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soundmind 03-08-2009 12:31 PM

Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies
 
I have played Fantasy Football since 1997, and feel like I have a pretty good grip on it. Having played the actual sport for over a decade, and having an unhealthy interest in the sport my whole life, I've never really worried about the draft, waivers, trades....it all makes sense to me.

However, in an attempt to fall back in love with baseball, I agreed to join a fantasy baseball league, and I'm just curious what some strategies are for the draft?

I realize like any sport, there's positional value, but having basically stopped watching since the strike, I'm fearful I'm going to end up picking 3+ players based solely on name recognition (which isn't good, cause they're probably old!)....

Any help and/or wisdom is welcomed and appreciated.

Old Dog 03-08-2009 12:33 PM

5x5 roto, head to head, or what's the scoring system?

'Hamas' Jenkins 03-08-2009 12:34 PM

Don't draft a pitcher in the first 5-6 rounds.

Tend towards players who have good home parks to play in if it's a tossup (Coors, Arlington, that shitbox in Philly).

Beware of Matt Holliday.

soundmind 03-08-2009 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by truebigdog (Post 5566041)
5x5 roto, head to head, or what's the scoring system?

It's a 12-team head to head league, with a standard scoring system - though my friend has told me he gives just a little more love to Relief Pitching than most leagues, "but nothing crazy".

Obviously the scoring system is paramount in my research.

Old Dog 03-08-2009 12:37 PM

Closers (IMO) are more important in a head to head league. Still don't want one in about the top 5 rounds, but a GOOD one can win saves for you and do a lot of good in WHIP and ERA in a given week.
In a roto, they're not as important toward WHIP and ERA

58-4ever 03-08-2009 12:37 PM

Get at least one closer that can get you points for ERA, saves, WHIP, etc...

I've had K-Rod the last few years, and he's been a gem.

soundmind 03-08-2009 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins (Post 5566042)
Don't draft a pitcher in the first 5-6 rounds.

Tend towards players who have good home parks to play in if it's a tossup (Coors, Arlington, that shitbox in Philly).

Beware of Matt Holliday.

Thus far, your ballpark comment has definitely been echoed by some others, and sounds right on.

Are there any "bad" ballparks to call home vs. the "good" ones? I would assume a "bad" park is one that's HUGE.

'Hamas' Jenkins 03-08-2009 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by soundmind (Post 5566054)
Thus far, your ballpark comment has definitely been echoed by some others, and sounds right on.

Are there any "bad" ballparks to call home vs. the "good" ones?

Petco is the worst, by far.
Safeco is pretty bad.
Dodger Stadium isn't great
Metrodome
PNC
McAfee (A's ballpark)

Hootie 03-08-2009 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by soundmind (Post 5566045)
It's a 12-team head to head league.

ok, here you go...

Stay away from drafting starting pitching...if you want to be good, you stream...plain and simple...streaming means you keep 2 or 3 open spots on your pitching rotation and every day you stream starting pitchers...you want to play match-ups as much as you can...side with home pitchers against bad offenses, etc...but you want to start 2 or 3 pitchers a day.

Then you draft 4 or 5 closers...2 great closers, 2 good ones, and maybe take a waiver at a few late closers for shitty teams...

That way...every week you'll most likely win 3 of the 5 pitching categories...wins/K's/saves...

On to offense...

I tend to sacrifice one category and draft others...I usually don't go for SB's...so I draft power guys...I'd focus my entire first 5 rounds on guys that hit a lot of homeruns and drive in a lot of runs...

I also take flyers on guys who are usually good but have down years the year before...

I haven't prepared for my fantasy drafts yet...but use ESPN's live draft lobby to practice a few...and this list is probably the best tool you can use to know when a player should be taken...

http://games.espn.go.com/flb/livedraftresults

I'm not a big fan of H2H because of the streaming factor...but if you want to win you have to do it.

I usually play roto leagues...it's much more about skill than activity...which is why a lot of people sour on FBA and FLB...and love FFL.

