What are your NFL WK 1 Overreactions?
 

Curious what your overreactions are to players and teams after wk1?

I'll start...

1. Chiefs are going to be deadly and Worthy finishes as the #1 rookie WR.

2. Chase gets paid, Bengals miss the playoffs.

3. Tampa wins their division.

4. Achane finishes as a top 3 RB.

5. Rodgers has a mediocre year.

The Bengals are going 6-11.

NVM Missed it in the first post.

Every single team in the AFC except the Chiefs got worse while the Chiefs got better.

Not sure why the Bucs are on there, they won the NFC South last year and are favored to again.

This is Sean Payton's last year in Denver.

Jackson and Allen will lose in the playoffs then complain they were not at 100% but celebrate all year every time then run over a defender up 3 scores in the 4th quarter against shitty teams . Both will get. Both will get 200+ Carries

The Browns miss the playoffs due to poor play from Watson.

Is that Achane prediction as a RB? He had like 5 yards rushing all his production was receiving because he's basically their slot WR. He might only run for 700 yards but what if he catches 90 balls?

Nix, Watson, Cousins, Levis all benched before week 8.

Kirk Cousins will not be the starting QB for the Falcons into the 2nd quarter next week.

Robert Saleh will not be the Jets HC for the entire duration of this season.

Cowboys/9ers/Lions/Eagles are the 4 good teams in the NFC and everyone else is a big bag of shit.

EDIT: Actually the Saints and Bucs and Rams are pretty solid.

Since the AFL/NFL merger, only five QBs have thrown for 30 or more interceptions in a season: Vinny Testaverde, Fran Tarkenton, Ken Stabler, Richard Todd, and Jameis Winston. Bo Nix will be the sixth.

And while I'm on the subject, Ken Stabler is probably the second-most overrated quarterback in NFL history, behind only john elway. elway holds the post-merger record for the broncos with 23 interceptions thrown, and Nix will be a lock to break that record unless he gets benched.

MacKauley Burrow is cooked

Your #1 is an underreaction IMO.

There's part of me that wonders if the roster changes, and the decision to draft AND start Nix as a rookie is his intentional way of getting that buyout and GTFO of dodge ASAP.

The Bills arent as bad as people think. Not a big drop off from last year at all.

That's true, but pundits were calling for ATL to make a move this year and I don't see it happening.

That's why I think he puts up big numbers, he's essentially a slot WR.

Interesting. We'll see if Allen is healthy...

Josh Allen will have to be superman and not get hurt for that to happen. I dunno if he can sustain it, he had to go balls out to beat Arizona.

The Saints are interesting but I want to see them against a team that's not the Panthers. They've got some talent on defense and Derek Carr is a guy who can go 10-7. They're not a top contender but in that division they could be a surprise team that competes for a playoff spot. They've got a Kubiak at OC now so he should know how to use Kamara. Just thinking of teams that aren't in the playoff conversation at all who might be better than expected.

I take all this back if Dallas beats them 49-0 this weekend.

I think it was definitely more Carolina bad in their first game.

The Saints seem perennially destined to hover around .500 under Dennis Allen.

1) that Raiderhater is an inbred, hillbilly cousin f’er. <—- technically could be deemed a week 2 overreaction.

2) that after one week the MNF game thread crowned SF as the best of the NFC while playing a team that traveled coast to coast.

I guess we’ll see how it goes down.

All but #4 are pretty spot on and not overreactions.

Stefanski is fired this season

Worthy finishing as the #1 rookie WR is at least a hot take.

The Chiefs are far and away the best team in the AFC and it’s really not close.

The Bills and Bengals look worse. We ****ed around vs the Ravens and handled them. Texans look good but their secondary is so bad that I think Mahomes could throw 400 yards on them.

The defenses in this conference just are not good enough. If our guys stay healthy we’re scoring at least 35 on these teams in the playoffs, and we all know Spags defense isn’t going to give up 30.

That would make their first two weeks a nice summary of Carr's career.

This is precisely the type of team Dallas has beat the brakes off of the last 5+ years. They look great against those fringe "good" teams, then get their asses kicked by any legit good teams.

