Inflation Watch Thread - Holy Guacamole
 

I guess some of that liquidity is hitting the system now. Just went grocery shopping and stopped at the Fish Market. After that I went to Target to pick up a foam roller. $3 avocado, really? $43 a pound for King Crab up $5lb. in just the last week. $30.76 a pound for Halibut. Target had a foam roller for $26.95 plus tax for a piece of friggen foam. Hello Amazon. Went to SF the other day and got two martini’s. The damage, $30 plus tax and tip and some other fee they hitting customers up for these days to pay for their employees health care, all for a couple splashes of vodka. The black market is really going to start flourishing. I already source and buy all of my food directly in Southern Oregon and bring it back down with me. It’s all cash only, even the butcher. I would like to have those kinds of contacts here but it is a lot harder. Southern Oregon is a unique place. So what’s it like where you live and where are you seeing inflation and how are you dealing with it? Unfortunately I think this is just the very beginning especially when it comes to quality food.

My rudementary understanding is that the cost of oil and now the drought is driving up food prices, not inflation.

Eh, I don't like avocados...

CP has gone completely insane.

Oh you can bet things are going to get much worse when the full effects of this drought are felt.

Will this affect the east coast?

:eek:

beef?

....better enjoy it while you can still afford it.

ROFL Will it? Serious question...

oH i AM, I ate a fat ass Ribeye for breakfast today, then had to go eat a shitty Taco Salad with the wifes vegetarian family at lunch....

Do you feel the east coast is in some kind of a secular universe, immune from price increases?

I am sure but fish has been going way up and that doesn't have anything to do with the drought. The martini's and foam roller either. I know the cost of doing business out here is expensive but that is just ridiculous.

It will especially affect the east coast. You all have that much more shipping to pay. Shipping takes gas, gas takes oil, oil prices are going nuts. You do the math.

Fuel prices....

hey, sacrifices have to be made to maintain marital harmony.

There is a lot of truth the that. Right now a lot of ranchers are selling off because there is limited natural feed due to drought conditions. After that cattle supply goes through the market, the price will sky rocket down the road. I'm going to run out within the next two weeks and buy a half a beef, I'm due.

They are good people, they never say a word on my food .... Best in laws ever... They never bother me at all

I am getting a side of beef and pork and pack the freezer. I love Southern Oregon. Super high quality black market meats at great prices.

Yep, that has a lot to do with it.

I know that 20 oz bone in Ribeye at Longhorn is now an 18 oz Bone in for the same price...

How far down the road before the drought hits meat prices at the supermarket?

The price of Beef should be going down. The stockyards are full of cattle. People are selling off because they don't have hay and will not be able to afford grain and trying to purchase hay from the parts of the country that is not droughts stricken. Chicken is another meat that is climbing quickly.

I cooked up a nice boneless ribeye tonight. Delicious. Serve with some asparagus cooked in butter.

Interest rates need to go up in this country for a recovery to happen.....
3% for a house but 30% for a credit card rate is a major part of that....


Weird thing is that when America quits buying something the prices are suppose to go down but food prices are skyrocketing.

3 mins seared on each side


Damn fine eating

Fired up the smoker today. Slow cooked a huge pork loin, a pork butt, about 10-12 chicken breasts and some hot dogs. Turned out really well.

inflation = a phenomenon
oil, drought - possible causes

Your statement is like saying 'my rudimentary understanding is that Matt Cassel and defensive miscues kept us out of the playoffs, not our win/loss record.'

There's some property literally one house down from me. I think you would make a fine neighbor.

Inflation is happening all over the supermarket and has been for a year or two.

Priced ground coffee lately? It's outrageous.

Chicken is the one thing I can't get cheap directly if I want organic free range chickens. I think I paid about $3.75 a pound last year.

Yep... Packages are getting smaller and the price is going up at the same time.

How do you smoke a loin without it drying out?

The espresso we use at the office is $15.99 a pound.

:thumb: That would be a fun time.

Most of these people down here dont use a smoker. They do grill alot. So, my smoker and rub smell/smoke going for like 8 hours does get the neighboorhood asking about what I'm BBQ'ng.

i wish i had the freezer room to go ahead an buy a side of beef

I have a friend of mine that forecasts ag prices. I will see him mid week, I'll get back to you. I'm trying to time my beef buy at the market low, but I don't want to wait to long either.

It's not as simple as corn going up = beef going up. It makes beef go up an it also makes all reasonable substitutes (all other meat) go up as people flee to cheaper substitutes. The price issues will affect not only meat but everything else too because of internal industry opportunity cost and possible supply disruption, not just scarcity. A high tide raises all boats.

The inflation figures are misleading because for several years the government has been pointing to a figure that is obscured by deflation in the housing market. If real inflation of household goods were measured and publicized people would have their eyes opened.

they try to get tricky with that smaller package shit all the time now.


Or the side size package but the bag is only half full. :cuss:

make sure you let us all know please


this is kinda scary :huh:

This is very true. The government creates there own nifty little formula to make the inflation match up with whatever they want. Its a bunch of bullshit.

