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Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies
I have played Fantasy Football since 1997, and feel like I have a pretty good grip on it. Having played the actual sport for over a decade, and having an unhealthy interest in the sport my whole life, I've never really worried about the draft, waivers, trades....it all makes sense to me.
However, in an attempt to fall back in love with baseball, I agreed to join a fantasy baseball league, and I'm just curious what some strategies are for the draft? I realize like any sport, there's positional value, but having basically stopped watching since the strike, I'm fearful I'm going to end up picking 3+ players based solely on name recognition (which isn't good, cause they're probably old!).... Any help and/or wisdom is welcomed and appreciated. |
5x5 roto, head to head, or what's the scoring system?
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Don't draft a pitcher in the first 5-6 rounds.
Tend towards players who have good home parks to play in if it's a tossup (Coors, Arlington, that shitbox in Philly). Beware of Matt Holliday. |
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Obviously the scoring system is paramount in my research. |
Closers (IMO) are more important in a head to head league. Still don't want one in about the top 5 rounds, but a GOOD one can win saves for you and do a lot of good in WHIP and ERA in a given week.
In a roto, they're not as important toward WHIP and ERA |
Get at least one closer that can get you points for ERA, saves, WHIP, etc...
I've had K-Rod the last few years, and he's been a gem. |
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Are there any "bad" ballparks to call home vs. the "good" ones? I would assume a "bad" park is one that's HUGE. |
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Safeco is pretty bad. Dodger Stadium isn't great Metrodome PNC McAfee (A's ballpark) |
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Stay away from drafting starting pitching...if you want to be good, you stream...plain and simple...streaming means you keep 2 or 3 open spots on your pitching rotation and every day you stream starting pitchers...you want to play match-ups as much as you can...side with home pitchers against bad offenses, etc...but you want to start 2 or 3 pitchers a day. Then you draft 4 or 5 closers...2 great closers, 2 good ones, and maybe take a waiver at a few late closers for shitty teams... That way...every week you'll most likely win 3 of the 5 pitching categories...wins/K's/saves... On to offense... I tend to sacrifice one category and draft others...I usually don't go for SB's...so I draft power guys...I'd focus my entire first 5 rounds on guys that hit a lot of homeruns and drive in a lot of runs... I also take flyers on guys who are usually good but have down years the year before... I haven't prepared for my fantasy drafts yet...but use ESPN's live draft lobby to practice a few...and this list is probably the best tool you can use to know when a player should be taken... http://games.espn.go.com/flb/livedraftresults I'm not a big fan of H2H because of the streaming factor...but if you want to win you have to do it. I usually play roto leagues...it's much more about skill than activity...which is why a lot of people sour on FBA and FLB...and love FFL. |
It's imperative you draft at least 3 closers...I'd go with 4 or 5.
If you only draft 1 or 2, you might as well just draft 0. |
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Thanks for all the help guys, this is all being committed to my draft day notes! |
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I tend to go with HR hitters because they are generally 4 tool players while guys like Tavaras in Colorado really only steals bases...and he steals an OF power spot on your roster... I usually just forfeit SB's when I draft H2H...and ERA/WHIP... Power guys and closers...I'd spend my first 6 picks or so on offense and then turn to closers for the next 4 rounds (unless you find a great value somewhere) and then take guys like Rich Harden later on (good SP that will fall) or starters that switched from the AL to the NL... If you're in a casual league and you stream 10 SP games a week...you will pretty much be guaranteed the playoffs. |
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Not true. With 1 or 2 safe closers, you are fine. 10-12 closer jobs in baseball will not have the same guys who start the season in those roles. There's also established closers who will go on the DL and have temp replacements for 15-20 days. If a manager stays on of top it by following box scores, it's easy to pick up relievers who will find their way into closer roles. When it comes to winning in fantasy baseball, having 4-5 closers is important, but a manager doesn't have to invest a lot of resources in them to get there. |
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My "aces" ended up being Liriano and Dempster....again, not knowing a ton that felt WEAK - however I felt pretty bada$$ with Howard/Utley as my 1st and 2nd... Is it wise to spread your guys out on different teams, or does that matter a lot less in fantasy baseball? Just noticed that I keep drafting a lot of Phillies. |
As a new fantasy baseball player, I'd advise you NOT to be a streamer. It's a b.s. tactic, and most of the leagues I play in now take measures to prevent teams from doing it.
