**** OFFICIAL comprehensive Chiefs playoff scenario thread ****
 

(DaFace's edit to add updated scenarios...)

So lets just win these last three.

Excellent ****ing summary +1000000 bonus points to you sir

So what's our overall percentage right now?

Thanks for this thread. Perfect Execution. :clap:

56% chance of winning the division and 62% chance overall of making the playoffs.

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lol @ this. no software has any clue whatsoever what the chiefs probability of winning is, especially this next game w/ the uncertain QB situation. these probability threads are just stupid.

I'd say there's a 80+% chance that Cassell plays next weekend. There have been multiple players, Weigmann and Rothlesburger come to mind, that had appendectomies and only missed 1 game.

They aren't QBs, that could make a difference. I don't see how you can be 80% sure of that. I hope they don't put a far from 100% Cassel in, I really don't. I think Brodie could play a lot better vs STL than he did vs SD. If Cassel is close to or at 100% then yes it's an obvious go, but I don't see how that's 80% for sure. You do realize he has to be ready in time to practice, right? He can't just show up on Sunday and play without practicing all week.

Edit: I just saw the 2nd person you said is Roethlisberger. Yeah he's a QB, and I believe the game he played in was 14 days after the emergency appendectomy. That's a longer period of time than Cassel's situation, and Roethlisberger is the quickest time in NFL history for a QB to play in a game after one. I'm gonna assume Roethlisberger is a lot tougher than Cassel and guess Cassel doesn't play this Sunday. However, the Chiefs need him a lot worse than Pittsburgh needed Ben in a week 2 game, so who knows. I hope Matt plays, I just don't think it's that likely. Definitely not 80%, not even close to that right now, we know nothing.

So I'm assuming that SD has the tie breakers if both the Chiefs and Chargers end up at 10-6, correct?

Where does SD have the tie break edge? I'm just curious.

Thanks

I am so cornfused
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k cool lol

SD wins every 10-6 tiebreaker.

SD also wins every 9-7 tiebreaker except in the case where KC's victory comes against the Raiders and SD's loss comes against Denver. We win that one.

Chiefs win @ St. Louis and I'm confident they'll win out. This is a completely different team at home.