Originally Posted by BWillie (Post 15224248)

Patrick Mahomes is a slightly below avg QB in terms of the Wonderlic score. Hes smarter than the avg NFL player but I think photographic memory is pushing it.

Originally Posted by BWillie (Post 15224250)

The only time you have to be a threat to run is 2nd and 2, 3rd and 2 and shit like that. Otherwise you are giving up expected yards and points. Some coach will come around soon and literally never run on 1st and 10 or 2nd and 10. There just is no reason to do it unless your QB is Sam Darnold.

Would not running EVER on 1st and 10 or 2nd and 10 lower your passing efficiency on those downs? Yes, slightly. But not enough to justify ever running instead of passing on those downs. Compare it to 3rd and 10 where every idiot in the building knows you are passing it EVERYTIME and teams are still more effective passing it on those downs than they are running it on 1st and 10. And the run on 1st and 10 even has the advantage of catching the defense off guard because they dont know if its a run or pass.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 15226012)

You can't look at those probabilities in a vacuum. The Patriots were rushing 3 and dropping 8. You can't just pass on every down against a defense like that. It's not efficient at all.

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 15226012)

You can't look at those probabilities in a vacuum. The Patriots were rushing 3 and dropping 8. You can't just pass on every down against a defense like that. It's not efficient at all.