announced the signing of a South Korean teenager who was clocked / supposedly - at 95 mph.

They’ve made some outside-the-box moves in IFA. Like seeing the flexibility of thought!

Thanks for the clarification on Soler, I had no idea.

Al Bundy 08-28-2018 05:30 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Darkness before the dawn... of a game. We&#39;re playing ball! <a href="https://twitter.com/RoyalsWeather?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@RoyalsWeather</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/JasonHannaphoto?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JasonHannaphoto</a> <a href="https://t.co/IsGiEe1ie9">pic.twitter.com/IsGiEe1ie9</a></p>&mdash; Toby Cook (@TobyKCR) <a href="https://twitter.com/TobyKCR/status/1034581298101276672?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 28, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

WhawhaWhat 08-28-2018 06:32 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Rotator cuff tendinitis for Manaea. Melvin said the team hopes to get him back but said it’ll be a while. Unsure if he’s back this season. Another huge blow.</p>&mdash; Julian McWilliams (@JulianMack105) <a href="https://twitter.com/JulianMack105/status/1034563403128303618?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 28, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

cabletech94 08-28-2018 06:35 PM

^^^

got us a world series win. would do it all over again.

duncan_idaho 08-28-2018 07:46 PM

Manaea’s injury tendencies were the big factor in the Royals being OK with moving on from him while holding others.

Not sure he’ll ever be a durable MLB starter, but he’s damn good when available.

tk13 08-28-2018 07:49 PM

Speaking of former Royals pitchers I looked up Miguel Almonte the other day and he has a legit 9 ERA in AAA. Yikes. That guy had unbelievable stuff but he's never figured it out.

tk13 08-28-2018 08:41 PM

A complete game for Junis tonight.

Dunit35 08-28-2018 08:42 PM

Junis pitched a nice CG tonight with zero walks and two runs against the Tigers.

Prison Bitch 08-29-2018 06:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cabletech94 (Post 13697388)
^^^

got us a world series win. would do it all over again.

Go out on a limb there

Bufkin 08-29-2018 06:58 AM

Royals fans are so weird when it comes to attributing certain players to us winning the World Series. “If we didn’t have this one career bum who drew a walk in the 7th inning of the wildcard game, we wouldn’t have taken home the gold! As if not having mega bust Christian Colon on the roster would have meant we wouldn’t have a ring.

Why Not? 08-29-2018 07:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bufkin (Post 13697871)
Royals fans are so weird when it comes to attributing certain players to us winning the World Series. “If we didn’t have this one career bum who drew a walk in the 7th inning of the wildcard game, we wouldn’t have taken home the gold! As if not having mega bust Christian Colon on the roster would have meant we wouldn’t have a ring.

This is not totally inaccurate, however the timing is odd since the discussion here recently is on Manaea who was traded for Ben Zobrist.

DeepSouth 08-29-2018 08:55 AM

If a team picks up a player via trade after the player clears waivers, isn't there a deadline if that player can be on the playoff roster?

Prison Bitch 08-29-2018 10:30 AM

This team is so poopy, 3 of our top 5 guys in fWAR aren't on the team and haven't been in months:


2. Moose 1.7
4. Jay 1.1
5. Soler 1.0

KCUnited 08-29-2018 01:27 PM

Mondesi with 3 RBIs in 4 innings so far today.

duncan_idaho 08-29-2018 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KCUnited (Post 13698458)
Mondesi with 3 RBIs in 4 innings so far today.


Natural talent starting to take over. He still has strides to make because of his lack of plate discipline, but the power and speed combo is so special.

ChiefsCountry 08-29-2018 03:08 PM

kcchiefsus is going to stroke out with them winning 4 out of 5. Better start trading everybody so we contend in 2030.

Al Bundy 08-29-2018 03:23 PM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Royals have traded Lucas Duda to the Atlanta Braves for cash considerations.</p>&mdash; Kurtis Seaboldt (@KSeaboldt) <a href="https://twitter.com/KSeaboldt/status/1034912710109089792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 29, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

DJ's left nut 08-29-2018 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeepSouth (Post 13697994)
If a team picks up a player via trade after the player clears waivers, isn't there a deadline if that player can be on the playoff roster?

8/31.

