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Oh look, a jag fan, cute.
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It just never seems to work. The vast majority of teams that have beaten Mahomes have done so through simply outscoring him. Conventional wisdom has been 'shorten the game' for 5 years now. Good luck with that, fellas. Better teams than Jacksonville have tried it and failed. |
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to beat Mahomes you either need to have long drives keep him off the field, or pressure him without blitzing and get home make him uncomfortable. KC loses games they shouldn't like to the Colts this year and almost to Ten, and Hou.
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Brittney is a figurehead in the community now with her business(es), so she really kinda has to remain. That said, anything she had done was blown way out of proportion by the media anyway. That Champaign spray incident? Nobody there actually cared because that was one of the happiest moments in Chiefs history. |
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Also, IIRC it wasn't Mahomes fault that game as the team had many dropped balls (Kelce TD) and fumbles. Now, there ARE some games that are totally on Mahomes (like the AFCC against the Bengals) where he completely shit the bed, and a few others misc where he just didn't play well. Odds are highly unlikely Mahomes shits the bed against the Jags... but it is possible the Receiving unit lets him down with dropped passes and/or fumbles. |
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dropped passes are part of the game, reason we lost alot early in the season we lead the league in dropped passes which i think is alot more then they show on the sites. mahomes is probably the most reliable QB i have watched in the last 20 years. he rarely has a bad game and when he does never has back to back ones. |
How is "Chiefs lose to teams they shouldn't" a thing outside of Chiefs fans? Every team in the league does that, just like every team minus maybe like 2020 Bills will sleepwalk through a game or three.
It's something I'd expect reddit Chiefs fans to mention, just strange if fans of other teams think it's some kind of unique thing for the Chiefs, unless it's just being made up to sound edgy I guess. Granted, Reid, Kelce, and so forth have all mentioned playing vanilla in the regular season and basically going through the motions, which I'm sure also isn't unique to teams that make the playoffs every year (the Patriots were pretty notorious for early season and even December losses before winning the SB). And obviously, none of it has anything to do with the playoff Chiefs. |
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to beat Mahomes you need the Chiefs to turn the ball over, dominate their OL with 3-4, and have a mutant QB yourself. |
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So when they lose at all, it's 'to a team they shouldn't' in the minds of fans looking for some glimmer of hope to cling to. We went through this before the Bills game and the Mahomes/Reid era has 2 maybe 3 losses against teams they really should've beaten? The other ones were just close, tough games that they lost and firmly in the 'eh, shit happens' category. |
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Chiefs don’t turn the ball over they are unbeatable.
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Sorry. Mahomes wins games that he's supposed to win. |
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You can try to play the game of limiting drives, but that requires you to be more efficient offensively than the Chiefs, and they have consistently been much more consistent than any other offense in football. With the full playbook open for the playoffs and Mahomes willing to use his legs even more and the Chiefs deep and varied group of weapons in 2022, this is perhaps harder than it's been sans 2018 with a healthy Sammy Watkins and Kareem Hunt still on the team. You can try to drop a lot of guys in coverage, but that requires your front to win without help. Really, it comes down to hoping you can win the turnover margin (and likely needing to win it by +2 or better) and have some unusual things happen. Mahomes has played 3-4 bad quarters of playoff football out of 44. Hoping you get a random bad quarter is probably part of the equation, too. Both AFC championship game losses featured some rough quarters. Of course, all of this goes out the window if your QB is also a mutant elite-elite guy. Lawrence isn't that, yet. |
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are you sure Lawrence isn't there? he is not afraid. he threw 4 picks and just went back out and unafraid and slung it around the yard for 4 TDs. also back in Dallas he thru it around the yard made elite throws into windows only a handful of qbs can make. his only problem is starting fast he's still learning as Urban didn't teach him anything last year. but he can throw the ball as well as any of the final 4 in the AFC. |
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Lawrence is incredibly physically gifted. But he is not - yet - a guy who does superhuman stuff off schedule. And he doesn't quite have the level of weapons to elevate him, either. I think he can take that leap next year. |
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Trevor makes a lot of sick throws, for sure, but he also misses too many. It might not seem like he misses many, because he's throwing a lot of quicker, shorter passes. But the thing is: he's #24 in deep ball accuracy rating; Burrow is #2; Allen is #8. Trevor needs to grow in his vertical downfield game and, maybe to the same extent, he needs weapons who can help him in this respect. Trevor has put up great passing stats against low-ranking pass defenses -- although pressure can still bother him as it did against the Titans. Need to see him thrive against better defenses, too. Just from eye test, putting him on a level with Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, is insane. I love Trevor, too, man, but that's insane. Off the top of my head, I'd put him around Dak Prescott-level (maybe I have a better impression of Dak than you do or maybe I'm thinking of the better Dak that we saw last night). |
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Take the LAC game for example. at least two, if not three of those INTs were the result of poor decisions on Trevor's part. Without going into details, he tried to fit balls into places they just were never going to be completed. He basically was begging to be intercepted. Now we could debate the whys and the wherefores of how those decisions were made, but that's kind of irrelevant here. The point is that Trevor repeatedly made bad decisions about where to go with the football. Those are processing and decision-making problems, not a receiver or an arm talent problem. Now maybe next year or whenever, he grows to the point where he stops making those kinds of decisions. But right now, based on this season, he's susceptible to making those kinds of decisions. Which eliminates Trevor from the 'elite' category in 2022. Personally, I'm hoping he continues to grow as a QB. Overall, I like his game. |
Oh good - we're talking about dropped passes.
