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At the Quarter Mark: Better or Worse?
After the Haley hire, you couldn't throw a stick through this place without hitting someone that made the following comment:
"We'll be a better team based on coaching alone," or, "we'll win X amount of games due to coaching alone." Yes, it's only been 4 games, and this is NOT a call for Haley's head - but is deserved criticism of the way he's prepared this team over the first 4 games of the regular season. Also, IN NO WAY is the following an endorsement of Herman Edwards. What it is, however, is a giant red flag - this team - of which 60% has been handpicked by Pioli and Haley - is actually worse in almost all statistical categories when compared to the 2008 team after 4 games - which many here claimed were the darkest days of last season. We'll call it, B.S. - or, Before Spread. Offensively (bolded number is 2009 totals): 1st downs: (63) (62) 3rd down conversions: (25/62 - 40%) (9/51 - 18%) Total yards: (1145) (986) Rushing yards: (554) (406) Passing yards: (591) (580) Sacks Allowed: (12) (13) Penalties/Yardage: (10/109) 29/230 Scoring: (16.25 PPG) (16 PPG) Not a single category in which we've improved over 2008, which happened to include going through 3 QB's - playing the 3rd stringer in 2 of the 4. Defensively: 1st downs allowed: (74) (85) 3rd down conversions against: (25/54 - 46%) (25/58 - 43%) Total yards allowed: (1517) (1516) Rushing yards allowed: (706) (514) Passing yards allowed: (811) (1002) Sacks: (3) (5) Points allowed: (24.25 PPG) (28 PPG) Turnover margin: (+2) (Even) Yea! 2 more sacks! And nice to see the 192 yard improvement from the rush defense, only to see 191 of it be given back up by the pass defense. The 2008 team was apparently so bad that management felt the need to purge 30 players, yet is playing worse with a roster that is 60% their handpicked players? What message are you trying to send, Todd? It seems like it changes on a weekly ****ing basis. As someone who predicted a 3 win season, the losses aren't surprising me. The way we are losing, after hearing the phrase, "we're going to be a big, strong, fast, smart, tough, disciplined football team" IS surprising me. There is no improvement over the "Dark Ages" of last season in ANY of those areas. And there's no excuse for it, especially the lack of discipline. Make 'em run some more, Todd - it seems to be working... Enough excuses - enough with the "messages" - enough petty bullshit sitting players - time to see some ****ing improvement. Not necessarily wins. IMPROVEMENT. |
Can't argue with this. This team needs to get better in all three phases.
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Those Evelyn Wood Speed Reading classes are really paying off, Mic. |
At least we have a franchise QB.
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The Chiefs are worse. I didn't think I'd ever say that after the first four games of 2008, but they are worse. Plus, they have no identity yet.
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well hey we might beat Cleveland later this season.... maybe......
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The penalties are really damning evidence.
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The players are trying too hard to not make mistakes, like a driver that is too cautious causing wrecks
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Yet Haley the Disciplinarian's team has committed 19 more penalties for 119 yards after 4 games. That running and screaming is really paying off. |
We're appreciably worse but that's to be expected when you're installing new offensive and defensive systems and dumping talent like Tony Gonzalez.
By the way, we are a better team than we were at the beginning of last year when we tried to run the pro set to futility. And I believe we will be a better team by the end of the year than we were at the end of 2008. We took two steps backwards to get pointed in the right direction. It will pay off. |
if there isn't an uncapped year I hope Clark will spend some money on some good,young free agents.. It would be nice for a change
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Did you actually look at the numbers? And how the **** did we take 2 steps backwards, when all I heard last year is how it can't get any worse? |
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I knew we were gonna be pretty bad but this team so far hasn't come together like I had hoped.Right now I would have to vote for worse,but being this bad has to mean being good is next...I hope....
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Switch out last years Denver game for this years Giants game and those numbers may even out some. But yeah, we are worse no question.
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Oh, and OTW, I'm going to be shocked if you didn't just write Whitlock's next column.
Congrats. LMAO. |
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Run 10 of 11 plays when down 3 scores, throw 5 of 6 plays inside the 2 ****ing yard line. |
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That onside kick to open the second half was ****ing reeruned.
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It would be interesting to see these numbers during Haley's 3rd year when he has been at the helm.
All these numbers tell me is that Haley has put up near identical numbers with an overhauled team in his first year compared to Herms team which had been 3 years in the making... |
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I am not calling for Haley's head.... but this has been pathetic. |
Good analysis OTW. Third Down futility had a lot to with replacing Gonzo with shit on a ****ing shingle.