Anyone acquired in September is ineligible for post-season play. Those trades happen on occasion (the Cardinals with Nicasio last year, for some dumb-ass reason), but they're rare.

Just presume that any worthwhile movement will be over by Friday and anyone that's going to be put on waivers will be put on today. If not, waivers won't expire until Saturday so there's no sense in pursuing it.

Fish 08-29-2018 03:47 PM

Dumped Duda for cash. LOL ****ing Royals.....

tk13 08-29-2018 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fish (Post 13698748)
Dumped Duda for cash. LOL ****ing Royals.....

Might as well. What's the point of keeping him? At this point O'Hearn and Dozier should be playing every day. Soler's coming back next week and him and Boni should be the DH. There is zero reason Duda needs to play at all.

ROYC75 08-29-2018 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Al Bundy (Post 13698694)
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Royals have traded Lucas Duda to the Atlanta Braves for cash considerations.</p>&mdash; Kurtis Seaboldt (@KSeaboldt) <a href="https://twitter.com/KSeaboldt/status/1034912710109089792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 29, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Now there's progress!

BigCatDaddy 08-29-2018 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fish (Post 13698748)
Dumped Duda for cash. LOL ****ing Royals.....

Probably the only offer. 6 weeks of a 700 opsing 1st basemen isn't worth much.

tk13 08-29-2018 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy (Post 13698831)
Probably the only offer. 6 weeks of a 700 opsing 1st basemen isn't worth much.

Especially with one month left in the season. We're lucky anyone offered anything at this point. He isn't even going to play everyday for them. He's going to be a pinch hitter off the bench.

ROYC75 08-29-2018 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 13698838)
Especially with one month left in the season. We're lucky anyone offered anything at this point. He isn't even going to play everyday for them. He's going to be a pinch hitter off the bench.

True, cash was probably the only option.

gblowfish 08-29-2018 07:12 PM

It's good to move him. Give him a chance at post season with the Braves, and we get to see our young guys. I have no problem with this at all.

KChiefs1 08-29-2018 09:19 PM

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/201...46e0411623.png

tk13 08-29-2018 09:21 PM

The Orioles have a shot to really distance themselves from us this weekend.

tk13 08-30-2018 12:17 AM

Speaking of the Herrera trade. We've talked about how Gutierrez is doing well, but Perkins just drew his 90th walk of the year. By far the most BB in A ball. Very un-Royals like.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Blake Perkins has drawn another walk tonight, his 48th with Wilmington and his 90th on the season (he drew 42 with Potomac prior to trade). His 90 BB on the season leads ALL batters between the 3 high A Leagues. The next highest individual total is 67.</p>&mdash; Royals Minor League Prospects (@KCRoyalProspect) <a href="https://twitter.com/KCRoyalProspect/status/1034964765825748992?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 30, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Nickhead 08-30-2018 01:08 AM

i can't recall, but i think i recollect thinking this was the suppository thread :D

dlphg9 08-30-2018 01:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nickhead (Post 13699252)
i can't recall, but i think i recollect thinking this was the suppository thread :D

Get out of here with your jokes. It's just too easy to pick on us when were down. Hell I don't care that much watching the Royals for the last 15-20 years will make you kinda numb to the losing. At least we have several young guys playing rather well and several that could be well on their way in the next couple of years. Life of a Royals fan, a much more interesting minor league season than major league season. You a Royals fan?

Fansy the Famous Bard 08-30-2018 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 13699243)
Speaking of the Herrera trade. We've talked about how Gutierrez is doing well, but Perkins just drew his 90th walk of the year. By far the most BB in A ball. Very un-Royals like.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Blake Perkins has drawn another walk tonight, his 48th with Wilmington and his 90th on the season (he drew 42 with Potomac prior to trade). His 90 BB on the season leads ALL batters between the 3 high A Leagues. The next highest individual total is 67.</p>&mdash; Royals Minor League Prospects (@KCRoyalProspect) <a href="https://twitter.com/KCRoyalProspect/status/1034964765825748992?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 30, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Give him another year in the organization. We'll fix that bullshit! ROFL

OKchiefs 08-30-2018 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fansy the Famous Bard (Post 13699501)
Give him another year in the organization. We'll fix that bullshit! ROFL

Yep, Dayton Moore says screw analytics and OBP. We want our players to swing at the first pitch and pitches a mile outside the strike zone. Walks are for pussies!

