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-   -   Chiefs The Next 10 SB years? (https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=357162)

ROYC75 02-13-2025 12:38 PM

The Next 10 SB years?
 
Think about it, with the Chiefs having to retool our roster with the salary cap, how many times will we get back to the SB? How many times can we win?

I saw a segment on First Things First that has me thinking the same way here. We have been on a historical run, AFCW Champs,AFC Championship Games, plus the SB's.

Pat is 30, look at the rest of the AFC QB's he has to battle to get back to the SB. In the AFC alone, how SB's will be won by Allen,Jackson,Burrow,Herbert,Nix,Stroud, etc., not to mention a newer flux of QB talent just to the AFC, then add in the NFC teams you can meet in the SB.

So realistically, what can we expect in the next 10 years that we may have Pat for? I don't see Andy coaching 10 years or more!

Be realistic about this, we have had a GREAT RUN, but how much longer can we expect this.

This last SB was about the law of averages catching up to us. There was just so many things lining up that says, Here, this is the time you will lose and it happened to a quality opponent.

So what do you see in the next 10 years?

smithandrew051 02-13-2025 12:39 PM

10 peat imo

Rainbarrel 02-13-2025 12:39 PM

The confidence in knowing they'd find a way to win is gone. It's start from scratch

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 12:41 PM

No one here has a clue. That's the beauty of sports.


A lot had to go right for us to have the run we have been on but most of the big things are still in place.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 01:02 PM

I watched that conversation too, I get it, but it's far too early to go down that rabbit hole. Have to take it one year at a time.

I bet no one thought Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson still wouldn't have made Super Bowls by now after 2019 but here we are.

fadeaway 02-13-2025 01:11 PM

Are we really that fucked cap space wise?

I know there’s the current crop of talent and there will always be more, but every year the media make out it’s a new guys turn to take down Mahomes and guess what, they don’t.

Mahomes has lost two super bowls that have arguably been out of his hands. The Bucs game he had a make a wish OL, last sunday he had his team give up around him (excluding Worthy) and quite frankly the worst game plan you will ever see from a coaching team in a superbowl.

ChiefGator 02-13-2025 01:12 PM

We go to four more super bowls and win three.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fadeaway (Post 17967722)
Are we really that ****ed cap space wise?

I know there’s the current crop of talent and there will always be more, but every year the media make out it’s a new guys turn to take down Mahomes and guess what, they don’t.

Mahomes has lost two super bowls that have arguably been out of his hands. The Bucs game he had a make a wish OL, last sunday he had his team give up around him (excluding Worthy) and quite frankly the worst game plan you will ever see from a coaching team in a superbowl.

No, this is prisoner of the moment stuff. It's not like this team was built all-in in any sort of way, it just feels like it because of what they were trying to achieve.

Let the offseason play out and by next August we will once again be feeling like another final four appearance is on deck.

ThaVirus 02-13-2025 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fadeaway (Post 17967722)
Are we really that ****ed cap space wise?

I know there’s the current crop of talent and there will always be more, but every year the media make out it’s a new guys turn to take down Mahomes and guess what, they don’t.

Mahomes has lost two super bowls that have arguably been out of his hands. The Bucs game he had a make a wish OL, last sunday he had his team give up around him (excluding Worthy) and quite frankly the worst game plan you will ever see from a coaching team in a superbowl.

We’ll face some challenges but it isn’t that bad. As usual, most important thing will be getting the absolute best out of Mahomes and continuing to draft well.

If we get the 2022 version of Mahomes and we can infuse some new, young talent into areas of need, does anyone doubt we’ll be right back in the Super Bowl next year?

el borracho 02-13-2025 01:24 PM

Hall of Fame Quarterback
Hall of Fame Head Coach
Hall of Fame Defensive Coordinator

Chiefs have been to 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls. It's conceivable they go to another 6 in the next ten years.

Deberg_1990 02-13-2025 01:26 PM

I’ll say 2 more times. 1 win, 1 loss

Rainbarrel 02-13-2025 01:26 PM

There will be a 10-20 million cap jump. Problem is every team gets it and will pay more

Mile High Mania 02-13-2025 01:32 PM

Will be interesting to see if Kelce retires and how the team reacts in 2025.

I think KC has a 5-6 year window to advance to 2 more SBs and win one or both.

Wallcrawler 02-13-2025 01:36 PM

Build around Mahomes. Protection is paramount. Weapons are on deck with Worthy and Rice.

Sacrifice a little defensively if needed, but you cant keep going to Superbowls and losing because your offense is getting absolutely ****ing destroyed.

TLO 02-13-2025 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania (Post 17967752)
Will be interesting to see if Kelce retires and how the team reacts in 2025.

I think KC has a 5-6 year window to advance to 2 more SBs and win one or both.

Why just a 5-6 year window?

FloridaMan88 02-13-2025 01:39 PM

One of the biggest variables likely within the next five years is Andy’s retirement.

Who replaces him, how that changes the coaching staff, etc. will be a critical juncture for the Chiefs’ continued Super Bowl window with Mahomes.

ForeverIowan 02-13-2025 01:40 PM

I think the media is sleeping on how good the Rice/Worthy combo is going to be. Perhaps I am being a homer but I think they have a chance to be a prolific combo. Invest a high draft pick on a young, explosive running back and I am extremely bullish on the offense. We are getting younger and more explosive. Noah Gray is more than serviceable as a TE. Spend a high draft pick on your next franchise TE in the next couple years.

Mile High Mania 02-13-2025 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TLO (Post 17967755)
Why just a 5-6 year window?

Pat will be mid 30s… Reid early 70s. At some point, I think Reid retires in that window. Will Pat play another 10? Who knows, I just think the SB window is shorter than 10 years.

dlphg9 02-13-2025 01:45 PM

This shit is so ****ing dumb. We lost the ****ing Super Bowl and now it's time for everyone to act like this team is some joke or something. If we won, then no one would have this conversation. Nothing changed.

wannaGOback 02-13-2025 01:48 PM

The Chiefs will not be playing in the Super Bowl next year.

They will make the Super Bowl the year after that.

Hard to have any lookout more than 3 years.

ForeverIowan 02-13-2025 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlphg9 (Post 17967766)
This shit is so ****ing dumb. We lost the ****ing Super Bowl and now it's time for everyone to act like this team is some joke or something. If we won, then no one would have this conversation. Nothing changed.

Exactly right. Why is this different than the Bucs punking us in the Super Bowl in 2021? After that, we lost both our tackles. The following year, we traded one of the best wide receivers to ever play the game. The train kept rolling.

At this point, Mahomes is in his prime, we have two young stud receivers on rookie contracts and a young top 5 caliber defense.

People are overreacring. Never as bad or as good as it seems.

TinyEvel 02-13-2025 02:03 PM

My 2 cent opinion: Build your team around your QBs strengths and weaknesses. He needs protection, receivers who can run clean routes or freelance like Kelce, and a defense that can keep them in games and not be the 2024 Bengals. We’ve never had a threat running back since 2017, and as long as Andy is running things (no pun intended) it’s not likely we’ll give one the chance.

digger 02-13-2025 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ROYC75 (Post 17967658)
Think about it, with the Chiefs having to retool our roster with the salary cap, how many times will we get back to the SB? How many times can we win?

I saw a segment on First Things First that has me thinking the same way here. We have been on a historical run, AFCW Champs,AFC Championship Games, plus the SB's.

Pat is 30, look at the rest of the AFC QB's he has to battle to get back to the SB. In the AFC alone, how SB's will be won by Allen,Jackson,Burrow,Herbert,Nix,Stroud, etc., not to mention a newer flux of QB talent just to the AFC, then add in the NFC teams you can meet in the SB.

So realistically, what can we expect in the next 10 years that we may have Pat for? I don't see Andy coaching 10 years or more!

Be realistic about this, we have had a GREAT RUN, but how much longer can we expect this.

This last SB was about the law of averages catching up to us. There was just so many things lining up that says, Here, this is the time you will lose and it happened to a quality opponent.

So what do you see in the next 10 years?


Why does anyone think that (Allen,Jackson,Burrow,Herbert,Nix,Stroud) has to win a (1 each) Super Bowl in the next ten years?


Truth is they don't have to even make it there...


The next influx of QB's might be even better than they are...


They might have missed their time to even make a Super Bowl...

New World Order 02-13-2025 02:07 PM

If we can just get the offensive line straightened out we could be back next year.

WBF

wannaGOback 02-13-2025 02:19 PM

I think everybody can kind of feel we are in for a big hangover next year.

Proud of the run they went on in general.

Hoping the year after the next run can begin.