1. This Chiefs team has a better percentage chance to win the Super Bowl than any other year prior

2. Jets are a third place team at best

3. Browns will be picking in the top 10

4. Texans are our biggest competition in the AFC

5. Chargers make a wild card spot

6. Packers will still be a heavy Super Bowl contender by playoffs

7. Caleb Williams never really figures it out this year

8. Tampa wins the South, again

9. Rams struggle with the injury bug all year along, costing them what could be a good season

Panthers will be the first 0-17 team.

I shouldn't have drafted McCaffrey 1 overall.

:(

He kicked ass Week 1... it is difficult to match that stat line.

49ers are the best team in the NFC.

Bears are gonna be 8-8.

Baker Mayfield will lead TB to the NFCCG.

Sam Darnold will lead MIN to the playoffs.

This one isn't a hot take, it's becoming more like a NFC-S tradition, but CAR-HC Canales will be fired before the end of the season.

My overreactions:
1). The way the NFL structures the off-season programs exposes mediocre and poor coaching staffs. I think week one readiness is a criteria to monitor going forward. Only about four teams showed up ready to play this week. Ancillary hot take: the NFL is going to have to change course next negotiation to secure more structured team time in the off-season.

2) Eberflus and his offensive staff cannot effectively implement an NFL offense and will get shitcanned for people who can actually tap the bears offensive potential.

3) the chiefs and the niners stood above the rest of the NFL by a wide margin, and I don't think other teams can close the gap enough to compete barring injury.

I win both my fantasy league and my pickem league. The first is only possible if McCaffrey goes down with injury for the year since I have his backup.

Bengals are last in the division again. They start slow again (like they do every year) but this year fail to ever turn it on.

Packers miss the playoffs.

Burrow's throwing hand has nerve damage and he won't make it through the season and retires at the end of the 2024 season.

Chiefs are going 20-0!!!!!

Steelers will win their division.

I'd almost list that as a real possibility at this point.

I don't think the Ravens make the playoffs. Most teams can just force Lamar to throw to his sub-mid WR's and profit. Spy him, blitz him, and let him dump off 15 times to the HB if he wants.

Panthers winless. I’ll pile on.

AND he's injured, already. lol ...Sat out of practice with an ankle injury.

I jinxed him.

I have no clue why he’s not gone years ago. His best offensive season was with Baker. And that was 1. Obviously unacceptable, 2. A long ****ing time ago.

What the **** are they doing? Fire everybody but the HC?

Hot takes:

1. Colts win the south, Richardson is the next name everybody want to dethrone Mahomes.

2. Archane gets hurt. O/U week 6.

3. Miami wins 8 games and misses the playoffs. They were a ****ing horror show. And what the **** Jags? Jesus.

4. Detroit Rams was the NFCCG preview.

5. Rodgers is so toxic the whole ****ing thing burns. I didn’t watch the game but I’m damn interested to see the highlights.

6. Russell Wilson never plays another game.

7. NFL sues Watson for bad faith negotiations.

8. Antonio Pierce tries to fight Mahomes and gets excommunicated from the league.

Here’s my dumbass one that definitely won’t happen.

Nobody watches the Saints. But Carr detonates the jackasses in the South because my GOD they’re terrible. Does just enough in other games to stay relevant, Carr is runner up for MVP.

Richardson looked flashy. Is there a reason to think he will stay healthy?

I'm not sold on rams and 49ers looked pretty good. I guess if rams get their OL back and WR back and QB stays healthy, but I'm not seeing it.

I thought Rodgers had checked out of football. Yes, I thought it was conceivable he could bring it, but rather unlikely. Jets D did not impress.

Browns are going to have to bench Watson.

1. Dallas Cowboys will finally make it back to the Super Bowl after 29 years.

2. Patriots will make the playoffs

3. Bills will be best team in AFC

4. Lamar Jackson will finish the season with over 1,250 yards rushing

5. Tua and Tyreek will be NFLs co-MVPs

Burrow underwhelms and Bengals miss the playoffs.

