Quote:
Originally Posted by Mavericks Ace
I hate to concede this truth.
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theres different ways to look at it...
if bum wins , the odds still heavily favor SF...bottom line
for example lets say the two games at the K, the royals are 60% to win each game, still only gives a 36% chance to win both games (for the royals)
you have to move it up to 70% royal win percent (per game) chance to win each game to break even
(49% chance to win 2 games in a row @ 70% chance to win each game)
Whereas SF would only need 1 game out of the two...so even at 70% chance of royals winning per game it would be 30% + 21% = 51% chance to win one game out of two
I think