I get the same thing when I do a 8-12 hour smoke. Montana is big on beef, but not very many folks have smokers, or if they do, they have no clue what they are doing. Nothing like abusing the neighbors. :D

I enjoyed a delicious 28 oz Porterhouse last night with the wife. It cost me 27 bucks after tax. From the butcher in our grocery store

I marinated the meat overnight. Poke holes in the loin with a fork to get the rub/sauce down into the meat. I use a cheater smoker. I put the wood chips in a bowl of water. The water helps hydrate the air in the smoker so it doesn't dry it out. I never smoke meat at greater than 200 degrees to alos help with drying out meat.

you don't use one of those big needles to inject the stuff into the meat?



i watch the food channel some o:-)

The drought is being used as an excuse but the drought is 2-3 months old, the economy has been stuck in the mud for 4 years

Thats a badass Porterhouse....

I love how any topic closely related to food devolves into a conversation about BBQ. CP makes me so happy sometimes.

The first thing I noticed that with, was dog food several years ago. Remember when all the dog food bags were 50 pounds. Then it went to 42, then 40 and now you see 35-38 pound bags for more money, sneaky bastards.

Yea, it costs more, but its better for my back and will probably save me on painkillers in the long run. It's all about perspective, man!

so? grocery prices change weekly. based on a one or 2 week observation, you know nothing. So crab was $5 cheaper last week - that could have been due to a sale, due to the time of season, etc. produce especially varies in price widely over the season, so paying $1 for an avocado last week and $3 this week mean nothing.

not saying prices aren't rising for food, they are, but you're having a fit over nothing IMHO.

I am gonna have to chill out on the steaks though... My Doc is gonna chew my ass out. Seriously I have been hooked on them for atleast 3 months now.... Eating way too much Beef

Steakzilla!

It was worth buying. A joy to prepare and devour. My wife made noises eating it usually reserved for other rooms. #winning

There is no such thing, sir. No such thing.

Yes sir it's a Jedi mind trick... I am surprised 2 liters haven't reduced size

Good for your back perhaps but your wallet is getting "horsed."

http://www.newsrealblog.com/wp-conte...aghdad_bob.png

I know man, ate a 20 oz bone in at Texas roadhouse Saturday while RV hunting... Then about a 12 oz this morning for breakfast (nothing else but coffee)

I love those bastards

You have Espresso at the office? Damn man.

Go buy a freezer. It will probably pay for itself.

Can you PM me what he says about corn and particularly wheat? And what basis his analysis is on.

Corn price has very little to do with meat prices. Corn prices affect feedlot profitability and that is about it.

I talked to a guy from the KC Fed reserve 2 years ago, and he told me the inflation numbers used by the government do not include food and fuel. Laughable.

And if you guys want inflation, check out fertilizer prices, particularly UAN and NH3. Phosphate went high in like 06 and never came back down. But Nitrogen has went through the goddamn roof.

I probably should. It would make it better. I use a cheater smoker. That Phobia guy will spend all day watching his smoker, putting the wood in to keep it at the perfect temperature etc. And his results are much better than mine.

I do like smoking my own meats but I don't want to work that hard. :)

i really am thinking about it.

buy a freezer just for bulk meat etc so i can buy cheaper.

That and the meat quality is immensely better. If it is not, find a new butcher.

I HAVE noticed that they are now selling 1 liters shaped like the 2 liter and the same price 2 liters were 6mos ago.

Welp think about it.... what can you buy for 99 cents sometimes that you could buy for 99 cents in 1985?

We've got a few KS ranchers on this site.

Get Buehler in here. Farmers are culling herds all over the state. They can't feed em due to loss of hay/feed from the drought.

That's what I am hearing... Prices low now because of a glut in the market but are going to explode soon

Rip one on Craigs list or the local paper. People move, or kick the bucket all the time and there are some deals to be had out there.

That's what I've heard, but I'm not a cow man. Last year, there was a lot of hay in the north half of the country. Now the Texas drought has lightened, but there isn't hardly any hay in the system. As I understand it.

An Amsterdam hooker?

They are cheap anyway, even new.

Point taken... I want to go there, Have you ever been?

It's the same situation around here. There are stage II fire conditions all over the place, which tranlates into almost zero feed for the stock. Hay prices should also be through the roof this winter.

Yes I have. o:-)

Grass in NC is greener than I have seen it in years... Go Figure

Did you see them behind the glass and pick out what you wanted?

A Rancilio, it rocks!!!

It's the same here in SeKs. People are already feeding hay they had reserved for this winter. We have no grass and what little we do is brown and dried up.
getting a whole beef is expensive but worth it in the long run....never again will we eat Wal-mart beef. We put our last 4-h steer in the freezer last year. Costs us about 2K to purchase, feed and process but it was worth it. I now have approx 1.5 beef in the freezer....stock up as things may get rough this winter price wise!

If I was hunting down an extra freezer, I would try to find an older one. The compressors in the new ones are made to run 3-5 years, complete garbage. Some of those older ones would work for decades. It is worth takign the time to find an older one and you should be able to rip it, if someone is moving, IMHO. Craigs List.

She faked an orgasm at the dinner table? :)

thats some top notch advise. :thumb: