What are our chances on the division? Or have we given up on that?

1 in a million

Magic number for Detroit is two. For us to get a 163rd for the division it would take a combination of 5 KC wins and Detroit losses over the weekend.

That scenario might just topple that dumpster fire of a city.

It's not happening, but that sure would be enjoyable.

And those Detroit losses need to come at the hands of Minnesota. Not likely at all.

Just for fun, I'll calculate a back of the envelope probability. I will use these rough assumptions:

P(Detroit loss) = 40% per game
P(KC win) = 55% per game

Given that, then:

P(we outright win the division with no 163rd game) = 1.06%
P(we tie and force a tiebreaker game on Monday in Detroit) = 7.41%

That is.... actually more likely than I expected.

OK, lets assume the Twins are mailing it in and they only have a 1/3 chance of winning each game, which is pretty bad.

P(we outright win the division with no 163rd game) = 0.62%
P(we tie and force a tiebreaker game on Monday in Detroit) = 5.21%

Still decent, considering I thought it was hopeless.

OK, I guess we have about a 1 in 20 shot, give or take, of the Tigers not clinching the division by the end of Sunday.

http://tapatalk.imageshack.com/v2/14...ead1238179.jpg

For safety's sake...

OMFG That is awesome.

PLEASE win tonight

For some reason that pic gave me chills, lol

I just went from 6 to midnight.

Balls deep for the win

Just got the all clear to get tickets off StubHub for Tuesday night!PBJ

ROFL

That's called Fully Torqued