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-   -   Chiefs ESPN SIM predictions, Ravens beat Chiefs in AFCCG (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=350045)

IowaHawkeyeChief 09-04-2023 09:15 AM

ESPN SIM predictions, Ravens beat Chiefs in AFCCG
 
ESPN's SIM model shows the Chiefs going 13-4, but losing to the Ravens in the AFCCG. The Ravens then lose to the Eagles in the Super Bowl.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...-bowl-champion

To hard to put in a spoiler tab with all the ads so you will have to click...

TribalElder 09-04-2023 09:16 AM

Lamar Jackson in the playoffs is a big gulp full of Aids & Antifreeze

Eleazar 09-04-2023 09:16 AM

Ravens are very near to the Chargers in the amount of unrealized preseason hype year in and year out

TwistedChief 09-04-2023 09:20 AM

Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.

Delano 09-04-2023 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TribalElder (Post 17086017)
Lamar Jackson in the playoffs is a big gulp full of Aids & Antifreeze

I’m curious how he looks in the new offensive scheme. If it hits they’ll be scary, but putting Lamar in a pass-first offense is risky.

IowaHawkeyeChief 09-04-2023 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 17086024)
Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.

Yes, #3818, But we all know reporting on them all would be extremely boring as the Chiefs are the Chiefs... ;)

Skyy God 09-04-2023 09:30 AM

I’m surprised ClayBerg did’t post this.

RunKC 09-04-2023 09:31 AM

Ravens will be very good this year IMO. They're gonna challenge the Bengals for that division.

Chiefs, Bengals, Ravens, Jags are my top 4 AFC teams this year

Titty Meat 09-04-2023 09:38 AM

There's a reason why ESPN is firing everyone

warpaint* 09-04-2023 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 17086024)
Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.

Correct. They ran their little toy until it spit out something they liked that would generate clicks.

notorious 09-04-2023 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 17086024)
Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.



Quote:

Originally Posted by warpaint* (Post 17086046)
Correct. They ran their little toy until it spit out something they liked that would generate clicks.

/discussion

HC_Chief 09-04-2023 10:21 AM

Is ESPN still a thing?

Chris Meck 09-04-2023 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Delano (Post 17086029)
I’m curious how he looks in the new offensive scheme. If it hits they’ll be scary, but putting Lamar in a pass-first offense is risky.

He'll probably scramble for a thousand yards after his first read is covered.

Dunerdr 09-04-2023 12:00 PM

This is the first year I’m buying a little ravens hype. They have receivers so there’s no excuse. Anything but a deep playoff run is an absolute failure.

MahomesMagic 09-04-2023 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 17086035)
Ravens will be very good this year IMO. They're gonna challenge the Bengals for that division.

Chiefs, Bengals, Ravens, Jags are my top 4 AFC teams this year

Agree.

Their defense was scary at the end of the year and they have added a lot of pieces.

Hopefully they take someone out like the Bengals before we have to play them.

Hoopsdoc 09-04-2023 12:37 PM

They’ve got Carolina winning the NFC south. Which is pretty obvious after I thought about it.

That’s gotta be the worst division in football. By a large margin.

Pinchshot 09-04-2023 05:35 PM

Ravens beat the Bengals in the playoffs last year if not for their midget QB fumbling at the 1. 14 point swing.

Rainbarrel 09-04-2023 05:40 PM

Simulation: Lamar goes on a tear after Josh Allen knocks up his mother

Mecca 09-04-2023 05:42 PM

That SIM is based on the Ravens weapons which honestly are top notch. The question is can Lamar be the guy in that kinda offense.

Rain Man 09-04-2023 05:45 PM

This is off by six games. The 17-0 Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. I guarantee it.

KC_Lee 09-04-2023 05:47 PM

Did this same Sim have KC as third in the AFC West last year?

ThaVirus 09-04-2023 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 17086024)
Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.

Right. I was looking for the Super Bowl percentages for KC but could only find the 14% for Philly.

This particular sim also had the Cowboys getting the #2 pick and that just isn’t going to happen unless Dak has a disastrous injury.

Also, ngl, I like the Ravens as a dark horse in the AFC playoff picture. If Lamar can stay healthy, I like their chances of getting over that playoff hump.

Bump 09-04-2023 06:21 PM

It's almost a stretch for the Ravens to even make the playoffs. I think the Steelers will be better than them and of course the Bungles

chiefzilla1501 09-04-2023 06:22 PM

The simulation doesn’t factor in Lamar sulking on the bench because his team is down a score in the playoffs.

Mecca 09-04-2023 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump (Post 17086500)
It's almost a stretch for the Ravens to even make the playoffs. I think the Steelers will be better than them and of course the Bungles

I think from a talent standpoint the Ravens are better than Cincy is.

BleedingRed 09-04-2023 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TwistedChief (Post 17086024)
Just a yearly reminder - this is one single path in 20,000 simulations. This is not their prediction. I am sure we win the Super Bowl in more of their scenarios than anyone else does.

Honestly,

I would love to hear about how the Chiefs could win the Super Bowl 3800+ times

gordonelloyd 09-04-2023 06:37 PM

How much credibility is there in a simulation that has the Cowboys losing to the Cardinals. Absolutely none.

I wonder if they ran the simulation enough times if they could even come up with one with the Cardinals winning the Super Bowl.

What an incredible load of bullshit.

Simply Red 09-04-2023 07:13 PM

OH MY GOD I'M SO MAD ABOUT THIS!!!

Coochie liquor 09-04-2023 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hoopsdoc (Post 17086200)
They’ve got Carolina winning the NFC south. Which is pretty obvious after I thought about it.

That’s gotta be the worst division in football. By a large margin.

I still think it’s the Bucs.

Coochie liquor 09-04-2023 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mecca (Post 17086504)
I think from a talent standpoint the Ravens are better than Cincy is.

Not at the most important position….

Dunerdr 09-04-2023 07:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coochie liquor (Post 17086562)
I still think it’s the Bucs.

But why?

notorious 09-04-2023 08:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mecca (Post 17086504)
I think from a talent standpoint the Ravens are better than Cincy is.

Baltimore had Cincy beat in the playoffs with bag of dicks at QB.

Tribal Warfare 01-14-2024 06:40 PM

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Coochie liquor 01-14-2024 07:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hoopsdoc (Post 17086200)
They’ve got Carolina winning the NFC south. Which is pretty obvious after I thought about it.

That’s gotta be the worst division in football. By a large margin.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coochie liquor (Post 17086562)
I still think it’s the Bucs.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunerdr (Post 17086582)
But why?

Nailed it… for once

BigRedChief 01-14-2024 07:45 PM

If we can beat Buffalo in any, we can beat the Ravens in Baltimore.

Rain Man 01-14-2024 07:48 PM

Did they award themselves an Emmy for this analysis?

Valiant 01-14-2024 10:40 PM

I think we host the AFC championship again. Baltimore is primed to lose their first game.

Hammock Parties 01-14-2024 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valiant (Post 17338133)
I think we host the AFC championship again. Baltimore is primed to lose their first game.

based on nothing ROFL


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