I remember those days of rationalizing the statistics of our limited QBs... |
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BECAUSE he threw 4 picks. Elite passers don't throw 4 picks at home in the playoffs. Favre threw 6 in a game once, but 3 of those came in the 4th quarter when he was just slinging it to try to come back and that was on the road. Roethlisberger threw 3 in a half at home once but it was in 2021 when that dude was as washed as washed gets. Rich Gannon once threw 5 in the Super Bowl but 2 were during garbage time and, oh, the other team KNEW THEIR PLAYBOOK. Elite players don't throw four picks in the first half of a home playoff game. It flat-ass doesn't happen. |
You'll know your quarterback has officially made the big time when you're no longer rationalizing dropped passes to make him look better, but fielding questions about dropped interceptions as people are trying to tear him down.
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Is Jacksonville the only AFC opponent the Chiefs never faced in the playoffs?
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NFL Passes Dropped Rank Team Passes Dropped 1 Green Bay Packers 30 2 Buffalo Bills 29 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 29 5 Miami Dolphins 27 6 New York Giants 27 7 Kansas City Chiefs 26 8 Los Angeles Chargers 25 9 Cincinnati Bengals 24 10 Cleveland Browns 24 11 Dallas Cowboys 23 12 Denver Broncos 23 13 Detroit Lions 23 14 Indianapolis Colts 23 15 Tennessee Titans 22 16 San Francisco 49ers 22 17 Minnesota Vikings 20 18 Pittsburgh Steelers 20 19 Washington Commanders 20 20 Baltimore Ravens 20 21 New England Patriots 19 22 New Orleans Saints 19 23 Arizona Cardinals 19 24 New York Jets 18 25 Houston Texans 16 26 Las Vegas Raiders 16 27 Los Angeles Rams 15 28 Philadelphia Eagles 14 29 Carolina Panthers 14 30 Seattle Seahawks 13 31 Chicago Bears 12 32 Atlanta Falcons 9 |
Yeah I agree that Trevor isn't elite. Mahomes and Burrow are elite for sure. After that I guess Allen might be elite, then, ranking the non-elite, Herbert maybe a few guys then Trevor.
But using his first every playoff half to downplay Trevor's quality is pretty unfair. Can he not be forgiven for having playoff jitters? |
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You don't think Rodgers defenders would be justified in pointing out that they led the league in dropped passes? |
Am I not allowed to thumbs-up a post?
By the way, just wanted to say thanks for having me here. Nice forum and nice group of guys it seems. |
Just rewatched the earlier game. The Chiefs offense is just too much. Toney and McKinnon were weapons that day, and there is no reason to think they won't be again. Throw in Kelce and JuJu as the possession receivers...Unless some how the Jax D line plays dramatically better and rapes our OT, how are they going to stop us?
