Quote:
Originally Posted by frazod
Funny how Denver's opponents have an equally shitty record, yet nobody seems to hold that against them.
I guess even Sagarin's computer is set to ballwash Manning.  |
It's kind of explained in the link.... the Broncos have played one more top 10 team than the Chiefs and even though their SoS is about the same, the difference of 3 points comes from the margin of victory.
Sagarin rating:
Broncos: 28.62
Chiefs: 25.3
Difference: 3.32
Average margin of victory:
Broncos: 17.83
Chiefs: 14.5
Difference: 3.33
Quote:
ELO_SCORE applies ELO principles to the actual SCORES of the games and so it is now SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is also a very good PREDICTOR
of future games.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two somewhat different SCORE BASED methods,
ELO_SCORE and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR), and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
NFL ratings will be updated after games of Sunday and again after the Monday night game.
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