Miami wins the AFCE.

Chargers go to the playoffs.

Bills win no more than 9 and closer to 6.

I don’t understand why Lamar is getting trashed. He put up 400 yds on KC. Don’t we think the Chiefs’ defense is good? Disrespecting him is disrespecting the Chiefs.

Setting aside the numbers, I thought he looked better than ever. He dropped 15 lbs and is even faster and more elusive than before. And he made some great throws and made plays in the clutch.

He gave everything he had and Pat kind of took it easy lulz

We will face the ravens again in the championship game.

The bills and chargers will exceeded expectations and both make the playoffs.

The NFC will be a tight race with difficulty predicting.
It will be the Cowboys. No. They always collapse.
It will be the 49ers. They did look awesome.
It will be Detroit. Great first game especially how they ran it down LA throat in OT.
It will be the Eagles as Barkley gives them even a better set of weapons than SF

I think it will be the 49ers that we beat again in the Super Bowl

NFL offense will bounce back in a big way in a few weeks and most of the offense drought is due to teams bizarre lack of preseason game reps for offense starters

It’s the angel reese effect. Lamar is an excellent qb but people need to stop putting him into the discussion with greatness

I’ve said the same thing for josh Allen. That dude would be considered a big time winner if he played in the afc. His fatal flaw is he, like everyone else, can’t beat mahomes. The distinction is that Allen has a track record of postseason success where Lamar doesn’t really

woohoo! the Chiefs are a running team again!

The South won't be a good conference, but it should be a fun one.

The Bucs, Falcons and Saints are all equally mediocre and all in slightly different ways.

Even the Panthers are laughably terrible in their own right - that has some entertainment value.

I think Doug Pederson may not last the season. I like Dougey P but that kind of performance was just completely unacceptable. You can't have that in week 1.

I don't know what they're going to do to fix Lawrence and get him to the next level, but it needs to happen quickly. He's just going to fade away into mediocrity at this point. He's started 51 NFL games now and near as I can tell, he just hasn't improved any.

Watch Mahomes games from 2018 and you can see that he just got better every week. The games he played in 2018 look nothing like the way he was playing in 2020. Statistically he declined but he was obviously a better player. With Lawrence he just looks like the same guy he looked like as a rookie. If not now....when? Lawrence has to start showing some progress.

Oh I like this take. Belichick takes over the Jags mid season, gets them squared away next year.

I thought Atlanta would be ok by being “above mediocre.” I saw some of the ATL game and I don’t think cousins is close to 100%. Maybe a hot take is that we see penix sooner than later.

For amusement, I like this idea. Not that I have anything against Cousins, but it would just be pretty funny if ATL benched him this quickly.

Not gonna happen though. ATL plays PHI, KC, NOR, and TB next. No chance they throw their shiny new rookie QB to the wolves like that.

ATL is staring 1-4 in the face and maybe 0-5.

Sometimes losing a WK 1 matchup as a slight favorite can just totally butt**** your season. On the other hand, win Monday night and all may be forgiven.

I think ATL will beat NOR. Cousins will play better, it’s going to take a couple-three weeks for him to shake the rust. Watching the replay, he was late on a lot of throws and none of his receivers helped him out when blitzed. But yeah the Falcons could easily go until Week 6 before picking up a W.

Damn. THAT'S a prediction right there. They suck.

From my Pre Week 1 predictions to Post Week 1 predictions, only one big thing has changed for me:

I genuinely believe the Panthers have a better than not chance of becoming the first 0-17 football team, because Dear Lord that was so damn difficult to watch. I'll go ahead and call Panthers go 0-17, so when they don't, you all can make fun of me for my dumb take.

Dak Prescott earns his paycheck

Gonna brag and bump this one. LMAO

LMAO Damn, this was halfway joking and based on the other teams not looking good. They may win it on their own merits.

Stefanski is almost definitely getting fired.

Oh, and Watson blows goats while fingering their buttholes.

Sticking with my prediction of Cleveland missing the playoffs because Watson sucks.

lookin kinda true rn