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Daniel Jones has no peripheral vision. This was known coming out which is why he needs really good tackles. |
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33 of their sacks came in these games: Giants x2 Commanders x2 Colts x1 Texans x1 Saints x1 |
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Pure jealousy on all sides. We're here spittin' Shakespeare and they're all wanting to read a Cocomelon comic book. |
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The sack total is a clear outlier, which makes me think the level of QB play (also an outlier) is the cause. |
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One thing I noticed in watching the "sack" video and some of their games and clips is that it looks like they routinely rush their edge defenders HARD to beat the tackles to the top of the arc which puts a lot of pressure on their DTs to win their matchups. Obviously, Cox and Hargrave win a lot but it brings me back to using screens, draws, and quick passes to the flats and on slants because the Eagles are leaving GAPING holes to take advantage of and are rushing too hard to stop it. I saw many instances where a back was able to slip through that line with ease (no chips, tugs, etc) and present himself in the shallow middle or flats. It also looked like the LBs were just barely keeping up with very mediocre receiving options crossing the intermediate zone. The QBs weren't hitting either option because most of them are taking too long to process the play and/or not trusting their receivers to win their matchup. I have to fathom Mahomes will trust Kelce and Smith-Schuster to win against those guys, and they should. If Philly's focus is going to continue to be that hard rush to beat our tackles to the top, and they undoubtedly will because Brown and Wylie don't have the footspeed to keep up, then they can take advantage of that by exposing the flats with quick outs with McKinnon and Pacheco and quick slants to Toney and Co. The Chiefs can also make them slow that rush down a little with screens and running the football and then they can get into the RPO game they love to keep the rush focused on both facets and not pinning their ears back. The Chiefs aren't going to use duo blocks on Cox and Hargrave to try to win in the run or passing game. We aren't the Giants. Thuney and Humphrey are both 2nd Team All-Pros this year. Thuney matches any athleticism Philly has up front. He can handle Hargrave, Cox, or anyone else one-on-one. Smith probably should be an All-Pro or very near it, but he got dinged a bit. He's a tough out and I feel he's a one-on-one matchup most of the time with Cox. Any of those three can handle being passed those DTs and any can move to the 2nd level and get on linebackers. If anyone is a master at exposing an aggressive pass rush, it's Reid. If the Chiefs win, I'm prepared to see the Eagles' death by 1,000 paper cuts and not too many deep shots. |
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But man, they're just awfully tough to get a read on because that schedule was just laughably shitty. And then they got a couple of pre-season caliber opponents to get to the championship. It's like that year KU made the Final 4 without playing anyone higher than a 9 seed. But ultimately they'll get their chance to prove it. |
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I think they're solid from top to bottom. That said I think KC gets a 7 pt win. We're use to playing the big boys and after a feeling out period in the first half this KC team knows how to adjust, adapt, and overcome... |
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Ravens won it all with Dilfer and Flacco. Eagles won it with Foles. I don’t think those fan bases see QB the way we do. We’ve had it all expect the QB and repeatedly had our hearts ripped out by the elite QBs. I don’t blame Eagles fans for maybe not valuing having the advantage at QB as much as we do, since they beat Brady with Foles. |
It all comes back to the trenches.
Can our OL hold up long enough for Pat to operate the offense? Can our DL both blunt their running attack and generate enough pressure to force Hurts into making mistakes? The second issue is the crux, imo. That's two jobs the DL has to dominate long enough to have the effect we need to win. They have to first stop the PHI running attack well enough to make them pass the ball; basically get them to 3rd and long consistently. And then they have to beat that OL in the passing game and generate enough pressure to force some mistakes. If our DL can accomplish those two things, the Chiefs win. But that's a really tall task. Our DL is pretty good at stopping the run situationally, say for a series or two, or even for a quarter but they aren't a run-stopping defense by design. The defense is designed to prevent opposing teams from passing effectively down the stretch when the Chiefs are trying to hold into a lead. And yeah, KC did very well vs. CIN, but their OL was 3/5ths backups or injured, which is not the situation facing them in the SB. That's the best OL in football and they're healthy. Going to need huge games from both CJ and FC, and probably at least one other DL, for 60 minutes. But if they can do those two things, the Chiefs are more than capable of beating the Eagles. Hurts is like 25th when pressured. He was the 7th most sacked QB in 2022, so he's holding the ball too long on a regular basis. Probably isn't processing that quickly, and isn't the most situationally aware QB at this point of his career. These are issues that the Chiefs can take advantage of, if the DL can do both of those things stated above. |
I'm not scared of Philly. For starters, I think that the only reason that they beat the 49ers was because Purdy got hurt. I know that their pass rush is fierce, but they haven't tried to get to Mahomes and we know how elusive he can be. Also, Hurts threw for 121 yards in that game. I'm sorry, but 121 yards isn't going to cut it against the Chiefs. If Cheffers doesn't screw us, they Chiefs should win by double digits.
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Meanwhile the only non Hall of fame quarterbacks to win a playoff game with the Chiefs were Alex Smith and Steve Deberg. Steve beat the Raiders 10-6 in the wildcard, on a touchdown reception that wouldn’t even count with todays rules. And Alex Smith game managed us to a win against Hoyers Texans in the wildcard. |
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But if his shoulder is still bothering him as it has in his first two playoff games, it certainly levels the field for our defense significantly. I think Spags is going t test that shoulder early, which means he's probably going to have to sell out vs. the run in the first half, when he can. Probably going to have to roll the dice a couple times with some run blitzes (something he did in last season's week 4 meeting to good effect). But it's a gamble; call a run blitz at the wrong time, and PHI could score on that play. I'm going to be very interested to see how Spags calls things in the first half. |
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