KChiefs1 08-30-2018 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tk13 (Post 13699139)
The Orioles have a shot to really distance themselves from us this weekend.


Rustin Dodd:
Quote:

The best high school baseball player in the class of 2019 is a 6-foot-1 shortstop with a famous father and a skill set that can test the imagination of scouts. Bobby Witt, Jr., the son of the former major-league starting pitcher, has enough raw power to win the High School Home Run Derby at this year’s All-Star Game at Nationals Park. He has enough speed to be considered a “plus plus” runner, according to scouts. He has enough defensive acumen to be among the best shortstops in the country — high school or college.

In most any other year, Witt would be a worthwhile No. 1 pick in Major League Baseball’s draft, a talented prep with a major-league pedigree and tools that come around a few times per decade. When one National League scouting director was asked if Witt could compare to other generational high school players (and No. 1 picks) such as Bryce Harper, Chipper Jones or Alex Rodriguez, he answered: “He might — he’s got really good skills.”

And yet, it is possible that Witt will not be the No. 1 pick in the 2019 draft. That honor, according to a small straw poll of scouting directors, scouts and draft analysts, could fall to Oregon State catcher Adley Rutschman, an incoming junior who helped the Beavers to the College World Series championship in 2018. And this, if nothing else, should be comforting news to the Kansas City Royals, whose historically bad season might not be in vain.

The Royals, who are 42-91 after a 9-2 victory over the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, are on pace to lose 111 games, which would smash the club record for losses (106 in 2005) and be among the five worst seasons since 1962. In almost any year in the last 50, the finish would secure the right to draft first in the country.

Just one team has lost more than 111 games since the New York Mets lost 120 in 1962 — the 2003 Detroit Tigers lost an AL-record 119. Just two others (the 2004 Diamondbacks and 2013 Astros) have hit 111 losses. Yet as the Royals head toward September, they are treading into historic territory yet not positioned to win the No. 1 pick. If the season ended tomorrow, the honor would fall to the Baltimore Orioles (39-94), on pace to lose 114 games, third-most in American League history.

The Orioles will visit the Royals this weekend at Kauffman Stadium, facing off in a three-game series that could help decide who selects first in the 2019 draft. But here, again, is the good news: the No. 2 pick will offer a strong consolation prize.

“It does look to be a strong year at the top,” said another major-league scouting director.

In general, the 2019 draft class is thought to be weaker than a 2018 class that was loaded with college pitching and high school prospects. Carlos Collazo, an analyst who covers the draft for Baseball America, said the 2019 class appeared to lack the first-round depth and high-end pitching prospects of this year — when the Royals spent their first five picks on college pitchers. Yet a consensus, Collazo said, has appeared to build at the top of the draft, where Rutschman, the top college prospect, could duel with Witt, the talented high school shortstop.

“I think it’s fair to say that Rutschman is the top guy,” Collazo said, “but I don’t want to do a disservice to Witt. He has all the tools. He has incredible power. He has incredible speed. He can impact the game in all phases.”

Ask a collection of scouts and scouting directors for their top choice, and you will find different answers — or at least qualified hedging. Some are strong believers in Witt. (“I could see Bobby Witt’s kid emerging,” one said.) Others, for now, prefer Rutschman. For the teams that will likely occupy the top two picks, it is an attractive problem to have.

Rutschman, 20, is a 6-foot-2, 215-pound catcher who grades out as a premium defender, has the ability to switch hit and looks the part coming off the bus. He is a strapping all-around athlete. The skill set inspires comparisons to college catchers of recent vintage.

Some scouts draw similarities to Matt Wieters, a collegiate star at Georgia Tech before being drafted No. 5 by the Orioles in 2007, while the defensive prowess and strong arm have invited comparisons to Giants catcher Buster Posey, a former Florida State standout drafted fifth in 2008.

Rutschman, according to those who have seen him, is a strong defensive catcher with an emerging track record as a hitter at the college level. He also draws high marks for his athletic ability. A native of Sherwood, Ore., Rutschman arrived at Oregon State as a two-sport athlete. He spent his freshman season excelling as a kicker for the football team and earning honorable-mention All-Pac-12 honors on the baseball field. He quit football last school year and turned into a force at the plate, batting .408 with a .505 on-base percentage and nine homers before setting a College World Series record with 17 hits as the Beavers won the national title.

