ESPN Playoff Machine
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This will all change, but as of now, we would play the Raiders in our 1st game of playoffs.
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Baltimore is making the playoffs, their schedule is a joke. The Titans or Colts will take another wild card spot.
So the question really is if the Browns or Raiders get the 7th seed. Browns have a game up, but Raiders have the tiebreaker. |
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I think we get the first seed. I see the Steelers losing to the Ravens and Bills and maybe the Colts.
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Raiders will probably get in as the 6th seed. Their schedule is too easy.
Miami/Cle will fght for the last spot. |
With the way COVID is spreading, still no guarantees the whole season will complete?
Could be an 8 team playoffs with no byes! |
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Chiefs can beat any team in the NFL and will be back to back Champs!
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The good news is the Chiefs will likely hold any tiebreakers over the Steelers due to conference record. Chiefs remaining AFC opponents are Broncos, Dolphins, and Chargers. Hard to see them ending up with more than 1 conference loss. The Steelers still have 5 conference games left, including Ravens, Bills, Colts, and Browns. Very real possibility that they drop multiple games in that stretch. The Chiefs could lose another game (TB or NO) and still get the #1 seed.
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I believe we will have the tiebreaker if the Ravens and Chiefs both win next week. Common opponent since Pitt doesn’t play the Raiders. That assumes we both somehow end up 15-1. |
Steelers won't lose to the Bills. We need Ravens to win this week.
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Eagles in the playoffs with a 3-7-1 record... oh my.
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Guys, the Ravens are done. They may sneak into the playoffs on the back of beating the Jags and the Giants and one other team. I suppose they could beat the Steelers but I wouldn’t get your hopes up. Bills, Colts and maybe at Browns if the Browns need the game, are their best shot at losses
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Raiders schedule is a cakewalk, they should get higher than the 7 seed. I think we're going to be looking at hosting the Browns, Titans/Colts or Ravens.
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Love this. Thanks for posting.
Doesn’t The NY Times have something similar? |
Heh, the Giants win the division at 5-11 under my settings.
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The AFC is gonna have a team miss the playoffs at 10 wins even with an extra team...damn.
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The Raiders are the type of team that could easily lose to Atlanta, Indy, LAC, and/or Miami. Atlanta is a let down game, Indy and Miami have the defense, and the Chargers can out score them.
They didn’t get in with my simulator. |
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...l-predictions/ And the NY Times version is here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/..._r=0#event=bye For what it's worth, those sites have the Raiders at about a 60-65% chance of making the playoffs. Their schedule from here on out isn't exactly difficult. |
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Indy, MIA, and LAC can beat them. But that win over the Browns gives them a tie breaker there and that may be what gets them in. |
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Even IF we do see the Raiders again, it’s going to be in a very cold Kansas City environment.
We know Carr sucks nuts in those conditions. |
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I have:
1. Chiefs 2. Steelers 3. Titans 4. Bills 5. Raiders 6. Ravens 7. Browns 1. Saints 2. Packers 3. Rams 4. Cowboys 5. Seahawks 6. Buccaneers 7. Cardinals Browns & Colts both ended up 10-6, but Browns must have had the tiebreaker. Every NFC team not making the playoffs ended up with a losing record in my scenario, and the Cowboys are in with a stellar 6-10 record. |
These are always fun. I tried to go conservative and had us dropping the TB and NO games. Here's what I came up with:
1. PIT 2. KC 3. BUF 4. IND 5. TEN 6. BAL 7. LV Poor Brownies and Dolphins on the outside looking in at 10-6 and 9-7 :( 1. NO 2. GB 3. SEA 4. PHI 5. TB 6. ARI 7. LAR I have the Eagles taking the NFC East at 6-9-1, hosting the 13-3 Buccaneers in round 1 LMAO I tried to sneak in some upsets here and there but I ended up with NYJ, CIN, DET, WFT and JAX losing out. I'm positive that won't happen but it's hard to bet on any of those teams. |
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quite possible to have all 7 AFC teams with 12+ wins AND a 10 win team misses out.....crazy
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For home field I believe tiebreakers are:
Head to head Conference record Common opponents The last one is why we need Balt to win badly this coming week. |
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A division winner will always host a WC, regardless how bad a division winner is! |
I think The Ravens are gonna fold.
