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-   -   Chiefs The way I understand the playoff picture... (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=288855)

Wildcat2005 12-02-2014 04:54 PM

Chiefs most likely have to win 3 of the next 4 to have a chance

There are realistic scenarios where they lose to Arizona or Oakland but win out and still miss the playoffs
They can lose to one of the 3 remaining AFC teams, however it will be harder to get in than that way

The big games though are at Pitt and home against SD

Just running through some scenarios a loss against either of those teams dramatically reduces their chances of getting in

jspchief 12-02-2014 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Count Alex's Wins (Post 11162035)
we definitely need to get in so we can lose our token playoff game

/thread

Simply Red 12-02-2014 05:03 PM

Why on Earth would you not run the ball your opening possession AT ALL?

Truly dumb coaching. And again; I hate to say it - but C. Collinsworth nailed it while analyzing Reid's formula for doing that.

Dumb move there.

notorious 12-02-2014 05:59 PM

So this is what it's like to be diagnosed with AIDS.

Three7s 12-02-2014 06:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Simply Red (Post 11162936)
Why on Earth would you not run the ball your opening possession AT ALL?

Truly dumb coaching. And again; I hate to say it - but C. Collinsworth nailed it while analyzing Reid's formula for doing that.

Dumb move there.

Yeah, Reid got scared and thought we'd have to put up more points, rather than playing to the team's strength of ball control offense. I hope he learned something.

Simply Red 12-02-2014 06:37 PM

Direckshun got mad and left and still hasn't come back. LOL - srsly? that's more sensitive than me.

Direckshun PM me bud.

Manila-Chief 12-02-2014 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania (Post 11162384)
Nothing is absolute and I'm just guessing, as everyone else is... but, I don't think NE will play well on the road after a tough road loss this week. Call me crazy, but I think SD carries the momentum from the Baltimore win into this one and catches NE on the back end of a tough 2 game road trip.

I'm not as impressed with SF lately, think SD can snag that one.

Manning and the Broncos are 15-1 vs the AFCW since his arrival, the lone loss being to SD in Denver (of all places). I think Denver plays well and takes that one, and after a grueling stretch of tough games - I think SD falls flat at the end in KC.

Yeah, I know you are guessing ... so are most everyone else. This seems to be the year of parity where anything can and does happen. I hear your logic re: Pats let down ... but, I've lost a lot of games in pickem contests with that kind of logic. But, I think the Pats beat SD. They have too much at stake and are a real good team. I will not be surprised if SD wins at Arrowhead.

Oh, no question, I think Denver wins out. I'm pulling for the Donks to lose coz I'm a bit jealous of what Elway has done. Yep, Manning will probably lose again in the S.B. but at least he has a legit chance of getting there. We don't even have a chance of being an average NFL team. Dorsey must have inherited a whole pile of smoke makers and mirrors and is trying to use them all up???? He is doing a very pitiful job!!!

Three7s 12-02-2014 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania (Post 11162384)
Nothing is absolute and I'm just guessing, as everyone else is... but, I don't think NE will play well on the road after a tough road loss this week. Call me crazy, but I think SD carries the momentum from the Baltimore win into this one and catches NE on the back end of a tough 2 game road trip.

I'm not as impressed with SF lately, think SD can snag that one.

Manning and the Broncos are 15-1 vs the AFCW since his arrival, the lone loss being to SD in Denver (of all places). I think Denver plays well and takes that one, and after a grueling stretch of tough games - I think SD falls flat at the end in KC.

I agree that SF isn't all that great, much of that thanks to the lacking play by Kaepernick. I think the Chargers will be 9-7 and a game behind the final wild card spot. Currently, I have the Chiefs finishing out at 10-6, beating the Cardinals, Raiders, and Chargers, but losing to the Steelers. All in all, I think the Chiefs are good for the 6th seed and a humiliating first round loss in Indianapolis again.

Sweet Daddy Hate 12-02-2014 09:36 PM

Please god no.

philfree 12-02-2014 09:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 11162883)
True, sort of. No game is hugely more important than than another, but the critical thing is to win 3 of 4.



A whole dozen out of 2^64? Wow. I recommend looking at about the 5000 most likely scenarios and go from there. But you are basically correct that getting to 10-6 wiht the last loss coming against Arizona gets us to a 97% chance of making the playoffs.





Complete hogwash. If we get to 10 - 6 with a loss to the following teams the odds of us making the playoffs are:

Pittsburgh: 82%
Oakland: 95%
San Diego: 63%

All that said if we win in Arizona our odds of making the playoffs increase? Exactly!

NJChiefsFan 12-02-2014 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ram29jackson (Post 11162407)
Browns and Bills will make the playoffs

The Bills will have to pull a rabbit out of their ass to not be 7-7 after the next two weeks. The Browns don't even know who their QB is.

I really was worried we would lose to OAK. I also expected us to beat MIA and SD after we started 0-2. I am not saying I have this great vision, but for whatever reason my gut has been right this year. I feel pretty confident that we will beat ARI and OAK. After that, who knows. This team seems to step up when it needs to and fall down when its about to reach a new height.

I think part of the issue is that we are used to the Chiefs beating poor teams and losing to good teams. Every year they get in the playoffs its when they beat every poor team during a weak schedule. Now they seem to be a team that can beat a good team and lose to a bad one. So I don't think you can just use a loss to a weak team to predict that they will lose to a good team. I think you need to look at the SF, MIA, and SD games to look at what to expect this Sunday as far as compete level goes.

Ming the Merciless 12-02-2014 09:49 PM

Right on man....I REALLY hope we can get that 1993 monkey off our backs.

Good stuff direk

Simply Red 12-02-2014 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pawnmower (Post 11163351)
Right on man....I REALLY hope we can get that 1993 monkey off our backs.

Good stuff direk

You seem nice.

Ming the Merciless 12-02-2014 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Simply Red (Post 11163352)
You seem nice.

I need you inside me

Simply Red 12-02-2014 10:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pawnmower (Post 11163365)
I need you inside me

I was thinking we could take a few flesh-lights out to the K, sit in the nose bleeds and watch Billy Butler and share nachos and soda's and other things, if you know what I mean.


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