It’s his wishful thinking, Kollman is a Texans fan that wants the Chiefs to lose.

The way he worded it he’s already looking past us. He’s saying if they win they will just claim mahomes wasn’t 100% and the bengals were disrespected.

Yeah. I usually feel bad about these games. But I feel strangely good about it.

It’s one hell of a thing to do well on a high ankle sprain. But mahomes has a funny way of showing up in these playoff games. Coming back from a concussion. The turf toe game. He seems to relish it when people doubt him the most.

As I’ve said I think the chiefs come out with the whole team knowing they have to play their A game. The bengals are acting like we’re just a roadblock to their Super Bowl. I think we go in hungrier. And mahomes will put yet another feather in his cap.

Cincy is now a 1 point favorite and yet FPI gives the Chiefs a pretty healthy win probability… 67%.

Bengals sure are talking

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Burrowhead �� <a href="https://t.co/QQUL8ELEt9">pic.twitter.com/QQUL8ELEt9</a></p>&mdash; ZIM (@zimwhodey) <a href="https://twitter.com/zimwhodey/status/1617713828959244288?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 24, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Hope the guys are seeing ALL of this. Get on it Clay!

This will be the first playoff game during Cincy’s brief emergence that they won’t get to use the underdog/disrespect card.

I’m telling ya I don’t like this, it’s like they know they have won.

Crazy. The 7-time SB champion NE Patriots didn’t talk as much shit as these haven’t-won-anything losers. It’s really nauseating.

FPI likely isn't taking into account the Mahomes injury, no?

I figured that's probably worth 4-5 points?

If they only knew what was waiting for them at the George Brett statue.

Let’s talk about the Bengals (AFC Championship Rd)
 

This game truly is massive for Mahomes and the Chiefs. He has both a lot to lose and a lot to gain. Lose and he becomes Manning to Brady with regards to head to head. Win and he cements himself and the team as the AFC dynasty with one small hiccup last season and potential NFL dynasty. Lose and you are sitting at 2-3 in AFC championship 0-2 vs Bengals and the team becomes second best franchise moving forward in AFC overnight. A lot riding on this. Burrow really has no pressure here.

Burrow hasn’t won a ring yet so he’s got tons of pressure

I think he will be like Elway, lose a couple SBs and then win a couple down the road.

I do believe the Bengals are due for a huge let down. They’ve been riding quite lucky lately with key turnovers in their favor at critical times. Burrow is due for some bad INTs of his own. And I think they have basically no chance of playing as good as they did last game. I’m thinking double digit Chiefs victory.

Here is a positive vibe for you guys..

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The blueprint to beat Cincy is pretty simple and is provided by the Cleveland Browns.

They beat Cincy 3 of their 4 games the past two years, including two blowout wins.

Cleveland bludgeoned Cincy with their running game and sacked Burrow multiple times without having to blitz.

I want to see the Bengals when they are paying Burrow & Chase $85-90M per year combined and selecting talent at the bottom of the draft every year. They still have a few years before it becomes a serious issue though.

I don’t think so. He’s got cincy in the palm of his hand. Bengals have a few years before the roster and cap are challenged. There’s no desperation to win now. I’m sure burrow isn’t looking past us but it feels like the rest of the bengals are.

Can we trade Mike Danna for Myles Garrett this week?

A lot of shit is going to get dicey. He needs an elite OL. Him, chase and the OL will take up an entire payroll

No way Lou Anuramu will be there much longer. I’m shocked he’s not getting interviewed left and right even now.

They don’t have top 5 picks which is wheee so much of their cheap talent is coming from after sucking for decades.

Really hard to imagine they’ll keep Higgins. Most likely no Boyd either.

And how good will Zac Taylor be without this absurd abundance of riches.

And will this notoriously cheap franchise pony up? I’m guessing not.

But they have a few years before reality really sets in. Burrow probably gets paid this offseason. But they still have tons of wiggle room.

I don’t disagree with your overall point, however:

A. Which Manning? Peyton was 3-2 career in the playoffs vs Brady. Eli? 2-0 in the SB but that’s a different animal which leads me to…..

B. Burrow would have to win the SB. If he loses back to back SBs people can say whatever they want about him vs Mahomes, he’d be halfway to Bills SB loses territory

Higgins has to be a goner. He will want over $25M per year, maybe even $30M per year. That’s the receiver market now thanks to guys like Hopkins, Adams, & Tyreek driving the market lately. Chase will want over $30M, possibly even $40M.

What happens to the defense? The defense has been a massive part of their success despite the lazy media pretending it’s all Burrow. They paid pretty good money for guys like Hendrickson & Reader. Filling out the defensive roster gets a lot more difficult if Burrow & Chase are given record-breaking contracts.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/i...ship-game-line

We are blessed.

https://media.gettyimages.com/id/133...XPB9R2ubTXiqM=

You don't say?

