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ChiefGator 10-09-2007 03:55 PM

Comparison of 1998-2002 drafts
 
This is a spin-off of the following thread which BigRedChief started..

http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showt...5&page=1&pp=15

I took the five drafts he highlighted and compared it to everyone within our division, and five other teams. Clearly, the players we drafted from those drafts was much less likely to make it to 2007 than players drafted from the comparison teams. There is a STARK contrast, in my mind. We'll leave it up to Gaz (should we ever hear from him again) to give us the significance values for this. (Or maybe I'll try later).

A note on my methodology. I used NFL's list of historic drafts and looked up each player. If a player appeared as current, but had no stats, I looked at that players details. If 2007 was not listed in his years, I counted him as out of the league. I think this occurs when the player went to training camp with a team, and didn't make it...

Another note that these percentages vary slightly from the couple of values that appear in the original thread. I forgot to include players still on the drafting team within the 'on any roster' category.

The numbers!

KC - 3% still on our roster, 23% on any NFL roster

Denver - 5% still on Denver roster, 40% on any NFL roster
Raiders - 11% still on Raider roster, 35% on any NFL roster
Chargers - 11% still on Charger roster, 30% on any NFL roster

Ravens - 9% on Raven roster, 44% on any NFL roster
Colts - 17% on Colt roster, 44% on any NFL roster
Patriots - 11% on Patriot roster, 24% on any NFL roster
Lions - 15% on Lion roster, 44% on any NFL roster
Saints - 9% on Saints roster, 44% on any NFL roster

Overall, excluding KC, 11% still on team that drafted, 38% on any NFL roster. Again, KC has 3% of their drafted players from this period still on their roster and only 23% of them remain in the league.

(Raw Data follows)

ChiefGator 10-09-2007 03:55 PM

------------------------------
Team - Picks / Still On Roster / Any NFL Roster
KC - 35 / 1 / 8

Denver - 43 / 2 / 17
Raiders - 37 / 4 / 13
Chargers - 37 / 4 / 11

Ravens - 34 / 3 / 15
Colts - 36 / 6 / 16
Patriots - 45 / 5 / 11
Lions - 33 / 5 / 16
Saints - 34 / 3 / 15

-------------------------------
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Total Players Drafted: 35

Players remaining on our roster from these drafts: 1
. Greg Wesley SS

Players on other teams rosters: 7

. Ryan Sims (played in no games this year)
. Scott Fujita (starts for New Orleans, third team)
. Monty Beisel (backup in Arizona)
. Terdell Sands (starts in Oakland - 3 tackles)
. Dante Hall (St. Louis)
. John Tait (starts in Chicago)
. Gary Stills ( backup in Baltimore )


-------------------------------
DENVER BRONCOS

Total Drafted Players: 43

Players still on the Ravens roster: 2
. Ian Gold LB
. Ben Hamilton C/G

Players on other teams rosters: 15
. Ashley Lelie WR (49ers)
. Clinton Portis RB (redskins)
. Jeb Putzier TE (texans)
. Reggie Hayward DE (jags)
. Nick Harris P (lions)
. Deltha O'Neal CB (bengals)
. Kenoy Kennedy SAF (lions)
. Cooper Carlisle G (raiders)
. Mike Anderson RB (ravens)
. Montae Reagor DE (eagles)
. Lennie Friedman C (browns)
. David Bowens LB (jets)
. Desmond Clark TE (bears)
. Billy Miller WR/TE (saints)
. Brian Griese QB (bears)



-------------------------------
OAKLAND RAIDERS

Total Players Drafted: 37

Total Still on Raiders Roster: 4
. Ronald Curry QB/WR
. Sebastian Janikowski K
. Jerry Porter WR
. Shane Lechler P

Total On Other Teams Roster: 9
. Charles Woodson CB (packers)
. Rod Coleman DT (falcons)
. Eric Barton LB (jets)
. Chris Cooper DT (arizona)
. Marques Tuiasosopo QB (jets)
. Kenyon Coleman DE (jets)
. Phillip Buchanon CB (bucs)
. Napoleon Harris MLB (chiefs)
. Langston Walker T (bills)


-------------------------------
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

Total Players Drafted: 37

Total Still on Chargers Roster: 4
. Quentin Jammer DB
. LaDainian Tomlinson RB
. Carlos Polk LB
. Jamal Williams DT

Total On Other Teams Roster: 7
. Reche Caldwell WR (redskins)
. Ben Leber OLB (vikes)
. Justin Peelle TE (dolphins)
. Drew Brees QB (saints)
. Brandon Gorin T (rams)
. Damion McIntosh T (chiefs)
. Steve Heiden TE (browns)


-------------------------------
BALTIMORE RAVENS

Total Drafted Players: 34

Players still on the Ravens roster: 3
. Ed Reed SS
. Todd Heap TE
. Chris McAlister CB

Players on other teams rosters: 12
. Chester Taylor RB ( vikes )
. Anthony Weaver DE (texans)
. Dave Zastudil P (browns)
. Gary Baxter DB (browns)
. Casey Rabach C (redskins)
. Jamal Lewis RB (browns)
. Travis Taylor WR (oakland)
. Chris Redman QB (altanta)
. Adalius Thomas DE/LB (patriots)
. Brandon Stokley WR (broncos)
. Edwin Mulitalo G (lions)
. Duane Starks CB (raiders)


-------------------------------
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Total Players Drafted: 36

Total Still on Colts Roster: 6
. Dwight Freeney DE
. Reggie Wayne WR
. Ryan Diem G/T
. Rob Morris LB
. Hunter Smith P
. Peyton Manning QB