Hootie 03-08-2009 12:43 PM

It's imperative you draft at least 3 closers...I'd go with 4 or 5.

If you only draft 1 or 2, you might as well just draft 0.

soundmind 03-08-2009 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie (Post 5566059)
ok, here you go...

Stay away from drafting starting pitching...if you want to be good, you stream...plain and simple...streaming means you keep 2 or 3 open spots on your pitching rotation and every day you stream starting pitchers...you want to play match-ups as much as you can...side with home pitchers against bad offenses, etc...but you want to start 2 or 3 pitchers a day.

Oh craptastic, so playing a H2H league means I've started my Fantasy Baseball journey on the highly involved side....damnit.

Thanks for all the help guys, this is all being committed to my draft day notes!

soundmind 03-08-2009 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie (Post 5566059)

On to offense...

I tend to sacrifice one category and draft others...I usually don't go for SB's...so I draft power guys...I'd focus my entire first 5 rounds on guys that hit a lot of homeruns and drive in a lot of runs...

I also take flyers on guys who are usually good but have down years the year before...

Is there a reason you steer away from the speed guys? One of my mock drafts, I got complimented at the end for snagging speed - granted they were all late picks....Logic is trying to tell me that the guys who carry the biggest sticks are potentially contributing in more categories....?

Hootie 03-08-2009 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by soundmind (Post 5566277)
Oh craptastic, so playing a H2H league means I've started my Fantasy Baseball journey on the highly involved side....damnit.

Thanks for all the help guys, this is all being committed to my draft day notes!

Depends on what kind of league it is...if it's casual, streaming probably won't happen...if it is competitive, people will be staying up until midnight every night snagging the best SP on the waiver wire...

I tend to go with HR hitters because they are generally 4 tool players while guys like Tavaras in Colorado really only steals bases...and he steals an OF power spot on your roster...

I usually just forfeit SB's when I draft H2H...and ERA/WHIP...

Power guys and closers...I'd spend my first 6 picks or so on offense and then turn to closers for the next 4 rounds (unless you find a great value somewhere) and then take guys like Rich Harden later on (good SP that will fall) or starters that switched from the AL to the NL...

If you're in a casual league and you stream 10 SP games a week...you will pretty much be guaranteed the playoffs.

Denver Dave 03-08-2009 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie (Post 5566062)
It's imperative you draft at least 3 closers...I'd go with 4 or 5.

If you only draft 1 or 2, you might as well just draft 0.


Not true. With 1 or 2 safe closers, you are fine. 10-12 closer jobs in baseball will not have the same guys who start the season in those roles. There's also established closers who will go on the DL and have temp replacements for 15-20 days.

If a manager stays on of top it by following box scores, it's easy to pick up relievers who will find their way into closer roles.

When it comes to winning in fantasy baseball, having 4-5 closers is important, but a manager doesn't have to invest a lot of resources in them to get there.

soundmind 03-08-2009 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Denver Dave (Post 5566347)
Not true. With 1 or 2 safe closers, you are fine. 10-12 closer jobs in baseball will not have the same guys who start the season in those roles. There's also established closers who will go on the DL and have temp replacements for 15-20 days.

If a manager stays on of top it by following box scores, it's easy to pick up relievers who will find their way into closer roles.

When it comes to winning in fantasy baseball, having 4-5 closers is important, but a manager doesn't have to invest a lot of resources in them to get there.

So in my last draft, which may have been the best yet (position 10/12), I ended up with Lidge and Soria before taking a SP. I reached some on both I guess, but you'd just about have to dominate with that right??? Seems like you're much better off to draft at the bottom in baseball....:hmmm:

My "aces" ended up being Liriano and Dempster....again, not knowing a ton that felt WEAK - however I felt pretty bada$$ with Howard/Utley as my 1st and 2nd...

Is it wise to spread your guys out on different teams, or does that matter a lot less in fantasy baseball? Just noticed that I keep drafting a lot of Phillies.


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