Remaining schedule ..We play 3 top 10 defenses
 

Based on points allowed

Baltimore is ranked #1 (18.1 PPG)

Chargers #7 (20.9 PPG)

Seahawks #8 (21.6 PPG)


Thoughts?

I think we're gonna try to score some points on em.

They won’t be top 10 when we get done with them.

I may be wrong, but I still say no one can stop our offense. I mean, we played the Rams, had five turnovers, countless penalties, AND STILL scored 51 points.

Rams rank #23 even with all that talent.

^ :D

Yep. KC will only have problems when facing another top passing offense, because our Secondary is terrible. Even now, that we're getting a pass rush, most of our DB's are still terrible.

Before or after they played the Chiefs?

After

The CBs are good. The safeties are bad.

To quote Mike Tyson in his prime.......


Everyone has a plan to beat me until I punch them in their mouth.

Yeah, I know, but they still have some strong playmakers. I guess my point was, they had the ability to shut us down, considering all the mistakes, and still got half a century laid on them.

Our schedule was just killer. Who played a more insane one than us. If we lose the 1 seed and Pats get it that will be a major reason. I said before losing to Denver but beating Pats would have been better. That may prove to be right. We need help. Big game will be at Seattle. We must win.

:thumb: that’s EXACTLY what this season has felt like!

The charger d lost 2 of its best players and the ravens are running a Tebow offense

Naw... I'll give you that the CB's are "better" then the Safeties, but the CB's are still bad, the Safeties are just plain terrible.

Yep. If the Ravens get behind KC by a couple scores, they're gonna be toast.

Why do we need help? The Chiefs control their own destiny when it comes to home field advantage.

That would have dropped them quite a bit I would think. :D

I think he's allowing for KC to lose 1 more, and if NE loses we'll have a cushion. But you're right, as things stand now, KC doesn't need any help.

I'll take the over in all three cases.

Who gives a shit? We've got Mahomes.

The defenses don’t matter anymore.

It’s all about how many mistakes our offense makes.

Remaining schedule ..We play 3 top 10 defenses
 

The Chiefs already scored 38 points vs the Chargers in LA. That was in Mahomes 2nd career start ever. So by my calculations, just add 17-21pts to each & you have the points the Chiefs will score.

Where was Jax when we played them?? And I do not think Mahomes has been 'exposed' in any way.

I shouldn't say this----I do not see how we lose the rest of the season

I'm not worried about any remaining team on the schedule.

Chiefs should be 14-2 at the end of all of this and eliminate the dreaded 13-3.

Those stats are potential indicators of how much the Chiefs score and not much more.

Look at how the chiefs have fared earlier against top defenses

They’ll score 30. Atleast

Crazy isn’t it

We need help? Really? Win out and we need no help.

At least. There isn't a defense that's going to slow us down left to play

Idk if any defense can hold KC under 30 when we’re being aggressive and trying to score for 4 quarters. Now, if they build a big lead and go conservative in the 4th quarter (think Arizona), then yeah maybe. But otherwise, I don’t see it.

It would be extremely disappointing if we lost any of the remaining regular season games. I can’t think of any team that has a bigger advantage over remaining opponents.

-Bye week before 3 games in 11 days.
-Raiders twice who have given up.
-Ravens & Chargers at home.
-Chargers coming to us on a short week.
-10 days to prepare for Seattle.

Even against Jacksonville they put up 30 and the offense didn’t even play that well. Which just goes to show how significant HFA would be for us.

High powered offense hurts their ranking. If the Rams had a ball control offense with an Alex Smith running the show, I bet their defense would rank quite a bit better and they’d have a worse W/L record.

:facepalm:

Gee, ya think? But they don't, do they? There's a reason...

At least they ain't top ranked offenses.

We look good against those teams and we should feel really good going into the playoffs.

Dang. I was just about to say that.

Because I'm bored on the day after Thanksgiving...

The following are what our opponents this year have surrendered in all the other games they played excluding the Chiefs, followed by the number of points that the Chiefs scored. In all cases we, not surprisingly, exceeded their defensive scoring averages sans the game they played against the Chiefs...