Total On Other Teams Roster: 10
. Larry Tripplett DT (bills)
. David Thornton LB (titans)
. Josh Mallard DE (falcons)
. Idrees Bashir FS (lions)
. Rick DeMulling G (redskins)
. Marcus Washington LB (redskins)
. David Macklin DB (redskins)
. Edgerrin James RB (cardinals)
. Mike Peterson OLB (jags)
. Steve McKinney G/C (texans)



-------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Total Players Drafted: 45

Total Still on Patriots Roster: 5
. Jarvis Green DE
. Richard Seymour DT
. Matt Light T
. Tom Brady QB
. Kevin Faulk RB

Total On Other Teams Roster: 6
. Daniel Graham TE Colorado (broncos)
. Deion Branch WR Louisville (seattle)
. Patrick Pass RB Georgia (texans)
. Damien Woody C Boston College (lions)
. Kevin Faulk RB Louisiana State (pats)
. Sean Morey WR Brown (cards)

-------------------------------
DETROIT LIONS

Total Players Drafted: 33

Total Still on Detroit's Roster: 5
. Kalimba Edwards DE
. Jeff Backus T
. Dominic Raiola C
. Shaun Rogers NT
. Jared DeVries DE

Total On Other Teams Roster: 11
. Joey Harrington QB (falcons)
. Andre' Goodman DB (dolphins)
. John Owens TE (saints)
. Matt Murphy TE (bills)
. Jason Glenn LB (vikes)
. Reuben Droughns RB (giants)
. Chris Claiborne OLB (jags)
. Clint Kriewaldt LB (steelers)
. Charlie Batch QB (steelers)
. Chris Liwienski T (dolphins)
. Alfonso Boone DE (chiefs)

-------------------------------
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Total Players Drafted: 34

Total Still on Saints' Roster: 3
. Charles Grant DE (saints)
. Deuce McAllister RB (saints)
. Kevin Houser FB (saints)

Total On Other Teams Roster: 12
. Donte' Stallworth WR Tennessee (pats)
. Mel Mitchell DB Western Kentucky (pats)
. J.T. O'Sullivan QB California-Davis (lions)
. John Gilmore TE Penn State (bears)
. Kenny Smith DT Alabama (pats)
. Moran Norris RB/FB Kansas (49ers)
. Darren Howard DE Kansas State (eagles)
. Terrelle Smith FB Arizona State (cards)
. Tutan Reyes T Mississippi (jags)
. Marc Bulger QB West Virginia (rams)
. Kyle Turley G San Diego State (chiefs)
. Fred Weary DB Florida (texans)

jidar 10-09-2007 04:12 PM

wow. Well that certainly doesn't look good.

Dr. Van Halen 10-09-2007 05:00 PM

This is excellent research.

It might be significant to add draft position to this list, though.

For example, the Ravens had top 10 picks three of these five years. The Colts had the one and the four during two of these years.

I would expect a team with a top 5 pick to draft a keeper.

BigVE 10-09-2007 05:02 PM

Wow. That is sad. Thanks for the info though.

Dr. Van Halen 10-09-2007 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dr. Van Halen
This is excellent research.

It might be significant to add draft position to this list, though.

For example, the Ravens had top 10 picks three of these five years. The Colts had the one and the four during two of these years.

I would expect a team with a top 5 pick to draft a keeper.

I should add that if you have the #6 pick you should draft a reerun as a favor to a friend.

Curse you, Dick!!!

ChiefGator 10-09-2007 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dr. Van Halen
I should add that if you have the #6 pick you should draft a reerun as a favor to a friend.

Curse you, Dick!!!

Ha ha ha! Awesome...

DaFace 10-09-2007 06:11 PM

Interesting that the only 24 percent of Patriots' draftees are still in the NFL.

ChiefGator 10-09-2007 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaFace
Interesting that the only 24 percent of Patriots' draftees are still in the NFL.

Yes, that was interesting to me as well.

Also, Indy really makes their 1st rounders count, but alot of other teams don't.

And if we had a draft like the top of Detroit's in 2001, that would help out team immensely.

1 18 Jeff Backus T Michigan (still with lions)
2 50 Dominic Raiola C Nebraska (still with lions)
2 61 Shaun Rogers NT Texas (still with lions)

ChiefGator 06-17-2008 03:35 PM

I linked to this thread from another, but I just noticed.. if we cut/trade Wesley, we will have NO players from drafts 1998-2002 still on the team.

FAX 06-17-2008 03:50 PM

Awesome job, Mr. ChiefGator.

So, it does appear that either; A) We suck at drafting, or B) We suck at player development, or C) Both.

FAX

stlchiefs 06-17-2008 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FAX (Post 4798392)
Awesome job, Mr. ChiefGator.

So, it does appear that either; A) We suck at drafting, or B) We suck at player development, or C) Both.

FAX

I would like to conclude this presentation by stating that in summary, We Suck.

milkman 06-18-2008 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stlchiefs (Post 4798412)
I would like to conclude this presentation by stating that in summary, We Suck.

Hell, I coulda told ya that without the research.

StcChief 06-18-2008 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FAX (Post 4798392)
Awesome job, Mr. ChiefGator.

So, it does appear that either; A) We suck at drafting, or B) We suck at player development, or C) Both.

FAX

at this point C).... Herm gets this year to prove out his draftees

Deberg_1990 06-18-2008 11:12 AM

Wow, im SHOCKED to learn the Chiefs drafted poorly from 98-2002. Thanks.


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