10-25-2014, 10:02 PM
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#2248
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Arf! Arf! Arf!
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: North
Casino cash: $3784173
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pawnmower
theres different ways to look at it...
if bum wins , the odds still heavily favor SF...bottom line
for example lets say the two games at the K, the royals are 60% to win each game, still only gives a 36% chance to win both games (for the royals)
you have to move it up to 70% royal win percent (per game) chance to win each game to break even
(49% chance to win 2 games in a row @ 70% chance to win each game)
Whereas SF would only need 1 game out of the two...so even at 70% chance of royals winning per game it would be 30% + 21% = 51% chance to win one game out of two
I think
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That made me dizzy
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Eric Kush
"Often is a word I seldom use"--JP
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Posts: 25,289
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