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Not sure why people are stressing so much over the 1 seed. There won't be a home crowd advantage, and we're likely hosting a team like the Browns/Titans/Dolphins that we would probably dispose of fairly easily.
Gives Mahomes a chance to pad his playoff win total and another rare playoff W for the franchise. |
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I don't see that ever changing. Sure there are times when division winners are going to suck but it gives every team a shot at making the playoffs too. The NFL loves that & it isn't going to change. |
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I think that was also the percentage the Chiefs had of winning the SB with 9 minutes left too
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1. Chiefs 2. Steelers 3. Titans 4. Bills 5. Raiders 6. Ravens 7. Browns 1. Saints 2. Packers 3. Rams 4. Giants 5. Seahawks 6. Buccaneers 7. Cardinals |
Who holds the tiebreaker between the Steelers and Chiefs should they have the same record at the end of the season? How is that determined?
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Two teams Head-to-head (if applicable) Best won-lost-tied percentage within conference games Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (minimum of four) strength of wins strength of schedule Best combined ranking among conference teams in both points scored and points allowed Best combined ranking among all teams in both points scored and points allowed Best net points in conference games Best net points in all games Best net touchdowns in all games Coin toss |
This loss really hurts Raiders playoff hopes. They will be two games behind Cleveland and might have to run the table if Baltimore wins the games it should on its cupcake schedule.
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What happens if we finish on the same record as steelers?
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Yep LMAO |
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Not sure why a loss to the Bengals doesn't also give it to us but according to PM it doesn't. Neither does a Pittsburgh loss to the Washington Football Team. So we win out and hope they lose one or more of the four games above. |
Regarding the single bye week
It is very nice to automatically advance to the next round It ****ing sucks with all the disruptions and interviewing that happens if your team is on the bye Seems like the interviewing process gets postponed until after the season with the exception being if the team in the playoffs is on the bye week, is that correct? |
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Just went through and did my new set of predictions...
Wild Card: Raiders (7) over Steelers (2) Titans (3) over Colts (6) Ravens (5) over Bills (4) Saints (2) over Cardinals (7) Seahawks (3) over Buccaneers (6) Rams (5) over Football Team (4) Divisional: Chiefs (1) over Raiders (7) Titans (3) over Ravens (5) Packers (1) over Rams (5) Seahawks (3) over Saints (2) Conference: Chiefs (1) over Titans (3) Packers (1) over Seahawks (3) Super Bowl: Chiefs over Packers This is all so fluid... I’ll change my mind on things next week to some extent. But this is where I’m at now. I had a really tough time picking every AFC game that the Chiefs weren’t in. |
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So if they lose 1 to WFT and we tie, they win the tiebreaker because we lost to an AFC team. If they lose to the Bills, the 2nd tiebreaker is common opponents. Since we beat the Bills and both would have one conference loss, we win the tiebreaker. If they lose to the Bengals, it gets confusing. The 3rd tiebreaker is strength of VICTORY, and since the Bengals are awful, I'm guessing a loss there would actually INCREASE the Steelers' SOV. If they lose to any other AFC team, the 4th tiebreaker is SOS. We win that one. We really want them to lose to Buffalo because that one is automatic. |
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I'd much rather have the #1 seed if that's the case. |
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I had the Raiders losing to the Colts and beating the Dolphins (both home games), but if they do lose to Miami, then they’d miss altogether probably. |
I want the Faders to finish with a losing record like they usually do.
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Head-to-head (if applicable) Best won-lost-tied percentage within conference games Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (minimum of four) strength of wins strength of schedule Best combined ranking among conference teams in both points scored and points allowed Best combined ranking among all teams in both points scored and points allowed Best net points in conference games Best net points in all games Best net touchdowns in all games Coin toss |
A Steelers loss to the WFT doesn't hurt them at all in regards to the first round bye.
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Crazy.....I have a scenario where an 11 win Colt team, a 10 win Miami team, and a 10 win Raider team all miss the playoffs in the AFC....
How crazy would that be! |
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It does if it’s one of two losses. Or if they lose there and to an afc team and we lose to the Saints. We want them to lose them all. |
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We need them to lose to Buffalo. Or it looks like maybe we win the strength of victory tiebreaker if they lose to the Bengals. |
This is what I've got. Make sure to place your bets now. You can thank me later.
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