The track record and performance against top college competition could leave Rutschman atop draft boards heading into 2019. Yet it’s still possible that Witt — or others — could push their way to the top. A native of Colleyville, Texas, Witt’s father pitched for 16 seasons in the major leagues, including 11 with the Texas Rangers. He will continue to play on the showcase circuit this fall before playing his senior season at Colleyville Heritage High School in the Dallas-Fort Worth area.

It’s still early in the process, of course. That’s something that all scouts point out; the 2019 draft is more than nine months away. The gathering of intelligence is ongoing. And there are other names that could emerge, including Baylor catcher Shea Langeliers, Georgia high school shortstop CJ Abrams and others. And yet, for now, the 2019 draft is shaping up as a battle between Rutschman and Witt at the top, a gifted college catcher versus a talented high school shortstop.

“They’re probably lumped in as the two favorites,” Collazo said.

They are also the reward for a season of losing. In 2014, the Royals and Orioles faced off in the AL Championship Series. Four years later, they are each cruising toward 100 losses, shells of their former selves. The rosters are depleted. The franchises are in transition. The losses have piled up.

The competition for the No. 1 pick will continue this weekend at Kauffman Stadium.

Mecca 08-30-2018 10:02 AM

You know I just saw the average age of a baseball fan is 57 years old, that's an issue.

DJ's left nut 08-30-2018 10:19 AM

There's a full season of ball yet to play.

I'd say Rutschman has a little more volatility due to his relatively recent arrival on the 'premier prospect' scene. If Witt struggles next spring, I would expect it to get chalked up to 'senioritis' and his stock wouldn't change much.

But with college bats, especially those that kinda burst onto the scene, scouts look for reasons to discount them. If Rutschman doesn't have a year similar to last seasons, he'll fall harder than he would have as a prep prospect.

I'm not sure it makes a damn bit of sense, but it sure seems to be the reality of it.

OKchiefs 08-30-2018 10:19 AM

I'll take the college catcher. I have very little faith in this organization to mold a high school player into a star. The college catcher should come in more refined and less likely to pick up bad habits and traits from our poor minor league development.

CaliforniaChief 08-30-2018 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OKchiefs (Post 13699636)
I'll take the college catcher. I have very little faith in this organization to mold a high school player into a star. The college catcher should come in more refined and less likely to pick up bad habits and traits from our poor minor league development.

I'm now officially all-in on Witt, Jr.

ChiTown 08-30-2018 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 13699646)
I'm now officially all-in on Witt, Jr. now.

:clap:ROFL

TomBarndtsTwin 08-30-2018 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OKchiefs (Post 13699636)
I'll take the college catcher. I have very little faith in this organization to mold a high school player into a star. The college catcher should come in more refined and less likely to pick up bad habits and traits from our poor minor league development.

Considering the Royals don't seem inclined to ever deal Salvy and they've also got Melendez coming up in the system, I'll pass on the college catcher who will be big league ready in 2-3 years, probably.

Go with Witt Jr. or whatever elite college arm emerges between now and next June . . . . .

KChiefs1 08-30-2018 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mecca (Post 13699613)
You know I just saw the average age of a baseball fan is 57 years old, that's an issue.


I guess I’m above average.

OKchiefs 08-30-2018 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomBarndtsTwin (Post 13699654)
Considering the Royals don't seem inclined to ever deal Salvy and they've also got Melendez coming up in the system, I'll pass on the college catcher who will be big league ready in 2-3 years, probably.

Go with Witt Jr. or whatever elite college arm emerges between now and next June . . . . .

Well I don't think you really want to draft for need. Of the Oregon State kid is the best available player you take him. He'll still need a couple of years at least in the minors, so Salvy will likely be done by the time he'd arrive (2021-2022). Melendez is still a ways away, and having two top catching prospects isn't a bad thing. One could move to first or you could potentially make a trade.

tk13 08-30-2018 01:06 PM

Yeah especially when you're drafting that high. You just take the guy you think will be a superstar and let it ride. You never know what will happen with injuries or player development 4 years from now. If Salvy or Melendez is still around and playing at a high level, then great. Somebody can move to another position or be traded to fill other holes on the team.

