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There's no telling what CJ will do until we find out where he goes. |
I was all about us taking a tight end until the wide receivers hit the field.
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I'd say give Kelce a chance, but draft another TE in the 4-6th rounds that can be developed. I'd like to see the Chiefs trade out of their pick unless something sweet falls in their laps and get an extra 2nd and 3rd. This draft is rich in DBs and Wrs..which happen to be part of the team's needs. |
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A formidable two TE set will be a magic elixir for Smith, they're PERFECT for his skill set. |
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I'm about as vocal as they get on Kelce. I'm not enamored with a 3rd round pick that missed his entire rookie season. Do I want to give up on him? No. I didn't want to pin all of our hopes on him in the first place. This offense - Alex - needs a Vernon Davis. We need to keep trying to get one until we're SURE we have one. |
Eric Ebron might not go as high as people are projecting. People keep comparing him to Vernon Davis but he is nowhere near the physical monster that Davis was.
Vernon Davis ran a 4.38 40 yard dash at the combine while weighing in at 263 pounds of, what looked like, pure muscle. He jumped through the roof with a 40" vertical. Eric Ebron ran a 4.60 40 yard dash at the combine while weighing in at 250 pounds. He only jumped 32". That is a world of difference in speed and explosion between the two and it's why Vernon Davis was a top 10 pick and why Ebron won't be. That draft was considered weak in offensive receiving threats at the top. Take last year for instance, when big pass catching TEs were all the rage, Tyler Eifert was a great prospect coming out of Notre Dame; he was pretty close to Ebron in speed/explosiveness but easily had better and more consistent hands and was a more polished receiving TE overall. Tons of people had him going in the top 15 and Eifert didn't get picked until the 21st pick in the draft. Eifert didn't have much impact for the Bengals as a rookie (mostly because they didn't know how to use him well and he didn't get very many snaps due to Gresham being on the field). To top it off, this year's WR class is significantly stronger than last year's but there are still only a few potential #1 candidates to be had. WR needy teams that are likely to take a receiver in the 1st will opt to go with a WR because they'll be able to fill the TE role in the 2nd and 3rd rounds with solid prospects. A #1 WR will always be valued over a good TE when it comes down to it. 12. Giants - They are losing Nicks, who was previously considered their #1 WR. But they could go OL as well or revamp their DL. 13. Rams - With their 2nd 1st round pick, even though they already took Austin too high last year, they still need a #1 threat. Rams could opt for one of the top safeties at this spot over a WR. 15. Steelers - Though I'll argue that they need more defensive and OL help than they do WR. They could still opt to take a #1 target for Big Ben here but they truly need to revamp their defense and get back to their old ways. 18. Jets - Need lots of offensive help. They'll take the best remaining #1 WR here and hope for a receiving TE later in the draft. 21. Green Bay - They could use a good TE with Finley's injury but they need defensive help a whole lot more than they do offense. If Ebron were a more consistent pass catcher he would likely be a top 20 pick in this draft, no question about that. However, this draft is too strong for Ebron, who has highly inconsistent hands and isn't dominant and consistent at high pointing the ball, to go in the top 20, IMO. It's probable that he may be there for our pick at 23. FTR: Ebron had a 11.43% drop percentage. That's terrible for someone who is being lauded as the next great TE. |
Amaro >>> Ebron, IMO
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The real question is whether
1st rd TE + 3rd rd WR is more valuable than 1st rd WR + 3rd rd TE |
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Top 5 WRs vs Ebron Would you take Sammy Watkins over Ebron? Yes. Watkins is pretty much guaranteed to be a #1 WR in this league with his talent. Would you take Mike Evans over Ebron? Yes. Evans is 2nd to only Jarvis Landry in making those contested catches and has good speed for a WR his size. He's no Calvin Johnson but he can be a Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Vincent Jackson, or Larry Fitzgerald (is he improves his route running a lot) type. Would you take Odell Beckham Jr. Over Ebron? Yes. #1 WR potential with great speed and versatility as a special teamer. Would you take Marquise Lee over Ebron? Depends which Lee you're getting; are you talking about 2012 Lee or the 2013 version? If it's the 2012 one, then yes. 2013, probably not. Would you take Brandin Cooks over Ebron? Depends who you think is more valuable. Cooks can dominate the slot and provide Kendall Wright/Victor Cruz type production from there, but there are a lot of slot guys in the draft who can do the same thing. Ebron gives us the ability to run a lot of different things out of double TE sets if Kelce proves that he can stay healthy and perform as well as our coaches think he can. Alex Smith would love to have two giant receivers who could run, allows him to really check in and out of pass/run plays and keep the defense guessing. However, that leaves us with the prospect of having to depend on Avery/Jenkins and Bowe on the outsides again. |
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This draft is deep in WRs and CBs..and there is no 2nd round pick. I don't see a TE being selected earlier than the 4th. |
Can anyone name a single successful tight end that was converted from receiver? Honestly asking.
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The only one that I'm aware of is Tim Wright in Tampa Bay. |
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