Quote:
Originally Posted by Tombstone RJ
I do like the idea of making the extra point mean something by pushing it out to the 35 yard line or so. If you combine that with having a 3 point conversion instead of a 2 point conversion (when teams want to "go for it") then maybe that would "make it more exciting"?
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Right now I think the expected value of an extra point versus a two-point play is about the same. It's about .997 points per attempt and 33 of 69 for two point plays, or .956 points per attempt.
If you make a two-point play suddenly worth three points, and you move the 1-point play out, the expected values will end up something like .96 points for the 1-point play and 1.5 points for the 3-point play. Teams would never go for the 1-point play other than rare situations.