Chiefs now at 57% to get the bye:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...l-predictions/

Seems about right.

And, while it remains to be seen with the new playoff format, most modern SB teams have the benefit of a bye.

You should start a “Taysom Hill or Mahomes” Deberg thread for your new crush. He just put up 78 passing yards against Denver, with a pick.

He’s inexperienced at QB. Our secondary is statistically pretty good at coverage, which lets the D play more guys closer to the LOS to negate his running ability. Spags is great at adaptive scheming, and running isn’t really the way to beat MVPat.

Could we lose the game, sure. We absolutely shouldn’t, however.

yep! you can take the raiders out of choakland but you can't take the choak out of the raiders

If both the Chiefs and Steelers win out (I know unlikely) who would get HFA and the #1 seed?

Steelers - we lost to the AFC - they lost to the NFC (if both win out).

Steelers - we lost to a AFC opponent and they lost to a NFC team

Not that it really means anything, but 538's model give us a 57% chance at the bye, which generally means it thinks the Steelers are gonna drop a game or two.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...l-predictions/

ROFL

You guys are hilarious.

The bottom line here is that their defense is legitimately good. If the Broncos can shut them down like they did, so can the Saints.

The big difference is that they likely won't push the ball with Hill and limit his turnovers. His ability to make plays with his feet can cause problems for the Chiefs defense because you know, Frank Clark ****ing sucks.

Unless that's changed, which is entirely possible because it is CP after all.

Okay what is our Hardest (realistic) route to winning the Super Bowl, and what is our Easiest (realistic) route to winning the Super Bowl?

Will Brees be back by the time we play the Saints?

The easiest route is to win out and have Pittsburgh lose one more game.

Then we get the bye and only have to play 2 playoff games.

It really doesn't get much easier than that.

I meant in terms of the teams we are playing. Definitely subjective, but curious as to the preferred and least preferred paths.

This is a hard question when it comes to the Chiefs because we all know if they just play their B+ game, they’re probably going to beat anyone in the AFC. But they can lose to anybody in there too if they come out making mistakes.

Right now, I think Buffalo is the best AFC team outside of Kansas City if Allen is on. I don’t think Pittsburgh can hang with Kansas City. Cleveland could be dangerous with their run game and ability to rush the passer. Vegas has played us tough but I wouldn’t be afraid of them in a cold round 3 at Arrowhead (Carr in the cold is cheeks). Indy wouldn’t scare me a lot, Tennessee is too depleted to hang with Kansas City. Baltimore probably is too but their defense is good enough that maybe they stay in the game if they somehow pull off a pick 6 or something.

Regular season or playoffs?

Looks like pugs already covered possible playoff matchups.