Chargers: 19.0 ppg - Chiefs scored 38
Steelers: 20.33 ppg - Chiefs scored 42
49ers: 25.33 ppg - Chiefs scored 38
Broncos: 22.25 ppg - Chiefs scored 27
Jaguars: 21.00 ppg - Chiefs scored 30*
Patriots: 21.78 ppg - Chiefs scored 40
Bengals: 29.66 ppg - Chiefs scored 45
Broncos: 22.25 ppg - Chiefs scored 30
Browns: 25.11 ppg - Chiefs scored 37
Cardinals: 18.11 ppg - Chiefs scored 26
Rams: 23.1 ppg - Chiefs scored 51**

On average, our opponents have surrendered 22.54 ppg against all their other opponents not including the Chiefs. The Chiefs have scored against these teams an average of 36.73 ppg, exceeding the defensive scoring allowed averages by almost 39%.

The Jags played the offense the toughest of any opponent, with the Chiefs scoring only 2 points above the Jags season average (though at the time we played the Jags average was a much more stingy 14.25 ppg). The Broncos, of course, also played us hard on defense.

* Chiefs offense actually scored 23 + 7 off a pick-6
** Chiefs offense actually scored 44 + 7 off a strip returned for 7

Also keep in my that unlike the Saints, and not 100% sure about the Rams, Reid tends to take his foot off the gas. Not always a good thing, especially in the past.

Very interesting. It looks like our floor on expected points is about a touchdown above the opponent's average, and it'll usually be more.

All good points. The fact that the Chargers have to come to Arrowhead on a short week is just killer for them. They're going to come out firing on all cylinders but expect them to be error prone and ultimately fall apart in the second half. Really looking forward to an epic P. Rivers breakdown...

Closer to two TDs, except when we play the Jags or Broncos.

But I could see the Ravens being tough in the same way -- but also like the Jags and Broncos they don't have the offensive firepower to keep up even if our offense is off it's 37 ppg average.

If you look at the remaining schedule and if the 40% pace continues the Chiefs would score against the remaining opponents (with +/- 3 for home field advantage):

at Oakland: 38
Ravens: 28
Chargers: 32
at Seattle: 27
Oakland: 44

Looks like Seattle is our main threat.

I've always thought Seattle is the most likely opponent to upset the apple cart. Fortunately the Chargers lost to the Broncos so their divisional record kills them even if they were to beat us at Arrowhead. If we beat the Chargers it's all over barring some calamity.

Remaining schedule ..We play 3 top 10 defenses
 

Agreed

Chiefs will finish 14-2.

Steelers?

Those are teams that Mahomes can outscore.

The issue is teams with good defenses AND good offense. Our record in that arena is shit for 2.

You’ve missed the point, Sherlock.

Neither the Rams or Patriots have good defenses.

Our only two losses this season were on the road in which Pat had 3+ turnovers and still only lost by 3 each time. We'll be fine.

Not scared

Um, if you look at the list which Hog is referencing, you'll see otherwise. Hint: in the case of NE and LA, 20 and 28 are a better ranking than 32.

Again, a better defense than KC + elite QB/ability to match or exceed scores = LOSS.( Proven. Fact. )

And yeah, we'll be fine against these three teams. As I already stated.

Mahomes ****ed up late in the Rams game. In a way we wholly expected before the season but didn’t at the exact moment it happened because he’s, well, Mahomes and has raped expectations. We can crush any defense. It’ll happen. He’s only getting better.

Let’s not nitpick ahead of our Super Bowl win.

yip yarp

Baltimore and Seattle have NO chance to outscore us or even keep pace. Chargers can keep pace, but Phil will choke if it gets close like he's prone to do.

I heard some stat yesterday that pulled all the great QB's Rodgers,Brady,Manning,Brees , there were some more included. But it said all those QB's combined were 240-2 in games they scored 40 or more points.

Mahomy already has his 2 losses.

They're only top 10 because they haven't played us.

I'm as big of a fan of mahomes as anyone. But while we should win most or all of these. it would be good to see strides. He got hit way more than I'm comfortable with the last two weeks. I know I'll get blasted for saying he's not God's perfect gift to man. Just telling it like it is. He's had a few (not a lot, but a few) hiccups the past two games when he gets pressure from the line. Im confident the bye week for a very coachable player will help him immensely.