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 02:22 PM

Mahomes cap hit goes up 30 million this year.

wannaGOback 02-13-2025 02:25 PM

Just to clarify I don’t think hangover means anything less than winning the division. But I think expecting another Super Bowl appearance with all the question marks is a bit optimistic. Plus everyone just saw us bleed. That’s going to embolden them.

DJ's left nut 02-13-2025 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ROYC75 (Post 17967658)
Think about it, with the Chiefs having to retool our roster with the salary cap, how many times will we get back to the SB? How many times can we win?

I saw a segment on First Things First that has me thinking the same way here. We have been on a historical run, AFCW Champs,AFC Championship Games, plus the SB's.

Pat is 30, look at the rest of the AFC QB's he has to battle to get back to the SB. In the AFC alone, how SB's will be won by Allen,Jackson,Burrow,Herbert,Nix,Stroud, etc., not to mention a newer flux of QB talent just to the AFC, then add in the NFC teams you can meet in the SB.

So realistically, what can we expect in the next 10 years that we may have Pat for? I don't see Andy coaching 10 years or more!

Be realistic about this, we have had a GREAT RUN, but how much longer can we expect this.

This last SB was about the law of averages catching up to us. There was just so many things lining up that says, Here, this is the time you will lose and it happened to a quality opponent.

So what do you see in the next 10 years?

I don't see 'go to 5, win 3' as outside the realm of possibility at all.

SHOWTIME 02-13-2025 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 17967729)
No, this is prisoner of the moment stuff. It's not like this team was built all-in in any sort of way, it just feels like it because of what they were trying to achieve.

Let the offseason play out and by next August we will once again be feeling like another final four appearance is on deck.

There is literally no one else in the AFC right now but KC. Buffalo has a lot of cap issues, and the Chiefs own the Lamar and the Ravens. Rosters will change of course after FA and the draft.

wannaGOback 02-13-2025 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SHOWTIME (Post 17967834)
There is literally no one else in the AFC right now but KC. Buffalo has a lot of cap issues, and the Chiefs own the Lamar and the Ravens. Rosters will change of course after FA and the draft.

I think Buffalo has a lot of cap space next year.

DrunkBassGuitar 02-13-2025 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ForeverIowan (Post 17967771)
Exactly right. Why is this different than the Bucs punking us in the Super Bowl in 2021? After that, we lost both our tackles. The following year, we traded one of the best wide receivers to ever play the game. The train kept rolling.

At this point, Mahomes is in his prime, we have two young stud receivers on rookie contracts and a young top 5 caliber defense.

People are overreacring. Never as bad or as good as it seems.

I agree that people are overreacting but in the Bucs SB loss you could chalk it up to injuries in the playoffs on the OL. This SB the team was healthy

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wannaGOback (Post 17967836)
I think Buffalo has a lot of cap space next year.



KC can easily create 50-60 million of cap space to play with if they want to.

DJ's left nut 02-13-2025 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wannaGOback (Post 17967836)
I think Buffalo has a lot of cap space next year.

You'd be wrong.

They're $12 million over at present. Now they'll have some cuts and restructures that will help them find some room, but they aren't going to even be mid-pack when it comes to cap space.

TLO 02-13-2025 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wannaGOback (Post 17967836)
I think Buffalo has a lot of cap space next year.

Nope.

Easy 6 02-13-2025 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wallcrawler (Post 17967754)
Build around Mahomes. Protection is paramount. Weapons are on deck with Worthy and Rice.

Sacrifice a little defensively if needed, but you cant keep going to Superbowls and losing because your offense is getting absolutely ****ing destroyed.

I'm more than willing to let the defense slide back to middle of the pack, if it means getting back to an offense that can basically score at will

When you can do THAT you don't need a top defense, and KC has the receipts to prove it

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy 6 (Post 17967929)
I'm more than willing to let the defense slide back to middle of the pack, if it means getting back to an offense that can basically score at will

When you can do THAT you don't need a top defense, and KC has the receipts to prove it

Yup. Score at will and ask Spags to get a few stops a game.


A great offense also helps the defense as it puts all the pressure on the teams trying to keep pace.

Rain Man 02-13-2025 03:34 PM

2026 - Chiefs over Commanders
2027 - Chiefs over Eagles
2028 - Chiefs over Eagles
2029 - Chiefs over Vikings
2030 - Chiefs over Packers
2031 - Chiefs over Panthers
2032 - Chiefs over Rams
2033 - Chiefs over Cardinals
2034 - Chiefs over Commanders
2035 - Chiefs over Giants

htismaqe 02-13-2025 03:34 PM

The Chiefs will be in the AFCCG for the 8th straight year.