I HATE THESE COCKY MOTHER****ERS

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Burrowhead!!! Bengals Week is here again. <a href="https://t.co/97XOdDxYMV">pic.twitter.com/97XOdDxYMV</a></p>&mdash; PJ Green (@PJGreenTV) <a href="https://twitter.com/PJGreenTV/status/1617722257723518977?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 24, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

He won’t be Marino unfortunately.:(

-5.5 with healthy Mahomes seems about right. I think most of us would be supremely confident the way they've been playing. Something to be said for being underdog though. Swings some of the pressure.

**** Cincy and Burrow. Rape their bitch boy ass.

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Me too. Eli Apple mocking to Bills fan and team on Damar Hamlin on Eli Apple Twitter. Nothing but talking crap. Hoping you guys take care of them. I respected but after all the nonsense but they end up crybabies.

I was really thinking just of the Manning Colts. Took him a while to start chipping away at Brady’s dominance.

This is what happens when you let peasants dine with kings. Not even Brady era Pats who were arguably the most dominant force in football got their heads this big.

****ing rats haven't even won a single ring yet but roar like lions. We better skull **** these bastards back to being the AFC Norths punching bag.

I wanna beat these ****ers so bad.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Chiefs are officially underdogs at home. Bengals favored by a point at Arrowhead for the AFCCG</p>&mdash; Matt Verderame (@MattVerderame) <a href="https://twitter.com/MattVerderame/status/1617647016510894080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 23, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

i have a meme with mahomes chilling on a tiger carpet

and a meme with mahomes and kelce stretching out a tigerskin

AND A MEME WITH ANDY STANDING OVER A DEAD TIGER WITH HIS JUNGLE BLASTER SLUNG

I hate the f***ers, I still can't believe most people here wanted them to beat the Bills. They are full of pricks.

This

https://media.tenor.com/yNpuP55ZQysA...ny-hayward.gif

Meh, last time this happened it was against the Bills this year in the regular season. Bills still won. Its not that much of a motivator because they have accomished so much and dont really need it. They know what to do. I'm sure Mahomes will channel it though.

It would be for the Bengals though because they're wired differently and seem to get off on that kind of stuff.

They really are. IMO they're the most cocky and hateable team in the NFL.

Mahomes is 0-3 vs these cocky pricks. Here is hoping he pisses on them on the way to the SB.

If I were ranking games the Chiefs have played that I have most wanted to win, it would be:

1. 2019 Patriots AFCCG
2. 2021 Bucs SB
3. 2023 Bengals AFCCG
4. 2022 Bills Divisional

And I'd say that the gap between 2 and 3 is really closing fast.

For me it's THIS one. It replaces the AFCCG against the Patriots.

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to win this football game.

I'll echo a few recent comments: usually I'm pessimistic, but I'm starting to have a really good feeling about this game.

There's a golden rule in sports that EVERYONE, year in and year out, forgets. No team is ever as good as it looks at its best, or as bad as it looks at its worst. That's why people have ALREADY forgotten that the same Bengals they're now crowning were VERY close to losing, at home, against a scrub backup just a week ago - if not for a total fluke play thanks to said idiot backup QB.

I was guilty of it myself as that Bengals-Bills game winded down. But after 36 hours of seeing everyone and their mom and their neighbor and their dog pick the Bengals, the public betting them massively (public is 121-147 ATS this year, because they're stupid), no one giving the Chiefs a chance? Totally new experience in the Mahomes era, and I think the team - Mahomes most of all - will rise to it in a big way.

It helps that the ankle seems to be trending well from everything I've seen and read. While the outside world is expecting him to be a complete shell of himself. I expect a legacy type game.

We need some Lenny magic

We could have won the earlier game against Cinci this year, but unlike last year's game, I think we were outplayed this year. Cinci had about 100 more yards. Sure, the Kelce fumble, but what about Cinci leaving those points on the field at the end of the half?

Their O line was better then, and I think Thuney was out that game, so maybe that will be the difference. On both sides of the ball, especially D, we need to play better than we did. And of course, a mobile Mahomes.

I don’t recall the Patriots ever acting like the Bengals currently are. I think Bill forced that team to shut their mouths.

Tom Brady sucks but he’s been mostly respectful. The Bengals are just straight up assholes who need to get their ass kicked.

It seems like the Bills were in freewill coming into this game. Maybe they couldn't get right after the Hamlin incident, I don't know. But people are treating the Bills like they're the same team that beat us in Arrowhead...so that a 17-point Cincinnati win looks more impressive than it really is.

Also, the Bengals won't play that well this week. I think Spags is a much better coach than Frazier and will find ways to exploit that O-line of backups. Only major concern is how our secondary holds up against Chase, Higgins, and Boyd.

Spags has had 3 up close and personal looks at C-H-B. He's got a more experienced McDuffie and a crew of others who have gotten more experience. He's got Sneed. He needs to be able to come up with a plan to be more effective vs the Bengals trio. I think he will do just that. Cincy will still get theirs and I still think we'll need 30 to win, but I think the secondary can make just enough plays to give us a shot.

The only time I can remember the Patriots ever talking this much...was when Edelman created those shirts and their rallying cry was basically "People forgot about us". Other than that...they just went out and there and won games.

