Chiefs @ 12
 

Assuming the Chiefs lose the coinflip with the Seahawks.

Here's how I imagine the first 11 picks go.

1. Indianapolis Colts: QB Andrew Luck, Stanford
2. Cleveland Browns (trade up): QB Robert Griffin, Baylor
3. Minnesota Vikings: OT Matt Kalil, USC
4. St. Louis Rams (trade down): WR Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State
5. Tampa Bay Bucs: RB Trent Richardson, Alabama
6. Washington Redskins: CB Morris Claiborne, LSU
7. Jaguars: WR Alshon Jeffrey, South Carolina
8. Dolphins: DT Devin Still, Penn State
9. Panthers: CB Dre Kirkpatrick, Alabama
10. Bills: OT Jonathan Martin, Stanford
11. Seahawks: DE Quentin Coples, North Carolina
12. Chiefs:

At this point, my big board in terms of the most talented players is:

1. OG David DeCastro, Stanford
2. CB Janoris Jenkins, North Alabama
3. ILB Luke Kuechly, Boston College
4. OT Riley Reiff, Iowa
5. ILB Dont'a Hightower, Alabama
6. DE/OLB Nick Perry, USC
7. WR Michael Floyd, Notre Dame
8. DE/OLB Courtney Upshaw, Alabama
9. C Peter Konz, Wisconsin
10. CB Alonzo Dennard, Nebraska

As of now, which is waaaay too early in the game, here's the big board I have of the remaining talent.

I look over this list, and I gotta be honest. The only players that make sense are offensive line.

DeCastro, Reiff, and Konz.

I'm almost certain that, even if the Chiefs are able to trade down, their first rounder almost certainly will be offensive line.

Under these circumstances, I'd have to prefer the Chiefs go with the position with actual first round talent, and take a player you just know Pioli knows forwards and backwards, OT Riley Reiff for a position of clear need.

Of course, DeCastro is the best talent on the board, and aside from Jenkins and Kuechly, it's not even close. But the Chiefs are relatively set at guard with Lilja (who I believe Pioli is still fond of) and Asamoah. Plus, Pioli does value positional value, and he's not going to abandon that two years out of the past three. Normally right tackle isn't that valuable either, but Branden Albert is up for a new contract in 2013, and having an insurance policy in case Albert loses his mind and demands Willie Roaf money is critical.

I think this means the Chiefs draft Riley Reiff. The line for now looks pretty solid:

LT: Branden Albert, Riley Reiff
LG: Ryan Lilja, Darry Harris
C: Rodney Hudson, Darryl Harris
RG: Jon Asamoah, Darryl Harris
RT: Riley Reiff, Joe Maneri

If Carr walks, CB can be argued as our biggest priority, outside of the obvious.

At 31 (this season), Lilja is pretty long in the tooth by NFL standards.

Explain how the Bucs, with freaking LeGarette Blount in their backfield, are wasting a pick on a RB.

The Bucs HAVE to go CB.

seems accurate, more or less, at the moment

my fervent hope, in that scenario, is that we could trade down...i'm resigning myself to the fact that this could be the year we do go OL in the first...just please trade down and get some extra value...

it would be ridiculous, but could you imagine dropping down for hightower? a LB core with 4 first round picks...

Bucs will take Claiborne.

I would like Martin to slip to us at #12, but, if only the players on your available list were left, at this point I'd go with DeCastro, Hightower, or trade down.

Because they're going to hire Marty.

Blount and Richardson is like Byner/Mack all over again. :)

To me, it would be absolutely stupid for this scenario to play out.

Sorry! Busy day and I didn't have time to finish. If we let one our better players leave, and then turn around and use a 1st round pick to replace him... well that just seems to me if we are pissing away a 1st round pick. Nothing lost, yet nothing gained... we are still in exactly the same spot as an overall team, just without a 1st round pick to have a chance to make our team better.

Because Blount is a complete liability in pass protection. If he's in the game, teams tend to simply overload one side of the line and attack Freeman. They can even do this while running a run blitz because they can drop an extra man into the box. They know that by overloading, Freeman won't have time to set up a deep route, so they can both blitz the hell out of Freeman while also keying on Blount.

Blount's complete apathy in pass-pro has made him a liability as an every down back.

Somehow, Mike Holmgern does not strike me as the person who would trade up to get RGIII.

http://www.cleveland.com/pluto/blog/...record_in.html

Yeah, I don't see RG3 in Cleveland either.

Substitute Cleveland for Washington.

How about you substitute Kansas CIty!