Easy 6 02-13-2025 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic (Post 17967932)
Yup. Score at will and ask Spags to get a few stops a game.


A great offense also helps the defense as it puts all the pressure on the teams trying to keep pace.

Literally everything is skewed to favor the offense, so build your team accordingly

ROYC75 02-13-2025 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FloridaMan88 (Post 17967757)
One of the biggest variables likely within the next five years is Andy’s retirement.

Who replaces him, how that changes the coaching staff, etc. will be a critical juncture for the Chiefs’ continued Super Bowl window with Mahomes.

This is my biggest concern! That and Veach hitting our draft pics!

ROYC75 02-13-2025 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by htismaqe (Post 17967935)
The Chiefs will be in the AFCCG for the 8th straight year.

I can see this too. But to the point I was wanting to make, we've had it easy, but the AFCW is going to get harder with the HC's in it. Getting HF is going to be tougher challenge.


So how many return trips to the SB and how many wins.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 17967847)
You'd be wrong.

They're $12 million over at present. Now they'll have some cuts and restructures that will help them find some room, but they aren't going to even be mid-pack when it comes to cap space.

Yeah I do recall looking at their cap sheet not long ago and there aren't a lot of escape hatches or big potential savings from any one player like KC has.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ROYC75 (Post 17967974)
I can see this too. But to the point I was wanting to make, we've had it easy, but the AFCW is going to get harder with the HC's in it. Getting HF is going to be tougher challenge.


So how many return trips to the SB and how many wins.

The thing about the whole AFCW getting better is they get to beat up on each other.

So it's not like the Chargers or Broncos can just expect to sweep the other non-KC teams each year.

When it's all said and done, it's still gonna be tough to pry the 1st place spot from KC.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 04:21 PM

As an aside, does anyone think the chances of Lamar or Burrow getting to Super Bowls in the future is better today than it was 2-3 years ago?

I don't. Not even close.

I'm on record saying Burrow will never be back to one as long as he's a Cincinnati Bengal, and Lamar's game is going to suffer mightily as he loses steps eventually.

So the idea that you have to handicap one AFC title for Lamar, one for Burrow, etc is kinda silly IMO.

It's just as likely that a CJ Stroud would get there than those guys.

Boxer_Chief 02-13-2025 04:22 PM

Nix lololololololol

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ROYC75 (Post 17967965)
This is my biggest concern! That and Veach hitting our draft pics!

The Chiefs will be able to hire anyone they desire to coach the post-Reid Chiefs.


It will be the most desirable job opening in the NFL.

RaidersOftheCellar 02-13-2025 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania (Post 17967752)
Will be interesting to see if Kelce retires and how the team reacts in 2025.

I think KC has a 5-6 year window to advance to 2 more SBs and win one or both.

If not for a batted ball and Dee Ford’s foot, Mahomes would have likely been in the SB every year of his career. There’s no reason to expect them to slow down much, especially when they did it in “rebuild” years.

And I don’t think the window’s going to slam shut when Reid retires, unless they totally botch the hire.

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 04:31 PM

Took another look at Buffalo's sheet, woof. https://overthecap.com/calculator/buffalo-bills

Not only some really bad contracts for aging, declining players, but they've also had some shit drafts.

I know they're everyone's favorite beaten puppy, but I don't see how one can logically look at their build and think it's all up from here. Beane HAS to start nailing his drafts because the cap flexibility simply isn't there this year.

MahomesMagic 02-13-2025 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar (Post 17967991)
If not for a batted ball and Dee Ford’s foot, Mahomes would have likely been in the SB every year of his career. There’s no reason to expect them to slow down much, especially when they did it in “rebuild” years.

And I don’t think the window’s going to slam shut when Reid retires, unless they totally botch the hire.

It's not Reid that I worry about (assuming we don't do something crazy and hire an in house candidate like Matt Nagy).

It's Chris Jones.


When he is done the old Chiefs window closes and hopefully we have found a few more stars by then.

ljmhawk 02-13-2025 06:49 PM

If Philly can push $390 million down the road…why can’t KC?

Rainbarrel 02-13-2025 08:22 PM

It hasn't been or should be necessary. Gluttony for gluttony's sake should fail

pugsnotdrugs19 02-13-2025 08:56 PM

The Eagles went over the top because of their draft classes, not money spent.