67.5% completion, 3628 yds, 37 td, 10 int for a QB in his first year starting and we've got a guy here going "blah blah blah strides" while acknowledging his mistakes have come because our O line has been inconsistent.

You're damn right you're going to get blasted and for good reason. The man has played a near perfect season, and you are being a greedy little asshole. He is going to throw picks with as many risks as he takes. But guess the **** what? Most of the risks he takes work out.

Good God you're insufferable. He deserves mvp but God forbid anyone point out areas where a young qb can improve. I do not want him to get knocked around like he has the last two games, and stop with the horseshit that it's purely on the OL. He played a good not great game against Arizona. He played outstanding but with key mistakes against the Rams. He's going to see pressure in these 3 games and he needs to adjust to it better than he has the last 2 games. Let's stop with the everything is rainbows and unicorn farts nonsense.

They're going to be treated like a cheerleader on prom night.

Asked to dance a lot?

Everyone scores.

....... ok.

Neither the Rams or Patriots have good defenses.

What do all of these players have in common?

Garson conley
Rashad Melvin
Daryl Worley
Brandon Carr
Jimmy Smith
Marlon Humphrey
Desmond King
Casey Hayward
Michael Davis
Tre Flowers
Shaquille Griffin
Justin Coleman

Need any hints?

It’s unfortunate

But Mahomes would be the first one to tell you he was somewhat “to blame” for both losses

They all have grandmothers named Minerva?

(I don't really know but figured I'd make a guess at it.)

That’s the top 3 corners on each teams depth chart that we face the rest of the year.

Straight trash, Mahomie.

LA? Not so much. Still, 28 across the board is a greater ranking than 32. And NE? 20 is MUCH greater than 32. When you add Brady to the mix, you should pack Vaseline in your travel bag more often than not.

Bob-o and Veach need to get that shit up to a minimum of 20-25 across the board if they wish to see their team go in dry against most opponents, and have the edge in contests against the championship teams in this league.
Fielding a defense ranked in the last four available slots will get Lil' Chiefy fist-****ed against those types of teams, like it or not.

So, technically, I wasn't even close.

Damn. This is why I avoid game shows.

And what do von Miller, chandler Jones, and Aaron Donald have in common. So far they're the three defenses that have made mahomes look human for a quarter or two. And for the same reason. Pass rush. We have been mostly great but we've had some hiccups when defenses get instant pressure.

After this weekend Bye we'll automatically move up at least to 31 on defense. We might even get to 29. We'll be fine.

They are all friends with Matt Cassel?

I've seen every Ravens game since 1996. This year the defense has improved but they're up and down. The Chiefs game is at Arrowhead, the Ravens had two good road games this year, they beat the Steelers early in the season in prime time and the Titans 21-0 at their place. At home they had two really good games, one was with Buffalo 47-3, but that was with Nathan Peterman at QB, he's now walking the street. The other was against the Saints, Tucker missed an extra point, which he hasn't done going back to high school, which would of tied the game and sent it to overtime. They have five losses which includes one at Cincy, one at Cleveland, one at Carolina, one at home against the Steelers, so it's been the Ravens problem for years, they play up or down to the opponent. With the scoring the Chiefs will do, they'll need Flacco to play, Lamar wouldn't be able to keep up, he may be able to use more time of possession. I predicted on another thread Chiefs 37 Ravens 17.

Different era stats. Going to be a lot of those going forward.

Yup Baltimore doesn't worry me. Like Arizona, chiefs need to just do their job on offense and defense, even if it means no fireworks. Seattle and San Diego will be two interesting tests. Seattle will try to control possession on offense, and our defense needs to run up the score quickly on a good defense to force them to pass. San Diego will be a different defense with bosa coming back. We'll learn a lot about if we're serious super bowl contenders in those 2 games. People hate hearing this, but we have to be better than what we showed in Arizona and the Rams especially when the front 4 shows pressure.

ROFL

Oh yeah...Reid and Buttons giving me that old, familiar, "Fisty McKnucklesdeep-playoff lovin' feelin" again...

It's not the defense of the teams we face, it's the offenses that decides whether we win or lose.

Sorry if Q.