If you do plan to stream, however, check to make sure your league doesn't have a limit of the maximum number of moves you can make. There was a guy new to our league last year who burned through 30 of his 75 moves in the first month before he realized there was a limit... it was quite hilarious. Anyway, I think it's a dubious tactic, at best. And you can counteract it by loading up on RPs. If you have enough saves coming in to dominate that category and do a nice job of adding stud setup men (Scott Linebrink in the past is a good example) who generally have low ERAs and WHIPS, you can dominate Saves, ERA and WHIP just as much as a streamer will dominate Ws and Ks. The nice thing is that good setup men are almost always available following the draft, and they pop up during the season, too. In H2H, i usually go heavy on hitters early and make sure I come out of the draft with at least 4 closers (and maybe a guy or two who could take over as a closer). For starting pitchers, if SP isn't a required position, I will completely ignore them. It basically means you sacrifice Ks and Ws every week, but if you do a good job with your relief corps, you are going to win pitching 3-2 most weeks, and you should have a strong lineup because you're drafting hitters throughout the early rounds (when other teams are starting to add top-notch starters). |
That's why I like the league I play in.
H2H The mass stats for pitching are Ws, Ls, Saves Other pitching stats are K/9, Whip, and ERA So if you stream, you're most likely going to get your shit pushed in in K/9 and losses, and because you are using lower quality pitchers, one or two bad starts will cause a spike in WHIP and/or ERA. Plus, there is a 25 IP minimum. Streaming is the fantasy equivalent of cheezing in Madden. |
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Some managers like to draft an abundance of bottom barrell closers in the teens. It's a great strategy, but the downside to that is you could use a pick on a guy in round 20 who keeps the closer job for two weeks (Mark Lowe-SEA), while your competition plucks Tommy Hanson who goes on to win the NL ROY. My point in my original post was you don't have to get 4-5 closers in your initial draft. As the season progresses, it's easy to accumulate closers if you stay on top of baseball news. It's good to get as many closers as you can, but having the best position players and starting pitchers wins championships. Don't let good starting pitchers/position players drop just to pick up a closer. Quote:
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I've played Fantasy Baseball for over a decade...I prefer Roto but streaming isn't cheezing, it's strategy. I've been in west coast leagues where I couldn't stay up until 2 or 3 AM every morning so I'd stream two days in advance... I only play in leagues that are competitive...so yeah, maybe it's cheezing in a public yahoo league...but a pay league...if you sign up for H2H and there is no limit for transactions, you're throwing your money away if you don't stream. As for the guy earlier who said something about dominating ERA/WHIP/Saves...the point of streaming is to load up on enough closers to ensure that you'll win the Saves category 90% of the time... Anyways...I'd strongly suggest any casual or first time player to play in Roto leagues...H2H is a lot of work... |
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Any reerun can pick up guys every day based on matchups. That's not strategy, that's the epitome of being a ****ing cheeseball.
That's why you join a league with move limits. |
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I had my first draft tonight, this is a 10 man league
C: Ryan Doumit 1B: Carlos Pena. Garrett Atkins, Prince Fielder, Hank Blalock 2B: Ian Kinsler, Howie Kendrick 3B: Garrett Atkins, Hank Blalock, Adrian Beltre SS: Ryan Theriot OF: Alfonso Soriano, Nick Markakis, Torii Hunter, Jayson Werth, Coco Crisp SP: Jake Peavy, Scott Kazmir, Derek Lowe, Gavin Floyd, Chris Volstad Closers: Carlos Marmol, Kerry Wood, Bobby Jenks, Mike Gonzalez |
I play the pitching route, I sort of scheme but I then again I don't. I dont sit there and stalk pitchers on the wavier wire but I load up on pitching. Its amazing the reeruns that you can steal a home run hitter in a trade for starting pitching from and you can replace that with wavier wire/rookie/hot hand guys. I normally keep to the miniuim on batters, for the most part I look for guys who are durable and play every day. Fantasy baseball is a lot of fun but it takes a ton of work. Good luck its a great way to stay involved with the game, you will be watching SportsCenter and Baseball Tonight alot more closely.
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The key to winning fantasy baseball from an offensive standpoint is not to win any category. It's to be good enough that you're 7 out of 10 on almost every dimension and that no dimension makes you fall less than 5. Too many people are focuses on being 10 of 10 on only a few key categories and that's the wrong approach. My second word of advice? Never give up. Never. I promise you that about half or your league will stop paying attention by midseason--almost every year I place in the top 3 because I am a vulture in midseason when there are a ton more quality players on the waiver wire because nobody else paid any attention. Pay close attention to saves. And don't be afraid to reach. This is a category that is extremely difficult to upgrade after the draft, so make absolutely sure that you have 2 stud closers on your roster. If you don't have 2 studs, you need to carry 3 good ones on your roster. Again, no reason to sacrifice one category. And in almost every draft I've been in, there's a huge run on closers in one of the rounds. Don't miss out on the wave, or else you'll be picking from the scrap pile. |
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Every year 5-15 guys no one have ever heard of end up having the best seasons...I.E. Edinson Volquez. If I'm drafting H2H, I'm spending my first 5-7 picks on offense, my next 3-5 on closers are guys who have fallen too far, and then I cherry pick the end of the draft for guys like Rich Harden who could be the #1 pitcher in the game but everyone stays away from because of injury history...or established guys that had a rough prior season...or guys that make the switch from the AL to NL... I'd make some suggestions but I haven't prepared for my drafts yet... Either way, you'll never see Grady Sizemore on my team...I think he has bust written all over him this year. and Albert Pujols should be the #1 pick, not Hanley Ramirez. That dude can say whatever he wants about SB's in H2H, it's definitely the one offensive category worth sacrificing. |
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The best thing is just to have an active commish who will lock douchebags who pull off that horseshit strategy. |
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I was one of them. Seems like the only people who call it horseshit strategy are the ones who can't pull it off... Streaming is part of H2H...H2H with capped transactions is Roto, plain and simple. Roto is geared towards a great, balanced draft with educated waiver wire moves...capping H2H is rotoissifying H2H...so my advice to you is...stop bitching about streaming in H2H and start playing Roto... Or get into a league that doesn't allow ANY waiver wire moves...those are fun leagues. I would LOVE to play in a fantasy baseball league, ANY scoring system, against you so I could whip the living shit out of you...fantasy baseball is the one fantasy sport that is geared more towards skill and knowledge rather than luck (FFL). |
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I have consistently crushed a few guys in a H2H league (with no move limits) that I play in by loading up on relievers myself. The streamers tend to go with more "value" closers than true studs like Nathan, I guess since they figure they're punting ERA and WHIP anyway, so I am still able to dominate them in saves (having 2-3 setup guys on your roster usually nets you a vulture save or two a week, too) I've won the pitching categories 3-2 in the playoffs against oweners who stream each of the past two seasons (and won those categories at an 80 percent clip during the season). The strategy is an effective counter in invididual matchups and over the course of the season. And I don't think imparting roster limits is "rotofying" H2H. It is increasing the difficulty of the league and the importance of making good moves each time. |
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It sounds like "streaming" is basically the same as jockeying your D/ST on a weekly basis, based on matchups - which I have no problem with. But I think baseball is different, it's a 162-game every single fuck*ing day environment.....streaming in that arena, to me, is just a ridiculous amount of work...some of us need something outside fantasy sports in our lives....and it makes a good portion of the draft completely worthless. I'm inexperienced, but I'd certainly vote against it. |
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If you want to end streaming, then have a max amount of transactions per week. Until then though, no one really has room to bitch. Also, it's not like streaming is some huge advantage. I tried to stream last year in my championship and still lost. It's not arbitrage; it's a strategy, plain and simple. |
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Speaking of fantasy baseball is naptown starting another chiefsplanet league this year with Yahoo?
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Also, who are the sleepers/rookies this year we should look out for? Any links to that type of info?
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Unless there is an enormous difference, I try to steer clear of 0 steal guys as much as possible. I think the easiest way to compete in SBs is to load up on 15 SB guys like Braun or Wright or Berkman. I don't agree with sacrificing a category. SBs is the easiest way to steal a category without even trying. Even if you don't have a Pierre or Tavarez (and you should NEVER go with guys like this), you can still end up ranked in the top 3 or 4 in SBs if almost every guy on your roster is capable of about 15 steals. And that's not hard to do at all and it would not come at a sacrifice to HRs, RBIs, or AVG. |
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****ing please. It takes far more skill to draft a team than it does to sit there like a ****ing loser every night grabbing the weekend starters. |
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http://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthrea...rt#post4299292 |
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I'm not talking about streaming in a yahoo public league when you're the only guy who knows what the **** you're doing. |
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****, I played in a 14 team H2H $ league the last two years that was 7x7, and you don't see me bashing other guy's leagues because of it. What a pathetic douchebag you are. |
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My offer still stands...I'm even better on the PC now that I can use my XBOX 360 controller... No one beats this guy on Madden for the XBOX ORIGINAL...it's impossible. Back when Madden actually had GOOD gameplay...it's a shame the only video game I play now is Halo 3...and yes, I'll sell you a 50, I have 6 ;) |
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Invite me to a league, any type of scoring, and we'll see who comes out on top. |
and besides, I'll always cling to my #2 Tiger Woods 2005 ranking in the nation as one of my most prized accomplishments! I had 20+ more hole in 1's than anyone else on Live.
My EA sporting abilities are outstanding. |
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You also don't have to "stream" to win. If you draft a balanced team, streaming is unnecessary unless you are just trying to scrounge a few categories on Sunday. |
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In a standard 5X5 H2H league...I generally draft offense for the first 6-8 rounds...then focus on closers or VALUE picks the next 3-4 rounds after that...and then back to offense for the rest of the draft until a few late round relievers (that could be the 2009 version of Soria last year) and established pitchers that had a rocky 2008 that may rebound in 2009...and then I focus on grabbing the one or two Edinson Volquez's that emerge as great starters no one had ever heard of. That's why it's strategy. Streaming in H2H allows you to ignore pitching on draft day and still win the pitching categories every week. If you don't stream in H2H, you have to draft pitchers high, and then you can't focus on offense...so it means ONE mistake could be the end of your season. |
People were drafting Jake Peavy like 8th overall last year. He had a great year. But instead of drafting Jake Peavy, you could watch a few games in April and notice some of the studs like Volquez and get Peavy value from a starter that isn't even drafted.
And that's why streaming is so important. You can stack your offense and still dominate pitching every week...and if you're in a league where no one else is streaming, a lot of the times you can pick great matchups and win ERA/WHIP, too...especially since a lot of reliever heavy teams can have horrible weeks in both categories if one of their closers implodes a few times...since they won't have a lot of innings to offset a 1 IP 6 ER type of inning. |
:duncan_idaho runs from thread in sheer terror of internet tough guy Hootie. He's the best at fantasy sports! He's the best at Madden! He was No. 2 in the world at Tiger Woods golf like five years ago!:
Seriously, man. If 8 of 10 guys in a league are streaming, what's the point? That really is a matter of "who can push the button the fastest." Streaming is b.s. any way you cut it because it severely diminishes the importance of the draft. A fantasy league in which an owner has to draft well, make smart waiver and FA adds, and pull off some trades to win it is something most people would call a "fun" league. A fantasy league where an owner has to beat someone to the button by 30 seconds every other day so he can two starts out of Mike Pelfrey this week is something most people would call stupid. |
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Streaming is a big part of H2H...sorry if you guys can't acknowledge that. |
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Just because someone likes a weekly scoring format, to make things a little more interesting than a year-long race, doesn't mean that person only wants to play roto. There's a difference between "messing up on draft day" and covering it with a few shrewd pickups or a good trade and what you've been portraying. The streaming strategy you've described is not "messing up on draft day." It is a purposeful strategy. I would be interested to see what a 10-team draft with 8 teams that were going to stream would look. Doesn't that kind of blow the whole "draft nothing but offense early" strategy? Since other guys are still grabbing hitters when normally they'd be looking at starting pitchers? I used to work at a mag that produced heavy fantasy content, and the entire fantasy staff (like 8-10 people) HATED streaming. In the leagues they ran (and thoser are pretty intense, don't you think?), nobody streamed players. The lone exception? That freaking tool Matthew Berry. |
Yeah Berry is an ESPN guy and in ESPN pay leagues, you stream.
I'm sure Matthew Berry probably won that league, or at least made the playoffs, too. If he was the only one streaming, that means he was winning more than he lost. |
Yeah Berry is an ESPN guy and in ESPN pay leagues, you stream.
I'm sure Matthew Berry probably won that league, or at least made the playoffs, too. If he was the only one streaming, that means he was winning more than he lost. |
I am sure Berry won those leagues if he is abiding by his infinite wisdom like he spouts in the football season. I watched him on Sunday countdown on multiple occasions break the news that Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne were "good starts" this week. F***ing great insight from that clown. Next thing you know he will be telling me I should target Pujols, Hanley, D. Wright and Santana.:clap:
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Things that everyone(Hootie) who is touting about streaming players seems to be forgetting is the likelihood of negative points for bad outings and losses. We have a guy in one of my leagues that had over 300 transactions last year. Chasing the two start pitchers every week. It is a double edged sword, they sure can help you, but the opposite is also true. I personally prefer H2H point leagues over the roto format. Just me though.