Bryce Huff was a $17M AAV signing last spring who was a healthy scratch Sunday because Nolan Smith was that much better.

Rausch 02-13-2025 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19 (Post 17968258)
The Eagles went over the top because of their draft classes, not money spent.

Bryce Huff was a $17M AAV signing last spring who was a healthy scratch Sunday because Nolan Smith was that much better.

Didn't Smith go one pick before us on draft day or am I misremembering?

RollChiefsRoll 02-13-2025 09:30 PM

MINIMUM 8 PEAT

irafreak 02-13-2025 09:48 PM

There's a pattern here.

Afc ot loss. Win super bowl. Lose superbowl.

Afc ot loss. Win 2 superbowls. Lose Super bowl.

....so...afc ot loss. Win 3 superbowls. Confirmed. See you all for the start of the 2026 season when we rip off 3 in a row.

YontsRBake 02-13-2025 09:55 PM

Idk how the next season will go but I feel pretty confident that 2026 is going to be the year where they 20-0 hate **** everyone

dlphg9 02-14-2025 04:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wannaGOback (Post 17967836)
I think Buffalo has a lot of cap space next year.

I think you just might be dumber than shit.

KCJake 02-14-2025 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by New World Order (Post 17967789)
If we can just get the offensive line straightened out we could be back next year.

WBF

Wood-Burning Fireplace?

PHOG 02-14-2025 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KCJake (Post 17969323)
Wood-Burning Fireplace?

WTF is this even supposed to mean?
Edit: Oh ok, I get it...wbf....what a crock..it means we'll be fine.. get it thru your demented mind...we'll be fine

63PatsFan 02-15-2025 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wannaGOback (Post 17967768)
The Chiefs will not be playing in the Super Bowl next year.

They will make the Super Bowl the year after that.

Hard to have any lookout more than 3 years.

What's likely to happen is you're right they won't make it next year due to fatigue and needing to re-load.

And due to a tougher division, they won't be the #1 seed each year either. Denver and LA, with those coaches and QB's, are coming and you can start to count on at least 2 division losses per year.

There'll also be a string of bad luck that's due, whether it be injury or bad calls costing them a playoff game, some team comes out of nowhere in the playoffs, etc. The Chiefs have traveled a path of very good luck the past 5 years and there is a law of averages in the NFL.

The team will continue to win 11+ games each year for years, but staying at the very top is virtually impossible. If you look at NE from 2007 thru 2014, after winning 3 rings in 4 years, they were the best team in the league most of those 8 years, had the best QB-HC-offense, made it to the dance twice, made it to 4 other AFCC games, but went 0 for 8.

Calcountry 02-15-2025 08:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rainbarrel (Post 17967747)
There will be a 10-20 million cap jump. Problem is every team gets it and will pay more

Inflation is funny like that.

Why Not? 02-15-2025 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 63PatsFan (Post 17969680)

There'll also be a string of bad luck that's due, whether it be injury


Wanna know how I know you’re a troll that hasn’t actually paid any attention to the Chiefs this season?

SAGA45 02-15-2025 09:17 AM

Putting a good-elite Oline in front of Mahomes should be paramount going forward even if takes 2-3 seasons. He won't be able to use his legs forever.

He's won 3/5 Super Bowls against an average pressure rate of 47%. If that number ever got down to 40% or less he'd be unstoppable. Get it down to 35% (the avg pressure rate in the SB since '01) or less and we start morgue-chalking opposing defenses right there on the field.

Calcountry 02-16-2025 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 63PatsFan (Post 17969680)
What's likely to happen is you're right they won't make it next year due to fatigue and needing to re-load.

And due to a tougher division, they won't be the #1 seed each year either. Denver and LA, with those coaches and QB's, are coming and you can start to count on at least 2 division losses per year.

There'll also be a string of bad luck that's due, whether it be injury or bad calls costing them a playoff game, some team comes out of nowhere in the playoffs, etc. The Chiefs have traveled a path of very good luck the past 5 years and there is a law of averages in the NFL.

The team will continue to win 11+ games each year for years, but staying at the very top is virtually impossible. If you look at NE from 2007 thru 2014, after winning 3 rings in 4 years, they were the best team in the league most of those 8 years, had the best QB-HC-offense, made it to the dance twice, made it to 4 other AFCC games, but went 0 for 8.

If you flip a coin five times and it came up heads five times, the law of averages says the percentage chance of it coming up heads on the next toss of a fair throw is 50%


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