I was telling someone yesterday, that I had no idea why Pioli and Haley didn't go get some different starters. Posted via Mobile Device |
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Nothing nearly that bad has happened this year. Philly came close. And that Oakland game last year was a disaster. This year it was just...disappointing. |
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I think some allowance has to be made for a new scheme on both sides of the ball, a late offensive playbook change, and quality of opponents faced. That being said, the team has been disappointing so far, even given very low expectations. The 3rd down efficiency and penalties are the most discouraging stats, IMHO - nearly impossible to win with those numbers.
I think the second half of the season will be the most telling. 8 weeks to get at least somewhat comfortable with the new schemes, and a much more reasonable schedule should give a much better idea of where this team is heading for the future. |
9 of 51 on third down is ****ing horrible. how in the blue **** can you call yourself an offensive coach when you can't fall ass first into 25% of your third down conversions.
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I sat here and watched dozens of forum members suck off Pioli and Haley, all the while pointing fingers at Josh McDaniels and the Denver Broncos. Denver is 4-0, has seven new starters on defense and has given up a league low of 6.5 points per game on defense. The Chiefs are 0-4, look like a freakin' disaster both offensively and defensively. Their defense has given up 28 points per game and is ranked 30th, just ahead of Cleveland and Detroit. I don't know what the **** is going on at One Arrowhead Drive but if I'm Clark Hunt, I'm there first thing this morning demanding some answers. Of course, I'm not Clark Hunt. He's in Dallas, counting his money. |
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MOST excellent. :thumb: |
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NTTATWWT |
Last season:
Patriots lost Brady in the first game and had Cassel come in cold. That was followed by the Raiders, Falcons and Broncos. This season: Chiefs started their season against the Ravens. That was followed by the Raiders, Eagles and Giants. In other words, the schedule broke much easier last season than it has so far this season. The Chiefs don't have Gonzalez and Bowe's been hurt. Despite that, the scoring is just about the same, at 65 points last season to 64 this season. The defense had surrendered 97 points through 4 games last season, and has surrendered 112 through 4 games this season. Unless people expect the Chiefs to be shut out by the Cowboys this week, this season's offense will surpass last season's offense in points scored, and everyone knew that the defense would have problems due to the switch from the 4-3 to the 3-4, the tougher schedule, and the lack of talent. Also, for all the complaining people did about the team daring to lose against the Raiders, it lost to Oakland in K.C. last season, too. |
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Helluva thread OTWP. Pretty telling stats there..
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Get over it
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The Lions have a better 3rd down defense and more sacks than KC. Gunther laughs.
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Lets also not forget the strength of schedule this year vs last year. And you also have to take into consideration that Herm was on the DECLINE with his team. They were getting progressivly worse each year. I wonder how Herm's team would look out there this season. |
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The only thing I can think of is that Dumerville provides enough of a passrush to mask some of their holes (I recognize they played Cleveland, which helps them out). Offensively, I thought they would be average. A good OL and WR corps with a non-reeruned QB will get you average. I'm surprised as hell about their D though. I just don't ****ing get it. Posted via Mobile Device |
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I have come to the conclusion though by listening to Haley's comments yesterday and observing Pioli and Clark Hunt chatting it up and laughing and joking yesterday for about 30 minutes that there is little or no pressure to win this season. Haley's comments reinforce that when it says they are still evaluating players that this year is more like extended pre-season. |
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Sorry but Haley has been the worst coach I have ever seen-if he is next year I would be surprised.
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But Denver's moves have been head and shoulders above the Chiefs and that alone sickens me beyond belief. I truly and honestly believe that it begins and ends with ownership. I can tell you one thing's for sure: If I'm Clark Hunt and my head coach says "I'm going to hire Clancy Pendergast as my DC", I say "The ****ing bloody hell your are! Find someone else!" |
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I'd argue both coaches came in with little to work with. Not that I'm a fan of Haley. In fact I'd spank to the news he was canned... |
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They're becoming a damn good football team. |
OTW - Great Analysis...
That being said, has it been taken into account that we played vs 1 playoff team last year, and this year we have played 3 in the first quarter, and 2 on the road.... So i feel that even though we might be the same or worse as last year AT THIS POINT AND TIME i feel that after 4 Games we are better.... Statistically, I want to go down on the record stating that games 5-8 will be MUCH better than 2008. OTW - again good analysis on your part... not taking anyway way from you on this... just wanted to state the schedule difference... |
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Bullshit. Haley preached on and on about how in shape this team was/would be. And you can look at any number of teams that had $3itty offenses and great (not just good, but GREAT) defenses. The Bucs, Bears, Steelers, Ravens, 90's Chiefs most of the time, Dolphins, etc. Their offenses wouldn't show up entire games and yet the D would make plays to WIN games at the end... |
One thing to keep in mind about Pioli and that was in 2000 the Pats were 5-11 and for a portion of the season didn't even have a full 53 man roster because Pioli\Belichick didn't like anybody that they could bring in or who they had on their practice squad.