Prison Bitch 08-30-2018 01:14 PM

Last year at this time, on MLB.com #1 college player for the 2018 draft was Brady Singer. 3 was Mize.

DJ's left nut 08-30-2018 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 13699988)
Last year at this time, on MLB.com #1 college player for the 2018 draft was Brady Singer. 3 was Mize.

Great example.

And Singer was good this year. But because he wasn't as flashy as Kowar (and Kowar wasn't as steady as Singer) somehow they both ended up knocking each other about and Singer ends up dropping down the ranks. Why? Who the **** knows?

Seth Beer was the no-doubt 2018 #1 overall pick 2 seasons ago and he just barely stayed in the first round because he struggled one summer in the Cape.

Scouts just KILL college draft prospects.

Unless Rutschman wins the Golden Spikes (and hell, even if he does so in less than convincing fashion), I'd be surprised if he holds a #1 overall draft slot. If my memory serves, Appel did. I'm pretty sure Strasburg did.

Otherwise I can't think of any 'wire to wire' #1 overall picks out of college lately. Scouts will hunt for reasons to knock him down.

OKchiefs 08-30-2018 01:40 PM

I've come to terms with not getting the first pick, I feel like there's less pressure for us to make the right pick. We should still get a stud.

DJ's left nut 08-30-2018 02:54 PM

Your AFL players have been announced:

Hitters:
Meibrys Viloria
Nick Heath
Khalil Lee

Pitchers:
Scott Blewett
Grant Gavin
Walker Sheller

No IFers y'all wanted to get a look at down there, I guess? A little surprised Lopez didn't get a look unless they wanted him to get some rest. That or they're just comfortable with what they have there.

BigCatDaddy 08-30-2018 03:07 PM

Lopez is the only one as you mention. We already start a shit ton of what are essentially rookies most nights anyways.

Prison Bitch 08-30-2018 04:03 PM

Biggest disappointments of 2018, Espn


FanGraphs rates Hosmer at minus-0.7 WAR -- though that doesn't factor in the clubhouse leadership he has provided to a team that might lose 100 games.

duncan_idaho 08-30-2018 04:28 PM

Re: Witt and Rutschman, saying something like “we already have Melendez, don’t need Rutschman” is how you end up with Christian Colon instead of Chris Sale (we don’t need Sale. We already have Lamb, Montgomery, Duffy, and Dwyer).

If you’ve got the top pick, you take the guy you rate best regardless of position. Same thing with second and really any pick.

Time will tell which it should be.

If a HS arm or college arm jumps forward, I could see Baltimore going that route at No. 1.

I think I like Witt more just because Rutschman’s bat development is fairly recent, but I could be persuaded otherwise. They both offer plus offense at a key defensive spot. Witt probably has higher upside offensively because his tools are more diverse. But a switch-hitting Posey, which is the upside of the other choice, is also pretty enticing.

I think KC will evaluate Witt higher if give. The choice.

DJ's left nut 08-30-2018 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 13700372)
Re: Witt and Rutschman, saying something like “we already have Melendez, don’t need Rutschman” is how you end up with Christian Colon instead of Chris Sale (we don’t need Sale. We already have Lamb, Montgomery, Duffy, and Dwyer).

It's still a better justification than "I don't like our player development system so I'll let a college program take care of the first 3 years for us..."

I think y'all have a few undesirables in this thread...

Prison Bitch 08-30-2018 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 13700375)
It's still a better justification than "I don't like our player development system so I'll let a college program take care of the first 3 years for us..."...

That makes sense from a Cards perspective but from a Royals one, you can see the logic.

tk13 08-31-2018 11:19 AM

Looks like they've traded Butera to the Rockies for a minor league pitcher. Say goodbye to the best hair flip in team history.

Discuss Thrower 08-31-2018 11:23 AM

Well that's certainly a way to get some extra lotto tickets.

kstater 08-31-2018 11:29 AM

Getting anything for a backup that's making 2M and is a pending free agent is impressive

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Pitt Gorilla 08-31-2018 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kstater (Post 13701849)
Getting anything for a backup that's making 2M and is a pending free agent is impressive

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Agreed. I like these kinds of moves.


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