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Plus, we saw him in week 10 or whenever that was as well. And while he didn't actually throw an INT in that game, some of his decisions were . . . questionable. Will he grow out of that sort of thing is the million-dollar question. Fortunately, for him he has Doug Pederson to help him with that as he goes forward, so i do expect Trevor to have less of those moments as his career progresses. I think the point here is that Trevor is definitely not a finished product, yet. As such, he's going to make some mistakes/questionable decisions, because that's currently a significant part of who he is. He's not Alex Smith; he's not going to consistently take the checkdown/most conservative pass. He's going to try and make a play. It's the when and where that will be the problem. |
Light snow game, about 1" during game so far in forcast
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In zone, it was ridiculously easy for the Chiefs to move the ball. Almost everyone was open, consistently. The fumble and the INT took 10 or so points off the board to make it look a lot closer than it really was. TBH, I think the only real chance JAX has, is if Pat just has one of those inexplicable horrific days. It could happen, it's really rare, but it could. But if Mahomes comes out and plays just his average "I'm one of the best QBs in the world," kind of game (as opposed to the "I'm a God" kind of game), it's hard to believe that KC won't score 35+ points. Then what does JAX do? They only average 24/gm; it's not very realistic to think they'll just explode for 40 points just because they're "battle tested," or they're "playing with house money," or whatever slogan every opposing team's fans have used since 2019. And all season, with just a handful of exceptions, Spags defense has only allowed the opposing team right about their average in yards and scoring. Even with all the new faces and the three rookies in the secondary. AGS, blahblahblah, but I wouldn't bet on it this weekend. |
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And welcome! :toast: This place can be rough around the edges, but we tend to meet people where they're at. |
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Imho, he could be a top-10 QB next season, partially due to attrition, but I think he could break into that tier. Certainly somewhere between 10 and 15th is almost a given in 2023, unless there's some flaw in his game that gets exposed. |
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Jt OSullivan QB School on Trevor's performance vs. LAC. he gets into the decision-making issues at the beginning of the game:
<iframe width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/K86BRj1FAWI" title="The Trevor Lawrence Comeback" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe> |
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Oh I can't wait to come back to this board sat night. It's going to be fireworks going on, on how the chiefs lost to a bottom feeder jags team.
Wether your team Lawrence or not he's here to stay and going to take the king down. DUUVVAALL |
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I will be at Arrowhead yelling for my Chiefs! Can't wait! We are going to kick their asses up and down the field.
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Saturday will be almost 4 years to the day when Shitface Sutton’s incompetence kept Mahomes from going to the Super Bowl.
Revenge time when Sutton returns to Arrowhead Saturday. https://nesn.com/wp-content/uploads/...bob-sutton.jpg |
Trevor Lawrence has never lost a football game on a Saturday (per nick wright)
Mahomes has never lost in the divisional round (per 4-0 record) gonna be a great game |
Lawrence has played TWO GAMES on Saturday in the NFL LMAO
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I figured he died of old age a couple years ago. |
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I’m sure the NFL Network will be rerunning this year’s game. I need to rewatch it.
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As for this game, the Jaguars haven't seen the type of team they are going to play this week yet. A true title contender, in their house, when it matters most. That's no easy task. The Chiefs aren't the Chargers. As far as I'm concerned, the only other teams on the Chiefs level are the other two teams playing in the other AFC divisional matchup. That's what it takes. I'm afraid the Jags are just nowhere near that yet. Your only real hope is to get the ball into Etienne's and Kirk's hands again on passes underneath and keep it close. That's the Chiefs' major weakness defensively. I don't think you have the pass rushers capable of consistently pressuring Mahomes though, as was evident in the first meeting. That and KC letting off again isn't happening in the playoffs. I just don't see this game being close. It really wasn't the first time, but now it's playoff time. I'm going with 38-14. |
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Don’t think they will be ready for the crowd noise in a playoff atmosphere.. |
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We're also only 17-21 in the postseason despite being 8-3 since Mahomes became the starter. Ew. |
Looking like we might have snow on Saturday. At the very least some rain. Which team does this kind of weather favor?
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Looks like it could snow Saturday
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Looks like any snowfall would be late, light and with no accumulations. Obviously this could change but as of now, I wouldn't factor in any snow in relation to the game.
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You should try acting like you've been here before. Wait, never mind... |
Should be a fun, tough game. They're scrappy. I don't take this game lightly at all. Pederson will pull out all the stops.
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We really need to have Nut create every thread. I have my superstitions.
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