Then the following year they started out 0-2 and everybody was thinking Belichick was going to be fired. The rest is history. Now I am not saying that is going to happen here but the first year is basically a bloodletting. |
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Not too much time on the field. |
I'm enjoying this year a lot more than last, at least we have pretended to be competitive. Maybe we should look at this after next week, 'cause last year week 5 was the 34-0 slaughter at the hands of the Panthers. Of course this years having 1/3 of our first downs taken away by penalties hasn't helped (yes, I pulled the 1/3 out of my ass).
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I'm with you on some of the moves they made, but some of them should have been crippling. Cutler, trading this year's first and a second for a short CB, doing very little to help their D...on paper this should be an average offensive team and a shitbox defensive team. Posted via Mobile Device |
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Dawkins Hill Goodman Davis McBean Fields That's 6 of 11 defensive starters that weren't on the team last season, and that's before you start looking at position changes, sub-package players, or backups. Playing Cleveland and Oakland doesn't hurt, either. |
Fire em all/Sanchez....thread.
PS: Rome wasn't built in a day because those mother ****ers were lazy. |
We are getting worse at a slower rate than we were before. Therefore, we are near the bottom and will be improving soon.
Seriously, the roster was so bad that I'm giving Pioli/Haley 2 full years of free ride. I also don't think they got the benefit of a full off season because of the lateness in which the staff was assembled (I blame Clark and his insistence to evaluate Herm Edwards for that). I won't try to determine if we are on the right track until regular season of 2011. My major gripe so far is Cassel over Sanchez. |
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Offense: #5 overall in points averaging 20 points per game (320 total) #5 overall in yards per game (354 per game) Defense: #23 overall in points at 21.5 (344 total allowed) #23 overall in yards at 331 per game |
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Those first two years under Brady the Pats scraped and clawed their way to victory. No huge blowouts or anything. Brady and co. just always found a way at the end... |
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I remember a lot of sacks, INT's, and Holmes didn't even really come on until about week 4 or so... |
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2000 Final OL
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http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorysta...true&Submit=Go |
They've played three teams that may contend for this year's superbowl, two of them on the road. That's not the September 2008 versions of New England, Oakland, Atlanta and Denver. Yeah, I'm shocked that they don't look worlds better.
As far as the 2001 comparison goes, that team was 1-3 at this point and had only shown the flashes of the offense to come in later years against the Redskins. Priest Holmes would have less than 250 yards rushing in four games, with 150 of that coming against Washington a week ago. And yesterday's game would have been highlighted by TrINT Green, as we knew him then, tossing four picks to Deltha O'Neal. Ahh, the good ol' days. |
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I'm just saying that Brady's first year that was no super front 5 he played behind but his play did chance the whole dynamic... |
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That team started 1-6 and finished 6-10. They didn't know how to use Priest until the Redskins game. If you want to get into serious stats like those that OTWP broke out, here's a link: http://www.databasefootball.com/team...lg=NFL&yr=2001 |
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I think with the (limited) talent this team has we should run the ball (and no, not 5 draw/shotgun handoff plays in a row) and use playaction. Our WR's are sub-par, our o line is teh sukh, and our QB is new to everything here. Instead we're running a spread/pistol-similar offense 1/2 the time... |
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3-13 (75) - Eric Downing, Syracuse, DT 3-15 (77) - Marvin Minnis, Florida State, WR 4-12 (107) - Monty Beisel, Kansas State, DE 4-13 (108) - George Layne, Texas Christian, RB 5-10 (141) - Billy Baber, Virginia, TE 5-19 (150) - Derrick Blaylock, Stephen F. Austin, RB 6-13 (176) - Alex Sulfsted, Miami (OH), G 7-12 (212) - Shaunard Harts, Boise State, DB 7-43 (243) - Terdell Sands, Chattanooga, DT The ONLY guy still in the league, including Vermeil and Green. is Terdell Sands. That is just downright pathetic. |
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This line sucks ass and The Spread at least gives Cassel a chance to complete passes. |
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Didn't work, didn't help, but he was trying. I don't like the predictable ruts he gets into with his playcalling. For an hour the guy will decide to find every way possible to run out of the shotgun with LJ. Why? LJ prefers a FB, multiple carries, and has a $#it O line to work with. If this pistol/spread/shotgun offense is what Haley wants trade LJ, move Charles in there, and quit being stubborn about fitting square pegs in round holes... |
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The playcalling looks like Gunther's insane press conferences sounded... |
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I could be wrong. Quote:
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