I seriously can't believe that the Bengals didn't call Eli at some point yesterday and tell him to knock that shit off.

And face the wrath of his Mom? Are you crazy?

Yep. Thats exacyly why THIS game supplants the 2019 AFCCG against the Patriots as the one I want to win the most.

Yeah I can see them trying to avoid her marching into the front offices after she drops him off next practice.

If Mahomes checks into a run a lot when Cincy has a 3 man DL, that will help. Same goes for when Hendrickson is lined up on the far outside shoulder of Orlando.

That’s how he’s going to beat them dropping 8 when he has limited mobility.

I have a feeling Andy is cooking up some special shit for this game.

Cincy has already shown they've adapted how they use their 3 man fronts last time we played them.

They're holding it for obvious 3rd and longs. Beyond that, they weren't really using it.

So i don't expect the "run it against their 3 man fronts" to be part of the game at all, considering those opportunities will mostly only be in long passing situations, at which point, you're conceding the down by running it.

Line now is Cincinnati -2.5

Vegas seems to believe Mahomes is really, really hobbled.

That is worrisome.

Doesn't necessarily mean that at all. It probably means the public is betting hard on Cincy, which we already knew was the case.

Not true.

Vegas sets lines based on the public. They want equal money on both sides. That’s why the line has moved and will keep moving until bets start coming in on the Chiefs.

The last home underdog in a conference championship was the Eagles against the Vikings in 17...the Eagles won that game 38-7

Love it. Make the Chiefs the underdog at home. Love the Bengals taking a lot of shit. Love them “owning us”. Love Burrow being the “better QB” talk.

Our guys had enough motivation based on what happened last season.

These things matter. The Bengals took it personally when Justin Reid opened his mouth.

I fully expect us to do the same

JuJu is coming up on the Rich Eisen show.

I hope he is humble and gives no bulletin board material.

We put 21 on them last year and if not for a major gaffe would’ve been at least 24. They came out after half and threw something at us on defense we had never seen and it got into Pat’s head. Now that we have seen that defense, we should be able to attack it with Andy being the wizard he is. Sure they might have some new wrinkles, but I don’t see any reason we can’t play as well as last year and put it on them.

I also hope Juju lights up some Bengal trash the way he did to Burfict.

Perfect. I doubt it'll hit 3.5, but just you wait and see the $bombs that'll come in on KC +3.5 and KC ML if the public continues to follow the herd as it always does.

KC's team total also dropped to 22.5. It's gonna be so much fun watching KC win the AFCCG while making a bunch of money too.

I'm starting to like this even more than my two 4-figure bets last weekend on Philly -8 and NYG team total under 19.5. Both against the heavy public action.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Burrow&#39;s Bengals are 3-0 vs Mahomes&#39; Chiefs<br><br>but the Chiefs...<br><br>have led by 18, 14 and 7 points in these games<br><br>have never trailed entering the 4th quarter<br><br>have trailed for an average of only 15 minutes each game<br><br>have trailed for an average of only 7:52 in each second half</p>&mdash; Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) <a href="https://twitter.com/SharpFootball/status/1617929722674937859?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 24, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

that right there says it all

they're down 3 OL

good luck in the 4th maggots

Kinda the exact opposite of the Chiefs modus operandi.

Are any of the 3 OL project to return for the game, or are they out for the season? Not familiar with their injuries...

FWIW, they looked fine against Buffalo.

If you examine the past three games we have faced Cinci things begin to point toward a KC win.

First game we played was just us stepping on our own dicks. We had something to the tune of 10 penalties and a costly fluke 3rd and 27 that was converted because we went gung ho and blitzed 7. Just stupid.

Second game, Mahomes saw mad scientist Lou's ace up his sleeve. He brought out those false 6 man blitzes that ended up turning into 8 in coverage in the second half. Adjustments came in too late and even then this was a winnable affair if we just ran it and chewed. Again, more dick stepping by us.

Third game? We had the counters for everything Cincy put on our plate. We were a missed kick and an unbelievably rare fumble from a HOF TE away from winning this game.

Overall I think the composition of our team has changed drastically on defense for the better. Hitchens, Fenton, Ward, Oakfor, Sorenson, Niemann? All these guys played a sizable number of snaps in our first two games with Cincy. We are significantly improved, and if you take the most recent loss and analyze it - flukes aside we should win.

Buffalo played soft coverage which allowed Burrow to get the ball out fast.

Spags won't do that.

not that it matters, but hope this is the end of the road, losing the super bowl is like being crowned the biggest loser, not again.

They've also had every bounce go their way, at some point that will change and Burrow will not continue to be perfect.

RT Collins is out for the year.

LT Williams and RG Cappa are "improving every day." Longshots to play and if they did probably not 100%.

My thoughts exactly. A regression toward the mean has to occur at some point for them. Those 50/50 jump balls that Burrow consistently dimes to Chase and Higgins will not always fall. It's akin to that funk Mahomes suffered last year where every pass would doink off Hills gloves and into the opposing DBs hands for an INT.

Curious to see how Cincy fares when that stuff inevitably starts to occur.