If you don't get penalized for bad starts by SP, then I guess there is minimal downside to chasing the two starters. |
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He failed to place in the money in any of the three years I was working there/around the fantasy guys. Best finish was sixth, as I recall (and this was a no-moves-limit league). It was quite the running joke that Berry couldn't win cash even when he was cheating. Him getting hired at ESPN was funny; he was by far the least talented fantasy writer, and his performance against the other SN experts was lackluster at best no matter the sport. Shows that a good nickname is more important than substance sometimes, I guess. |
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I tried listening to one of that asshat's podcasts. I made it to about 3 minutes, then he started talking about his inability to pick up chicks and I was ****ing done. |
hamas, Berry was by far the biggest dumbass at SN, and it really wasn't close. Wish I could have posted some of his unedited work on here. Horrible. Absolutely horrible.
I still don't understand how that guy gets hired at ESPN with so many better options out there... |
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lol.
Whatever guys...I could have seen from a mile away the pile on Berry after he was brought up...if you work for ESPN you are incompetent according to this site... I guarantee you that...if Berry was in an H2H league and he was the only one streaming and there were no game limits...he finished higher than 6th... |
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And I don't care what you think. He didn't finish higher than sixth. He made the playoffs one of three years and lost in the first round. That is a fact. Part of that probably had something to do with the other owners in a 14-team league all devoting almost all of their bench spots to reserve SPs (another strategy for dealing with streamers) I have seen guys lose with streaming more often than not. Of all the leagues I've played in, I've seen one guy win with it twice (in a league where no one paid attention). It's not the magic bullet you're making it out to be. |
Keep being a fanboy, Hootie.
We should get a Chiefsplanet league with me, Hootie, Hamas, Duncan and anyone else from this thread. Put your money where your mouth is Hootie. |
http://games.espn.go.com/flb/leagueo...eagueId=131593
Send me your email and I'll send invites. It's standard 5X5 H2H with a 50 transaction cap so people won't bitch. We can either start a thread and have the draft offline and I'll enter everything manually or try to find a time where everyone would be available for a live draft. I hate doing live drafts with half of the owners on auto-pilot, though. An active draft is part of the fun. |
I am in for another yahoo league or whatever, i know the past 3 years or so ive been in a chiefsplanet league with badguy, tk, naptown and whoever else
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I want to have a live draft, and a money pot.
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and I'm pretty open, but in order to have a live draft I'd really prefer if at least 8 members would be able to make it... Right now I'd really only be willing to dish out $25 or so...money is a little tight for me. |
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always draft as many catchers, royals, and colorado pitchers as early as you can
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I have to have email addresses to send invites...so anyone who wants in needs to PM me their email address.
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I sent Naptown a PM the other day about that league but haven't heard back from him. Is someone else setting it up? Have you heard anything? |
I sent an invite to RJ.
Waiting for email addresses from The Bad Guy, Hamas, Duncan, Sure Oz, Tk13, and anyone else looking for a competitive league. We can hammer out all of the details once the league is filled. |
We could make it a 30 dollar league, winner take all.
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Anywhere from zero to fifty would be acceptable to me.
The Yahoo league Oz mentioned had no money involved but it always stayed active, even the bottom dwellers stuck around. Maybe a Planet Pride thing. Are there any fees owed to ESPN? |
I despite ESPN. Would much rather play a Yahoo league, but if the consensus is ESPN, that's fine.
Not sure about putting money in it, either. I hate PayPal passionately, and it probably isn't safe to send the case to one guy. But whatever. [email protected] |
There are no fees with ESPN anymore...
I don't understand why you despise ESPN more than Yahoo? I think Yahoo is about the worst fantasy provider out there...I suppose that's just my opinion, though. Have you tried ESPN since it went free? It least with ESPN if someone has to miss the draft and doesn't set their list, they won't give them shitty players...ESPN has some good pre-set rankings...unlike Yahoo who has the worst rankings I've ever seen. If you miss a Yahoo draft, you're ****ed. |
I sent you an invite...Duncan.
The Bad Guy addressed some idea changes for the league...when it is full we'll all figure out the exact settings then. |
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I have had nightmarish experiences with ESPN, starting with the fantasy keeper league I started in 2006. we played the league without a comissioner in its third and final year because ESPN couldn't figure out how to fix it after converting it to their new system. I just prefer Yahoo!s system - especially for adds and drops. And Yahoo!s writers are a lot better than ESPN's crew (though I think Karabell is solid). I'll probably join it sometime tomorrow. About to check out of the office and busy for the night... |
Duncan,
You can trust me with the cash and to payout winners. I've been on this board 8 years and am not going anywhere. That's why you keep the pot at 30 dollars. If you don't, by July, people aren't going to give a shit about it if it's free. |
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