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-   -   Money Gambling advice needed! (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=328137)

Ming the Merciless 01-15-2020 07:09 PM

Gambling advice needed!
 
Hey so clearly the Chiefs will win by 20+ so no advice needed on that one...


But...Three questions for all the gamblers here:


1) The Chiefs over/under is at 52. In years past I would take the under in a heartbeat but this year I am inclined to go with the over....what say you ?


2) The niners are giving up 7 points or even 7.5 to GB. I do think the niners will win....but will they win by 8+? SHould I take GB and take 7 or 7.5 points? Help! I haven't watched a ton of GB games so I have no idea whats happening with them this season but I do know the niners have a hell of a team...Ive watched them quite a bit.


3) The over / under for the niners is around 45. I have no idea on this one....how is GB's defense....? What do you guys think the total score will be?




Keep in mind this is all for fun, I am going to do a couple parlay cards and maybe put down 20 bucks to try to win $100 or something....I was just wondering if anyone else had placed any bets and what their logic was.


Thanks so much..


Your Lover,


Pawnmower

Eleazar 01-15-2020 07:13 PM

Give me half the money you would have lost, I'll take you out back and kick you in the nuts, we'll call it a day.

Megatron96 01-15-2020 07:42 PM

Check the weather, but if it's not going to be raining, (snow is fine), take the over. TEN is going to score some points; probably around 20. Chiefs are going to score more than 30.

If you have it available and the vig is the same (-110, Was for me), I'd just take the Chiefs to score more than 30.5 for the game.

The 49ers/GB game is a little tougher, IMO. I think the 49ers are going to win. But by a TD is tough. I think the sharps are taking the points, GB +7.5.

Again, I'd probably take the over. The Packers don't run defend that well, and the 49ers can run. Packers have Aaron and Aaron. Unlikely this game stays under 45, IMO.

If you're going to play a parlay, I'd buy all the 0.5 points. The parlay multiplier makes up for the points. YMMV.

lewdog 01-15-2020 08:02 PM

Talk to TLO or Why Not.

They are gambling addicts.

Why Not? 01-15-2020 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 14726531)
Talk to TLO or Why Not.

They are gambling addicts.

Bet you I’m not!

Megatron96 01-15-2020 08:10 PM

I didn't touch the 49ers/GB game btw.

If I had to, I'd probably take the over and leave the rest of it alone.

I took the Chiefs to score over 30.5 points; that's about as close to a lock as there is between these two games.

Threw a flier parlay at the Chiefs -9 (vig was +107) and the over.

Why Not? 01-15-2020 08:14 PM

Honestly, I try to stay away from action on Chiefs games unless it’s the $ line or the Chiefs team total. Chiefs laying the number is okay also. I would never bet the under on a Chiefs game. Weird shit happens to people when $ is on the line and I don’t ever want to be at a place where I am not rooting for the Chiefs to score points. I also don’t really ever bet the over on a Chiefs game for the same reason, but opposite side. I want Chiefs opponents to score no points ever. Look at the Chiefs team total. Last week it was 30.5. Cha ching cha ching!

Here’s how you make a bunch of money on the NFC game.

Two leg 6 point Teaser. Packers plus 13 and over 32. Profit.

Why Not? 01-15-2020 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Megatron96 (Post 14726543)

I took the Chiefs to score over 30.5 points; that's about as close to a lock as there is between these two games.


Smart man.

Why Not? 01-15-2020 08:20 PM

I think I’m staying away from the Chiefs this week. I’m going to the game so that’s rush enough. Plus if we win, I won’t need money to fly home. If we lose(not happening) while scoring 35(LOL)I won’t give a **** about the $ I would’ve won. I’m all in on emotion this week!

Well...emotions and the late game

RealSNR 01-15-2020 08:23 PM

Do you still have Hootie's cell number?

Chiefshrink 01-15-2020 08:52 PM

Gambler's Anonymous;)

bricks 01-15-2020 09:09 PM

I think its going to be Chiefs vs Packers in the Superbowl this year.

I’d pick the Pack to beat the 49ers.

I think thats worth a shot. I like Rodgers a lot against the 49ers. And, maybe the NFL would want a Chiefs/Packers finale? I wouldn’t be surprised if GB gets a few calls go their way that could determine the difference in the outcome of the game.

If I were you; I would go with moneyline bet365 bro. The line is pretty good for the Packers at +265. Which means you bet a $100 and if the Pack win you get $365 back! Not too shabby. I think thats a good risk. The payout says it all.

Great Expectations 01-15-2020 09:57 PM

Since December 1 all but one of the 49ers games have been decided by 7 points or less.

Since December 1 only one Chief game has been decided by 7 points or less and it was the 7 point victory at New England.

Why Not? 01-15-2020 10:06 PM

You could also try to kinda “middle” the late game. Bet $300 on the Niners $ line then bet $200 on the Packers to cover the 7.5.

Decent chance you win both and have a nice little come up. If the Niners blowout GB, you get about a 45% rebate and have about 3 hours of entertainment for roughly $115. If GB wins, you lose about $125 total, but again for 3 hours of entertainment. Try getting an hourly average like that on any casino game.

stumppy 01-15-2020 10:20 PM

Chiefs over
49ers -7
49ers under


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