Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
(Post 17085697)
My man... you need to take a step back and chill.
Yes, the franchise tag is either average of the top 5 paid players at your position, or 120% of your previous year cap hit, whichever is higher.
Well, first of all you assume that the PFT numbers are correct. Which are numbers you should take with a grain of salt considering that whole article was clearly planted by Jones' agents and, as such, probably DOESN'T TELL A COMPLETE AND FAIR AND ACCURATE story.
Second of all, if the Chiefs are offering to make the deal $74M over 23, 24, and 25, that means they're offering Jones $54.5M over 24 and 25, which is $27.25M/year in new money. Which is how NFL contracts should be tracked. What is the NEW money.
That deal DOES put him well clear of the guys in the tier below Jones (Simmons, Williams, et al). Like $6-7M AAV clear of them.
It's a very fair offer for him that does exactly what he says he wants. It pays him like the 2nd highest paid DT in the NFL and also gives him new money that is far clear of where the other guys are. It resets the non-Aaron Donald market.
Yes, because his cap hit for 2023 is so high, the franchise tags are a problem in 2024 and 2025, to the point that if he had reported and played out this year on the deal he had, he would be very difficult to tag, even for a trade purpose.
The Chiefs wouldn't HAVE to pay him. They wouldn't HAVE to tag him. And there's no precedent for negotiating based on the 120% figure for the franchise tag. Using the AVG of top 5 at position calculation is where most contract extensions start.
They don't have to offer the tag. He doesn't have to sign it. Etc.
If you include the year already under contract, which is a faulty way to look at it. Did you see the OTC guy's breakdown of this? It's all about the new money, man. In new money, you're talking $27.25M.
There are many ways Jones and his agents could have proceeded that would have handled this situation better. The best one would have been a "hold-in" situation. Where he has reported but is not playing and they're working towards a deal with the idea that he'll play if no deal is reached.
This way - a long, protracted hold out that has already cost him 1 game check (Preseason) plus $2M in fines and a $500K reporting bonus and is going to cost him his Game 1 game check - is not it. He doesn't have the leverage that he and his agent think he does. Hell, at this point the Chiefs can legitimately hold him out for as long as they want before playing him per the CBA since he didn't report within 5 days of cutdown day.
The most likely outcomes now are: (1) the Chiefs either get enough savings from missed game checks to tag him for 2024 and trade him to the team they want for the package they like best, rather than the tag being too high to do that unless you have a deal in place quickly (2) he reports having missed 2 game checks and still is tagged and traded in the offseason, just with a little more control over the landing spot.
In both of those situations, it's going to be hard to make up the money he's lost because he'll be negotiating as a year-older player and coming off a lesser year.
You could make an easy case this was the worst way to get what he wants (Guarantees and security and $$)
We're not in the room and don't know when the first offer came out. Both teams are in negotiation mode. The Chiefs front office has a reputation for offering in good faith. If Jones and his representation had told the team in April that what they wanted was $32.5M a year in new money (what the deal in the PFT article would come to), the Chiefs would have traded him like they did with Hill because that structure doesn't work for them.
One side seems to NOT be operating in good faith. Logic would suggest that it is the side that was saying "I want to be the second-highest paid player at my position" for months, but that is now leaking info to shills who share numbers that make him the highest-paid player at his position in new money.
Again, there's evidence that one side has been stringing the other along and not operating in good faith. It is not that it was the team.
This has been the case for some time now. Weeks, in fact.
Why is $27.25M/year in new money, with $70M in guarantees for 23-24-25 better than playing out 2023?
Well, because it puts a guaranteed additional $50M in his bank accounts?
Because that rate of pay is more than 20% higher than the next-highest paid non-Aaron Donald player at his position (anything that is more than 10% is normally viewed as a market reset level contract)?
Because it pays him better at his position than anyone other than Aaron Donald?
Because there's no guarantee he does better than that on the open market?
Not accurate, as I've spent most of my reply outlining. They are not demanding he take a hometown discount. They are offering him huge money on the new years of the deal.
Wild speculation and counter to the way Veach and the Chiefs operate and what was reported throughout the summer.
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